Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Chicago Cubs v Arizona Diamondbacks

Inizio: 2026-05-03 18:21 UTC

Finale: Chicago Cubs 8–4 Arizona Diamondbacks

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

61 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Chicago Cubs (Casa)

Previsione 58.32%1.71quota equa
EV -1.44%
Vantaggio -0.850%
Kelly -2.08%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.69

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.70%58.39%58.25%59.64%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.541.631.621.6964.94%61.47%61.73%59.17%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Arizona Diamondbacks (Trasferta)

Previsione 41.68%2.40quota equa
EV -2.06%
Vantaggio -0.875%
Kelly -1.52%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.36%41.61%41.75%43.30%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.292.302.3545.45%43.69%43.48%42.55%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Chicago Cubs (Casa): 58.32%; Arizona Diamondbacks (Trasferta): 41.68%. Per Chicago Cubs (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 1.71. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 1.69, con un valore atteso del -1.44%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
GTbets🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.44%E -0.850%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.89%E -1.24%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-03 18:19
Pinnacle🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.44%E -0.850%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.89%E -1.24%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-03 18:15
Everygame🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.44%E -0.850%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.89%E -1.24%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-03 18:10
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -2.02%E -1.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -2.06%E -0.875%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-03 17:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -2.02%E -1.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -3.31%E -1.43%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-03 18:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -2.02%E -1.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -3.31%E -1.43%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-03 18:20
BetUS🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -2.02%E -1.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -3.72%E -1.61%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-03 18:20
TAB🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.02%E -1.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-03 18:18
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.02%E -1.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 18:15
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-03 06:35
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 18:17
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 17:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 18:19
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 17:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 18:15
Betsson🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.19%E -1.92%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -7.47%E -3.37%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 18:10
NordicBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.19%E -1.92%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -7.47%E -3.37%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 18:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -3.72%E -1.61%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-03 18:20
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-03 17:55
Caesars🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-03 18:05
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 18:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 18:20
DraftKings🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -4.35%E -2.65%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -4.56%E -1.99%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 17:50
Bet Right🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.94%E -3.03%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 18:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.94%E -3.03%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.97%E -2.18%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 17:55
SportsBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.72%E -1.61%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 13:15
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 18:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 18:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 18:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 18:15
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 21:45
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 17:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 18:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 18:09
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 18:19
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 17:55
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 18:20
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.06%E -0.875%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 18:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.06%E -0.875%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 18:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.06%E -0.875%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 18:20
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.06%E -0.875%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 18:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.06%E -0.875%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 17:55
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.06%E -0.875%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.06%E -0.875%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 18:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.06%E -0.875%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 18:20
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 18:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 18:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 17:40
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 15:55
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 18:12
BetMGM🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -7.27%E -4.57%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -2.06%E -0.875%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 18:21
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.27%E -4.57%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 18:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -7.85%E -4.97%K -13.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 18:20
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -8.43%E -5.37%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -3.31%E -1.43%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 18:20
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.43%E -5.37%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 18:20
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.43%E -5.37%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 18:20
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -9.02%E -5.78%K -16.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 18:20
LeoVegas🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -9.02%E -5.78%K -16.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -4.97%E -2.18%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -9.60%E -6.19%K -17.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 18:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -10.18%E -6.61%K -18.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.92%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-03 18:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-05-03 18:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-05-03 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-05-03 18:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-05-03 18:21
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-05-03 18:05
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-05-03 18:20
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-05-03 18:21
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-05-03 18:20
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%3.0%2026-05-03 18:20
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%3.0%2026-05-03 18:20