Boston Red Sox v Tampa Bay Rays

2026-07-18 20:11 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

52%

48%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Prediction 52.25%1.91fair odd

EV -1.25%

Edge -0.664%

Kelly -1.41%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

51.59%52.35%52.22%53.25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.741.821.801.8957%55%56%53%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Tampa Bay Rays (Visit)

Prediction 47.75%2.09fair odd

EV -2.10%

Edge -1.03%

Kelly -2.00%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

46.75%47.65%47.78%48.41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.901.992.002.0553%50%50%49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
1xBet	1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -1.25%E -0.664%K -1.41%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -2.58%E -1.27%K -2.48%G +0.000%	1.9%	2026-07-17 18:09
LowVig.ag	1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.30%E -1.23%K -2.64%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.58%E -1.27%K -2.48%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-07-17 17:49
BetOnline.ag	1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.30%E -1.23%K -2.64%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.58%E -1.27%K -2.48%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-07-17 17:50
FanDuel	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.39%E -2.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.54%E -1.75%K -3.47%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-17 17:50
MyBookie.ag	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.39%E -2.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.54%E -1.75%K -3.47%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-17 17:54
Unibet (UK)	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.39%E -2.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.49%E -2.25%K -4.49%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-07-17 17:49
PointsBet (AU)	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.39%E -2.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.49%E -2.25%K -4.49%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-07-17 17:54
DraftKings	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.39%E -2.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.49%E -2.25%K -4.49%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-07-17 18:04
Caesars	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.39%E -2.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.49%E -2.25%K -4.49%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-07-17 18:04
Betway	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.39%E -2.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.49%E -2.25%K -4.49%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-07-17 20:14
Fliff	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.39%E -2.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.88%E -3.53%K -7.24%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-17 17:49
Bet Right	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.91%E -2.70%K -5.99%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.54%E -1.75%K -3.47%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-07-17 17:59
PlayUp	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.91%E -2.70%K -5.99%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.49%E -2.25%K -4.49%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-07-17 17:59
Fanatics	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.96%E -3.31%K -7.45%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.10%E -1.03%K -2.00%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-17 17:54
SportsBet	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.96%E -3.31%K -7.45%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.49%E -2.25%K -4.49%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-17 17:49
Paddy Power	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.96%E -3.31%K -7.45%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.49%E -2.25%K -4.49%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-17 17:49
ReBet	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.96%E -3.31%K -7.45%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.49%E -2.25%K -4.49%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-17 20:14
888sport	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.96%E -3.31%K -7.45%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.49%E -2.25%K -4.49%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-17 18:00
Betr (AU)	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.96%E -3.31%K -7.45%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.49%E -2.25%K -4.49%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-17 18:00
888sport (SE)	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.96%E -3.31%K -7.45%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.49%E -2.25%K -4.49%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-17 17:59
Mr Green (SE)	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.96%E -3.31%K -7.45%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.49%E -2.25%K -4.49%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-17 17:59
Betclic (FR)	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.96%E -3.31%K -7.45%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.45%E -2.75%K -5.56%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-17 17:49
Winamax (DE)	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.96%E -3.31%K -7.45%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.45%E -2.75%K -5.56%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-17 17:54
Bet Victor	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.96%E -3.31%K -7.45%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.88%E -3.53%K -7.24%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-07-17 17:52
betano_uk	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.96%E -3.31%K -7.45%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.88%E -3.53%K -7.24%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-07-17 17:53
Unibet (FR)	1.74I 57.47%NM 52.20%EV -9.09%E -5.23%K -12.29%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 47.80%EV -9.27%E -4.88%K -10.30%G +0.000%	10.1%	2026-07-17 17:48
Winamax (FR)	1.74I 57.47%NM 52.20%EV -9.09%E -5.23%K -12.29%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 47.80%EV -9.27%E -4.88%K -10.30%G +0.000%	10.1%	2026-07-17 17:54

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi	1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00%	2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00%	0.2%	2026-07-17 20:04
Polymarket	1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%	2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%	1.1%	2026-07-17 19:59
Novig	1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%	2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%	2.1%	2026-07-17 20:14
Smarkets	1.74I 57.47%NM 52.20%	1.90I 52.63%NM 47.80%	10.1%	2026-07-17 17:49