L’École des cotes

Boston Red Sox v Washington Nationals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-30 23:11 UTC

Score final : Boston Red Sox 1–8 Washington Nationals

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Prévision 55.16%1.81cote équitable
EV -0.156%
Avantage -0.086%
Kelly -0.192%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.33%55.07%55.26%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.751.741.8160.61%57.25%57.47%55.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Washington Nationals (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.84%2.23cote équitable
EV -0.909%
Avantage -0.412%
Kelly -0.752%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.21

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.86%44.93%44.74%46.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.112.102.2150.00%47.40%47.62%45.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel1.81I 55.25%NM 53.47%EV -0.156%E -0.086%K -0.192%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-30 22:09
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -0.707%E -0.393%K -0.884%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -7.64%E -3.71%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 22:10
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -0.707%E -0.393%K -0.884%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -7.64%E -3.71%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 22:10
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -1.26%E -0.703%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -8.08%E -3.94%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 22:10
LeoVegas1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -1.26%E -0.703%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -8.08%E -3.94%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 22:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -1.26%E -0.703%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -8.08%E -3.94%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 22:09
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -1.26%E -0.703%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -8.08%E -3.94%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 22:09
Bally Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -1.26%E -0.703%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -8.08%E -3.94%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 22:09
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -1.26%E -0.703%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -8.08%E -3.94%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 22:09
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -1.26%E -0.703%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -8.08%E -3.94%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 22:09
Everygame1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -1.81%E -1.02%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -2.25%E -1.03%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-30 14:19
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -1.81%E -1.02%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -8.53%E -4.18%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 22:09
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -1.81%E -1.02%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -8.53%E -4.18%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 22:09
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -1.81%E -1.02%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -8.53%E -4.18%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 22:10
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -1.81%E -1.02%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -8.53%E -4.18%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 22:09
GTbets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.36%E -1.33%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.36%E -0.617%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-30 23:09
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.36%E -1.33%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.36%E -0.617%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-30 23:09
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.36%E -1.33%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.25%E -1.03%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-30 23:09
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.36%E -1.33%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.25%E -1.03%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-30 23:09
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.36%E -1.33%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.25%E -1.03%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-30 22:40
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.36%E -1.33%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 14:20
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.91%E -1.66%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -0.909%E -0.412%K -0.752%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-30 02:09
BetAnything1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%EV -2.91%E -1.66%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%EV -2.25%E -1.03%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-30 22:40
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -2.91%E -1.66%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -8.08%E -3.94%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 23:10
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.47%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 12:59
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.47%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.05%E -1.89%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 21:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.47%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 21:09
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.47%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.33%E -5.16%K -10.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 22:58
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.47%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.33%E -5.16%K -10.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 22:10
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 14:13
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 18:49
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 20:59
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -6.29%E -3.01%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 22:59
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.08%E -3.94%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 23:09
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.08%E -3.94%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 23:09
MyBookie.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -2.70%E -1.25%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 23:09
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 21:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 22:19
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 22:19
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.94%E -2.33%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 14:40
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.39%E -2.56%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 21:09
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 14:39
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 14:39
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 14:39
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 14:39
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 13:59
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.08%E -3.94%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-30 20:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.12%E -2.98%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 22:20
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.12%E -2.98%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 22:19
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.12%E -2.98%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 22:50
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.12%E -2.98%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.94%E -2.33%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 22:19
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.12%E -2.98%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.94%E -2.33%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 20:30
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.12%E -2.98%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.94%E -2.33%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 20:30
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.12%E -2.98%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 22:20
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.67%E -3.32%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.70%E -1.25%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 20:19
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.67%E -3.32%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 22:19
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.67%E -3.32%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 22:20
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.67%E -3.32%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 22:09
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 22:59
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 20:19
Betclic (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -7.88%E -4.72%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.65%EV -7.19%E -3.47%K -6.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-30 22:47
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.98%E -5.44%K -13.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.36%E -0.617%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 20:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-06-30 23:10
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-06-30 23:09
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-06-30 23:09
BetOpenly1.78I 56.18%NM 55.83%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.17%0.6%2026-06-30 22:49
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-30 22:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-06-30 23:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-06-30 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-06-30 23:10
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-06-30 23:00
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%2.4%2026-06-30 23:10