La escuela de los momios

Boston Red Sox v Washington Nationals

Inicio: 2026-06-30 23:11 UTC

Final: Boston Red Sox 1–8 Washington Nationals

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Predicción 55.16%1.81momio equitativo
EV -0.156%
Ventaja -0.086%
Kelly -0.192%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.81

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.33%55.07%55.26%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.751.741.8160.61%57.25%57.47%55.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Washington Nationals (Visitante)

Predicción 44.84%2.23momio equitativo
EV -0.909%
Ventaja -0.412%
Kelly -0.752%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.21

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.86%44.93%44.74%46.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.112.102.2150.00%47.40%47.62%45.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel1.81I 55.25%NM 53.47%EV -0.156%E -0.086%K -0.192%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-30 22:09
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -0.707%E -0.393%K -0.884%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -7.64%E -3.71%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 22:10
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -0.707%E -0.393%K -0.884%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -7.64%E -3.71%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 22:10
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -1.26%E -0.703%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -8.08%E -3.94%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 22:10
LeoVegas1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -1.26%E -0.703%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -8.08%E -3.94%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 22:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -1.26%E -0.703%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -8.08%E -3.94%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 22:09
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -1.26%E -0.703%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -8.08%E -3.94%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 22:09
Bally Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -1.26%E -0.703%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -8.08%E -3.94%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 22:09
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -1.26%E -0.703%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -8.08%E -3.94%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 22:09
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -1.26%E -0.703%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -8.08%E -3.94%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 22:09
Everygame1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -1.81%E -1.02%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -2.25%E -1.03%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-30 14:19
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -1.81%E -1.02%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -8.53%E -4.18%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 22:09
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -1.81%E -1.02%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -8.53%E -4.18%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 22:09
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -1.81%E -1.02%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -8.53%E -4.18%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 22:10
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -1.81%E -1.02%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -8.53%E -4.18%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 22:09
GTbets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.36%E -1.33%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.36%E -0.617%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-30 23:09
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.36%E -1.33%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.36%E -0.617%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-30 23:09
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.36%E -1.33%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.25%E -1.03%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-30 23:09
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.36%E -1.33%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.25%E -1.03%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-30 23:09
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.36%E -1.33%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.25%E -1.03%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-30 22:40
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.36%E -1.33%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 14:20
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.91%E -1.66%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -0.909%E -0.412%K -0.752%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-30 02:09
BetAnything1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%EV -2.91%E -1.66%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%EV -2.25%E -1.03%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-30 22:40
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -2.91%E -1.66%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -8.08%E -3.94%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 23:10
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.47%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 12:59
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.47%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.05%E -1.89%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 21:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.47%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 21:09
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.47%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.33%E -5.16%K -10.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 22:58
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.47%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.33%E -5.16%K -10.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 22:10
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 14:13
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 18:49
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 20:59
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -6.29%E -3.01%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 22:59
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.08%E -3.94%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 23:09
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.08%E -3.94%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 23:09
MyBookie.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -2.70%E -1.25%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 23:09
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 21:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 22:19
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 22:19
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.94%E -2.33%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 14:40
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.39%E -2.56%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 21:09
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 14:39
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 14:39
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 14:39
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 14:39
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 13:59
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.08%E -3.94%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-30 20:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.12%E -2.98%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 22:20
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.12%E -2.98%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 22:19
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.12%E -2.98%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 22:50
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.12%E -2.98%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.94%E -2.33%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 22:19
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.12%E -2.98%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.94%E -2.33%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 20:30
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.12%E -2.98%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.94%E -2.33%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 20:30
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.12%E -2.98%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 22:20
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.67%E -3.32%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.70%E -1.25%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 20:19
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.67%E -3.32%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 22:19
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.67%E -3.32%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 22:20
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.67%E -3.32%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 22:09
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 22:59
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 20:19
Betclic (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -7.88%E -4.72%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.65%EV -7.19%E -3.47%K -6.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-30 22:47
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.98%E -5.44%K -13.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.36%E -0.617%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 20:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-06-30 23:10
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-06-30 23:09
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-06-30 23:09
BetOpenly1.78I 56.18%NM 55.83%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.17%0.6%2026-06-30 22:49
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-30 22:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-06-30 23:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-06-30 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-06-30 23:10
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-06-30 23:00
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%2.4%2026-06-30 23:10