La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Chicago Cubs v Arizona Diamondbacks
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Chicago Cubs (Local)
Predicción 58.32%1.71momio equitativo
EV -1.44%
Ventaja -0.850%
Kelly -2.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.70%58.39%58.25%59.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.541.631.621.6964.94%61.47%61.73%59.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante)
Predicción 41.68%2.40momio equitativo
EV -2.06%
Ventaja -0.875%
Kelly -1.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.36%41.61%41.75%43.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.292.302.3545.45%43.69%43.48%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.44%E -0.850%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.89%E -1.24%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-03 18:19 |
| Pinnacle | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.44%E -0.850%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.89%E -1.24%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-03 18:15 |
| Everygame | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.44%E -0.850%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.89%E -1.24%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-03 18:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -2.02%E -1.20%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -2.06%E -0.875%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-03 17:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -2.02%E -1.20%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -3.31%E -1.43%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-03 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -2.02%E -1.20%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -3.31%E -1.43%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-03 18:20 |
| BetUS | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -2.02%E -1.20%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -3.72%E -1.61%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-03 18:20 |
| TAB | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.02%E -1.20%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-03 18:18 |
| PlayUp | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.02%E -1.20%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 18:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-03 06:35 |
| Bovada | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-03 18:17 |
| Coral | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-03 17:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-03 18:19 |
| Neds | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-03 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-03 17:55 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 18:15 |
| Betsson | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.19%E -1.92%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -7.47%E -3.37%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 18:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.19%E -1.92%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -7.47%E -3.37%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 18:10 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -3.72%E -1.61%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-03 18:20 |
| ReBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-03 17:55 |
| Caesars | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-03 18:05 |
| Fliff | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 18:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 18:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -4.35%E -2.65%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -4.56%E -1.99%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-03 17:50 |
| Bet Right | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.94%E -3.03%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-03 18:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.94%E -3.03%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.97%E -2.18%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-03 17:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.72%E -1.61%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 13:15 |
| 888sport | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-02 18:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-02 18:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-02 18:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-02 18:15 |
| William Hill | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-02 21:45 |
| Coolbet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-03 18:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 18:09 |
| Betway | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 18:19 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 17:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 18:20 |
| Unibet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.06%E -0.875%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.06%E -0.875%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.06%E -0.875%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 18:20 |
| Casumo | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.06%E -0.875%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.06%E -0.875%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 17:55 |
| betPARX | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.06%E -0.875%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.06%E -0.875%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 18:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.06%E -0.875%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 18:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 18:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 18:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 17:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 15:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-03 18:12 |
| BetMGM | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -7.27%E -4.57%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -2.06%E -0.875%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-03 18:21 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.27%E -4.57%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -7.85%E -4.97%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-03 18:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -8.43%E -5.37%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -3.31%E -1.43%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-03 18:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.43%E -5.37%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 18:20 |
| Bally Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.43%E -5.37%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 18:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -9.02%E -5.78%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 18:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -9.02%E -5.78%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -4.97%E -2.18%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-03 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -9.60%E -6.19%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -10.18%E -6.61%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-03 18:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-05-03 18:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 0.8% | 2026-05-03 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 0.8% | 2026-05-03 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 0.8% | 2026-05-03 18:21 |
| Polymarket | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-05-03 18:05 |
| Novig | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38% | 1.5% | 2026-05-03 18:20 |
| ProphetX | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38% | 1.5% | 2026-05-03 18:21 |
| Kalshi | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.9% | 2026-05-03 18:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50% | 3.0% | 2026-05-03 18:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45% | 3.0% | 2026-05-03 18:20 |