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Boston Red Sox v Toronto Blue Jays
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Boston Red Sox (Local)
Predicción 56.31%1.78momio equitativo
EV -0.329%
Ventaja -0.186%
Kelly -0.427%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.38%56.25%56.28%57.96%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.651.711.711.7760.61%58.49%58.48%56.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante)
Predicción 43.69%2.29momio equitativo
EV +1.79%
Ventaja +0.770%
Kelly +1.35%
Crecimiento +0.024%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.04%43.75%43.72%45.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.052.172.152.3348.78%46.16%46.51%42.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Boston Red Sox (Local): 56.31%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante): 43.69%. Para Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.29. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.33, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.79%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -4.83%E -2.86%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV +1.79%E +0.770%K +1.35%G +0.024% | 2.1% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +0.484%E +0.210%K +0.372%G +0.002% | 3.4% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.11%EV -3.14%E -1.83%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.89%EV +0.047%E +0.020%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -4.27%E -2.51%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -0.390%E -0.171%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.71%E -2.17%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -0.827%E -0.364%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-18 17:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -3.14%E -1.83%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -1.26%E -0.559%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -3.14%E -1.83%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -1.26%E -0.559%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.14%E -0.954%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-18 17:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -1.46%E -0.831%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -2.57%E -1.15%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.83%E -2.86%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.01%E -1.36%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-18 17:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -3.01%E -1.36%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.71%E -2.17%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-18 16:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.71%E -2.17%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.71%E -2.17%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-18 16:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.71%E -2.17%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.27%E -2.51%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.27%E -2.51%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.27%E -2.51%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.27%E -2.51%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-18 17:18 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.27%E -2.51%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-18 16:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.83%E -2.86%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.83%E -2.86%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.83%E -2.86%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -0.329%E -0.186%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -4.32%E -1.97%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-06-18 16:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.27%E -2.51%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.76%E -2.18%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.83%E -2.86%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.76%E -2.18%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.76%E -2.18%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.76%E -2.18%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.27%E -2.51%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.20%E -2.39%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.58%E -1.49%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -6.07%E -2.82%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.71%E -2.17%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.07%E -2.82%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-18 16:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.71%E -2.17%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.07%E -2.82%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-18 16:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.71%E -2.17%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.07%E -2.82%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-18 16:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.27%E -2.51%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.07%E -2.82%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-18 16:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.07%E -2.82%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.07%E -2.82%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.07%E -2.82%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-18 16:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.07%E -2.82%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-18 16:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.07%E -2.82%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.52%E -3.93%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.07%E -2.82%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%EV -0.329%E -0.186%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%EV -6.51%E -3.04%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -1.46%E -0.831%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -7.38%E -3.48%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -1.46%E -0.831%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -7.38%E -3.48%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.14%E -1.83%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.38%E -3.48%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-18 16:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -7.09%E -4.29%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.88%EV -7.82%E -3.70%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.02%E -1.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.25%E -3.93%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.02%E -1.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.25%E -3.93%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.02%E -1.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.25%E -3.93%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.02%E -1.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.25%E -3.93%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.02%E -1.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.25%E -3.93%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.02%E -1.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.25%E -3.93%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.02%E -1.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.25%E -3.93%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.02%E -1.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.25%E -3.93%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.02%E -1.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.25%E -3.93%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.02%E -1.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.25%E -3.93%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.02%E -1.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.25%E -3.93%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.02%E -1.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.25%E -3.93%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.58%E -1.49%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.25%E -3.93%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-18 16:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.14%E -1.83%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.25%E -3.93%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-18 16:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.27%E -2.51%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.25%E -3.93%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -3.14%E -1.83%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -9.56%E -4.62%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -3.14%E -1.83%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -10.44%E -5.09%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-18 16:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.86% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 43.14% | -0.1% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.68% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 43.32% | 0.8% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 2.2% | 2026-06-18 16:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58% | 2.4% | 2026-06-18 17:30 |