Language:English
Boston Red Sox v Washington Nationals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Boston Red Sox (Local)
Prediction 55.16%1.81fair odd
EV -0.156%
Edge -0.086%
Kelly -0.192%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.81
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.33%55.07%55.26%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.751.741.8160.61%57.25%57.47%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Washington Nationals (Visit)
Prediction 44.84%2.23fair odd
EV -0.909%
Edge -0.412%
Kelly -0.752%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.21
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.86%44.93%44.74%46.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.112.102.2150.00%47.40%47.62%45.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boston Red Sox (Local): 55.16%; Washington Nationals (Visit): 44.84%. For Boston Red Sox (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.813. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.810, with an expected value of -0.156%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.47%EV -0.156%E -0.086%K -0.192%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-30 22:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -0.707%E -0.393%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -7.64%E -3.71%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-30 22:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -0.707%E -0.393%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -7.64%E -3.71%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-30 22:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -1.26%E -0.703%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -8.08%E -3.94%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 22:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -1.26%E -0.703%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -8.08%E -3.94%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 22:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -1.26%E -0.703%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -8.08%E -3.94%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 22:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -1.26%E -0.703%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -8.08%E -3.94%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 22:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -1.26%E -0.703%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -8.08%E -3.94%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 22:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -1.26%E -0.703%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -8.08%E -3.94%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 22:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -1.26%E -0.703%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -8.08%E -3.94%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 22:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -1.81%E -1.02%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -2.25%E -1.03%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-30 14:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -1.81%E -1.02%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -8.53%E -4.18%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 22:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -1.81%E -1.02%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -8.53%E -4.18%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 22:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -1.81%E -1.02%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -8.53%E -4.18%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 22:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -1.81%E -1.02%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -8.53%E -4.18%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 22:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.36%E -1.33%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.36%E -0.617%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-06-30 23:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.36%E -1.33%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.36%E -0.617%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-06-30 23:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.36%E -1.33%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.25%E -1.03%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-30 23:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.36%E -1.33%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.25%E -1.03%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-30 23:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.36%E -1.33%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.25%E -1.03%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-30 22:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.36%E -1.33%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-30 14:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.91%E -1.66%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -0.909%E -0.412%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-30 02:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%EV -2.91%E -1.66%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%EV -2.25%E -1.03%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-06-30 22:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -2.91%E -1.66%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -8.08%E -3.94%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 23:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.47%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.47%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.05%E -1.89%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 21:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.47%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 21:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.47%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.33%E -5.16%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 22:58 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.47%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.33%E -5.16%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 22:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 14:13 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 18:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 20:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -6.29%E -3.01%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 22:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.08%E -3.94%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 23:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.08%E -3.94%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 23:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -2.70%E -1.25%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 23:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 21:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.94%E -2.33%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 14:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.39%E -2.56%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 21:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 13:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.08%E -3.94%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-30 20:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.12%E -2.98%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 22:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.12%E -2.98%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.12%E -2.98%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 22:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.12%E -2.98%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.94%E -2.33%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.12%E -2.98%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.94%E -2.33%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 20:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.12%E -2.98%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.94%E -2.33%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 20:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.12%E -2.98%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 22:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.67%E -3.32%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.70%E -1.25%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 20:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.67%E -3.32%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.67%E -3.32%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 22:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.67%E -3.32%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 22:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 22:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 20:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -7.88%E -4.72%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.65%EV -7.19%E -3.47%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-30 22:47 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.98%E -5.44%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.36%E -0.617%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 20:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91% | 0.3% | 2026-06-30 23:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 0.5% | 2026-06-30 23:09 |
| Novig◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-06-30 23:09 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.83% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 44.17% | 0.6% | 2026-06-30 22:49 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-06-30 22:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-06-30 23:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-06-30 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-06-30 23:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-06-30 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81% | 2.4% | 2026-06-30 23:10 |