L’École des cotes

Boston Red Sox v Toronto Blue Jays

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-18 17:36 UTC

Score final : Boston Red Sox 3–4 Toronto Blue Jays

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Prévision 56.31%1.78cote équitable
EV -0.329%
Avantage -0.186%
Kelly -0.427%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.38%56.25%56.28%57.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.711.711.7760.61%58.49%58.48%56.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Toronto Blue Jays (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.69%2.29cote équitable
EV +1.79%
Avantage +0.770%
Kelly +1.35%
Croissance +0.024%

avec la cote maximale 2.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.04%43.75%43.72%45.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.172.152.3348.78%46.16%46.51%42.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Everygame1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -4.83%E -2.86%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV +1.79%E +0.770%K +1.35%G +0.024%2.1%2026-06-18 17:30
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +0.484%E +0.210%K +0.372%G +0.002%3.4%2026-06-18 17:30
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.11%EV -3.14%E -1.83%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.89%EV +0.047%E +0.020%K +0.036%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-18 17:30
BetUS1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -4.27%E -2.51%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -0.390%E -0.171%K -0.305%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-18 17:30
BetAnything1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.71%E -2.17%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -0.827%E -0.364%K -0.651%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-18 17:20
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -3.14%E -1.83%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -1.26%E -0.559%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-18 17:30
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -3.14%E -1.83%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -1.26%E -0.559%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-18 17:30
MyBookie.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.14%E -0.954%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-18 17:29
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -1.46%E -0.831%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -2.57%E -1.15%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-18 17:30
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.83%E -2.86%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.01%E -1.36%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-18 17:29
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -3.01%E -1.36%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 17:30
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.71%E -2.17%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-18 16:30
Unibet (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.71%E -2.17%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-18 17:30
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.71%E -2.17%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-18 16:30
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.71%E -2.17%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-18 17:30
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.27%E -2.51%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 17:30
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.27%E -2.51%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.27%E -2.51%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 17:30
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.27%E -2.51%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 17:18
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.27%E -2.51%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 16:30
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.83%E -2.86%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 17:30
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.83%E -2.86%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 17:30
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.83%E -2.86%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 17:30
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 17:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 17:30
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -0.329%E -0.186%K -0.427%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -4.32%E -1.97%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-18 16:40
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.27%E -2.51%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.76%E -2.18%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 17:30
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.83%E -2.86%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.76%E -2.18%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 17:30
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.76%E -2.18%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 17:30
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.76%E -2.18%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 17:30
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.27%E -2.51%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.20%E -2.39%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-18 17:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.58%E -1.49%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -6.07%E -2.82%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 17:30
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.71%E -2.17%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.07%E -2.82%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 16:30
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.71%E -2.17%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.07%E -2.82%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 16:30
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.71%E -2.17%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.07%E -2.82%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 16:30
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.27%E -2.51%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.07%E -2.82%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 16:30
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.07%E -2.82%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-18 17:30
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.07%E -2.82%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-18 17:30
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.07%E -2.82%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-18 16:20
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.07%E -2.82%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-18 16:30
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.07%E -2.82%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-18 17:30
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.52%E -3.93%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.07%E -2.82%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-18 17:30
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%EV -0.329%E -0.186%K -0.427%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%EV -6.51%E -3.04%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-18 17:30
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -1.46%E -0.831%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -7.38%E -3.48%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 17:30
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -1.46%E -0.831%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -7.38%E -3.48%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 17:30
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.14%E -1.83%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.38%E -3.48%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 16:40
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -7.09%E -4.29%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.88%EV -7.82%E -3.70%K -7.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-18 17:30
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.02%E -1.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.25%E -3.93%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 17:30
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.02%E -1.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.25%E -3.93%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 17:30
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.02%E -1.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.25%E -3.93%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 17:30
LeoVegas1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.02%E -1.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.25%E -3.93%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 17:30
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.02%E -1.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.25%E -3.93%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 17:30
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.02%E -1.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.25%E -3.93%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 17:30
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.02%E -1.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.25%E -3.93%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.02%E -1.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.25%E -3.93%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 17:30
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.02%E -1.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.25%E -3.93%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 17:30
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.02%E -1.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.25%E -3.93%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 17:30
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.02%E -1.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.25%E -3.93%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 17:30
Bally Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.02%E -1.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.25%E -3.93%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 17:30
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.58%E -1.49%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.25%E -3.93%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 16:50
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.14%E -1.83%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.25%E -3.93%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 16:40
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.27%E -2.51%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.25%E -3.93%K -7.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-18 17:30
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -3.14%E -1.83%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -9.56%E -4.62%K -8.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-18 17:30
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -3.14%E -1.83%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -10.44%E -5.09%K -9.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-18 16:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.76I 56.82%NM 56.86%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.14%-0.1%2026-06-18 17:30
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-06-18 17:30
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-06-18 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-06-18 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-06-18 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-06-18 17:30
ProphetX1.75I 57.14%NM 56.68%2.29I 43.67%NM 43.32%0.8%2026-06-18 17:30
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-06-18 17:30
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-06-18 16:50
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%2.4%2026-06-18 17:30