مدرسة الاحتمالات

Chicago Cubs v Cincinnati Reds

البداية: 2026-05-06 23:41 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Chicago Cubs 7–6 Cincinnati Reds

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Chicago Cubs (المضيف)

التنبؤ 59.74%1.67السعر العادل
EV -2.63%
الأفضلية -1.61%
Kelly -4.17%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.63

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
57.95%59.71%59.74%61.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.511.581.571.6366.23%63.38%63.69%61.35%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Cincinnati Reds (الضيف)

التنبؤ 40.26%2.48السعر العادل
EV -0.555%
الأفضلية -0.225%
Kelly -0.378%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.47

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
38.44%40.29%40.26%42.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.152.382.382.4746.51%42.08%42.02%40.49%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -2.63%E -1.61%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -0.958%E -0.389%K -0.656%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-06 22:50
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 60.39%EV -3.22%E -1.99%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.61%EV -0.555%E -0.225%K -0.378%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-06 23:15
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -3.22%E -1.99%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -0.958%E -0.389%K -0.656%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-06 23:40
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -3.22%E -1.99%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -0.958%E -0.389%K -0.656%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-06 23:40
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -3.22%E -1.99%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -0.958%E -0.389%K -0.656%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-06 23:37
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.22%E -1.99%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -1.36%E -0.555%K -0.938%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-06 23:39
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -3.22%E -1.99%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -2.57%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-06 23:39
Caesars1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.82%E -2.37%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-06 23:37
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.82%E -2.37%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.18%E -1.76%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 23:28
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.82%E -2.37%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.40%E -3.22%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 23:39
FanDuel1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -4.42%E -2.76%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -2.57%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-05 18:10
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.42%E -2.76%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.39%E -2.29%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 23:40
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.42%E -2.76%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.39%E -2.29%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 23:20
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.42%E -2.76%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.39%E -2.29%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 23:40
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.42%E -2.76%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.39%E -2.29%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 23:40
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.42%E -2.76%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.40%E -3.22%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 23:40
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -5.01%E -3.15%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.36%E -0.555%K -0.938%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-06 06:39
MyBookie.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -5.01%E -3.15%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -2.57%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 20:44
ReBet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.01%E -3.15%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 20:40
BetMGM1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.01%E -3.15%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.39%E -2.29%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 23:40
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -5.01%E -3.15%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.98%EV -7.80%E -3.41%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 23:40
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.01%E -3.15%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -9.41%E -4.18%K -7.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-06 23:40
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.01%E -3.15%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -9.41%E -4.18%K -7.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-06 23:40
Betsson1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.01%E -3.15%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -9.41%E -4.18%K -7.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-06 23:40
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.61%E -3.55%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 22:50
Marathon Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.61%E -3.55%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.18%E -1.76%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 22:45
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.61%E -3.55%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.40%E -3.22%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 23:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.21%E -3.96%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.36%E -0.555%K -0.938%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 16:40
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.21%E -3.96%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.36%E -0.555%K -0.938%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.21%E -3.96%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.36%E -0.555%K -0.938%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 16:40
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.21%E -3.96%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.36%E -0.555%K -0.938%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 16:40
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -6.21%E -3.96%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -2.97%E -1.23%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 11:44
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.21%E -3.96%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 14:10
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.21%E -3.96%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 17:00
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.21%E -3.96%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 17:00
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.21%E -3.96%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.18%E -1.76%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 14:00
Unibet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.21%E -3.96%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.39%E -2.29%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 23:29
Dabble (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.21%E -3.96%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.39%E -2.29%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 23:25
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.21%E -3.96%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.40%E -3.22%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 23:40
NordicBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -6.21%E -3.96%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.67%EV -7.80%E -3.41%K -6.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 23:40
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.21%E -3.96%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.41%E -4.18%K -7.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-06 23:40
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.81%E -4.36%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.17%E -0.891%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 23:40
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.81%E -4.36%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.17%E -0.891%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 21:45
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.81%E -4.36%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.17%E -0.891%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 21:45
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.81%E -4.36%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.17%E -0.891%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 23:40
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.81%E -4.36%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.17%E -0.891%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 21:45
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.81%E -4.36%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.17%E -0.891%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 23:40
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -6.81%E -4.36%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -4.18%E -1.76%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 23:40
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.81%E -4.36%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.39%E -2.29%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 23:40
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -6.81%E -4.36%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -13.44%E -6.25%K -11.69%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-06 23:40
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.40%E -4.78%K -13.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 16:50
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -7.40%E -4.78%K -13.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -4.18%E -1.76%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 23:40
LiveScore Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -7.40%E -4.78%K -13.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -4.18%E -1.76%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 23:40
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -7.40%E -4.78%K -13.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -4.18%E -1.76%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 23:40
Bally Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -7.40%E -4.78%K -13.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -4.18%E -1.76%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 23:40
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.40%E -4.78%K -13.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.40%E -3.22%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 23:29
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -8.00%E -5.20%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -5.39%E -2.29%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 23:40
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.60%E -5.62%K -16.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -1.36%E -0.555%K -0.938%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 23:40
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 60.36%EV -8.60%E -5.62%K -16.23%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.64%EV -6.19%E -2.66%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-06 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.57%EV -9.79%E -6.49%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.43%EV -6.59%E -2.84%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-06 23:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly1.66I 60.24%NM 60.19%2.51I 39.84%NM 39.81%0.1%2026-05-06 23:39
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-05-06 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-05-06 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-05-06 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-05-06 23:40
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-06 22:10
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%1.9%2026-05-06 23:40
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-05-06 23:40
Novig1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%2.1%2026-05-06 23:40
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 58.38%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.62%11.2%2026-05-06 23:40