مدرسة الاحتمالات

Chicago Cubs v Arizona Diamondbacks

البداية: 2026-05-03 18:21 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Chicago Cubs 8–4 Arizona Diamondbacks

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Chicago Cubs (المضيف)

التنبؤ 58.32%1.71السعر العادل
EV -1.44%
الأفضلية -0.850%
Kelly -2.08%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.69

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.70%58.39%58.25%59.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.541.631.621.6964.94%61.47%61.73%59.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Arizona Diamondbacks (الضيف)

التنبؤ 41.68%2.40السعر العادل
EV -2.06%
الأفضلية -0.875%
Kelly -1.52%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.36%41.61%41.75%43.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.202.292.302.3545.45%43.69%43.48%42.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.44%E -0.850%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.89%E -1.24%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-03 18:19
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.44%E -0.850%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.89%E -1.24%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-03 18:15
Everygame1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.44%E -0.850%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.89%E -1.24%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-03 18:10
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -2.02%E -1.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -2.06%E -0.875%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-03 17:55
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -2.02%E -1.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -3.31%E -1.43%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-03 18:20
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -2.02%E -1.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -3.31%E -1.43%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-03 18:20
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -2.02%E -1.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -3.72%E -1.61%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-03 18:20
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.02%E -1.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-03 18:18
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.02%E -1.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 18:15
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-03 06:35
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 18:17
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 17:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 18:19
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 17:55
Dabble (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 18:15
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.19%E -1.92%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -7.47%E -3.37%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 18:10
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.19%E -1.92%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -7.47%E -3.37%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 18:10
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -3.72%E -1.61%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-03 18:20
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-03 17:55
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-03 18:05
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 18:15
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 18:20
DraftKings1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -4.35%E -2.65%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -4.56%E -1.99%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 17:50
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.94%E -3.03%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 18:05
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.94%E -3.03%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.97%E -2.18%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 17:55
SportsBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.72%E -1.61%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 13:15
888sport1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 18:15
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 18:15
888sport (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 18:15
Mr Green (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 18:15
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 21:45
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 17:15
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 18:15
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 18:09
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 18:19
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 17:55
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 18:20
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.06%E -0.875%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 18:20
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.06%E -0.875%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 18:20
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.06%E -0.875%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 18:20
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.06%E -0.875%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 18:20
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.06%E -0.875%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 17:55
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.06%E -0.875%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 18:20
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.06%E -0.875%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 18:20
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.06%E -0.875%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 18:20
FanDuel1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 18:20
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 18:20
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 17:40
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 15:55
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 18:12
BetMGM1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -7.27%E -4.57%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -2.06%E -0.875%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 18:21
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.27%E -4.57%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 18:20
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -7.85%E -4.97%K -13.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 18:20
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -8.43%E -5.37%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -3.31%E -1.43%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 18:20
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.43%E -5.37%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 18:20
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.43%E -5.37%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 18:20
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -9.02%E -5.78%K -16.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 18:20
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -9.02%E -5.78%K -16.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -4.97%E -2.18%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -9.60%E -6.19%K -17.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 18:20
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -10.18%E -6.61%K -18.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.92%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-03 18:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-05-03 18:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-05-03 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-05-03 18:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-05-03 18:21
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-05-03 18:05
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-05-03 18:20
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-05-03 18:21
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-05-03 18:20
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%3.0%2026-05-03 18:20
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%3.0%2026-05-03 18:20