Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.77
assuming max odds 2.33
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boston Red Sox (Local): 56.31%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visit): 43.69%. For Toronto Blue Jays (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.29. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.33, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.79%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -4.83%E -2.86%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV +1.79%E +0.770%K +1.35%G +0.024% | 2.1% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +0.484%E +0.210%K +0.372%G +0.002% | 3.4% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.11%EV -3.14%E -1.83%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.89%EV +0.047%E +0.020%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -4.27%E -2.51%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -0.390%E -0.171%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.71%E -2.17%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -0.827%E -0.364%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-18 17:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -3.14%E -1.83%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -1.26%E -0.559%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -3.14%E -1.83%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -1.26%E -0.559%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.14%E -0.954%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-18 17:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -1.46%E -0.831%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -2.57%E -1.15%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.83%E -2.86%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.01%E -1.36%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-18 17:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -3.01%E -1.36%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.71%E -2.17%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-18 16:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.71%E -2.17%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.71%E -2.17%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-18 16:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.71%E -2.17%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.27%E -2.51%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.27%E -2.51%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.27%E -2.51%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.27%E -2.51%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-18 17:18 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.27%E -2.51%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-18 16:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.83%E -2.86%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.83%E -2.86%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.83%E -2.86%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -0.329%E -0.186%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -4.32%E -1.97%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-06-18 16:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.27%E -2.51%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.76%E -2.18%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.83%E -2.86%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.76%E -2.18%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.76%E -2.18%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.76%E -2.18%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.27%E -2.51%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.20%E -2.39%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.58%E -1.49%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -6.07%E -2.82%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.71%E -2.17%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.07%E -2.82%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-18 16:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.71%E -2.17%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.07%E -2.82%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-18 16:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.71%E -2.17%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.07%E -2.82%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-18 16:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.27%E -2.51%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.07%E -2.82%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-18 16:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.07%E -2.82%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.07%E -2.82%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.07%E -2.82%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-18 16:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.07%E -2.82%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-18 16:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.07%E -2.82%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.52%E -3.93%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.07%E -2.82%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%EV -0.329%E -0.186%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%EV -6.51%E -3.04%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -1.46%E -0.831%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -7.38%E -3.48%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -1.46%E -0.831%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -7.38%E -3.48%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.14%E -1.83%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.38%E -3.48%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-18 16:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -7.09%E -4.29%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.88%EV -7.82%E -3.70%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.02%E -1.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.25%E -3.93%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.02%E -1.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.25%E -3.93%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.02%E -1.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.25%E -3.93%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.02%E -1.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.25%E -3.93%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.02%E -1.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.25%E -3.93%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.02%E -1.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.25%E -3.93%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.02%E -1.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.25%E -3.93%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.02%E -1.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.25%E -3.93%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.02%E -1.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.25%E -3.93%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.02%E -1.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.25%E -3.93%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.02%E -1.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.25%E -3.93%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.02%E -1.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.25%E -3.93%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.58%E -1.49%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.25%E -3.93%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-18 16:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.14%E -1.83%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.25%E -3.93%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-18 16:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.27%E -2.51%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.25%E -3.93%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -3.14%E -1.83%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -9.56%E -4.62%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -3.14%E -1.83%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -10.44%E -5.09%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-18 16:30 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.86% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 43.14% | -0.1% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.68% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 43.32% | 0.8% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 2.2% | 2026-06-18 16:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58% | 2.4% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |