L’École des cotes

Boston Red Sox v Tampa Bay Rays

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-18 21:11 UTC

Score final : Boston Red Sox 7–6 Tampa Bay Rays

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Prévision 52.13%1.92cote équitable
EV +0.084%
Avantage +0.044%
Kelly +0.091%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.47%52.01%52.22%53.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.851.851.9258.82%54.11%54.05%52.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Tampa Bay Rays (Visiteur)

Prévision 47.87%2.09cote équitable
EV -0.903%
Avantage -0.436%
Kelly -0.844%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.07

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.19%47.99%47.78%50.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.871.971.962.0753.48%50.81%51.02%48.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Dabble (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV +0.084%E +0.044%K +0.091%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -9.04%E -4.76%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 20:10
Pinnacle1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -0.437%E -0.229%K -0.481%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -3.78%E -1.88%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-18 21:08
BetRivers1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -0.437%E -0.229%K -0.481%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -6.17%E -3.15%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-18 21:10
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -0.437%E -0.229%K -0.481%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -6.17%E -3.15%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-18 21:10
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -0.437%E -0.229%K -0.481%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -7.13%E -3.67%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-18 14:10
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -0.437%E -0.229%K -0.481%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -10.48%E -5.60%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 19:45
SportsBet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -1.48%E -0.783%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -8.56%E -4.48%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 14:10
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -2.00%E -1.06%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -7.13%E -3.67%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 21:10
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -2.00%E -1.06%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -7.13%E -3.67%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 21:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.00%E -1.06%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.61%E -3.94%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:00
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.00%E -1.06%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.61%E -3.94%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:00
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.00%E -1.06%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.61%E -3.94%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:00
Bally Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.00%E -1.06%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.61%E -3.94%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:00
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.00%E -1.06%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.61%E -3.94%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:00
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.00%E -1.06%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.61%E -3.94%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:00
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.52%E -1.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.86%E -0.907%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-18 19:35
Everygame1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.52%E -1.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.86%E -0.907%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-18 20:54
BetAnything1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.52%E -1.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.30%E -1.63%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-18 19:30
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.52%E -1.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.65%E -3.41%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 20:00
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -2.52%E -1.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -7.61%E -3.94%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 21:10
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -2.52%E -1.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -7.61%E -3.94%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 21:10
TABtouch1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -2.52%E -1.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -7.61%E -3.94%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 21:10
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.52%E -1.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.48%E -5.60%K -12.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-18 17:45
GTbets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.57%E -1.93%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -0.903%E -0.436%K -0.844%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-18 20:55
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -3.57%E -1.93%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -1.38%E -0.671%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-18 20:55
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -3.57%E -1.93%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -1.38%E -0.671%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-18 20:55
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.57%E -1.93%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.69%E -2.89%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 20:05
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.57%E -1.93%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.17%E -3.15%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 20:05
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.57%E -1.93%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.17%E -3.15%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 19:35
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -3.57%E -1.93%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -8.56%E -4.48%K -9.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 18:50
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -3.57%E -1.93%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -8.56%E -4.48%K -9.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 18:50
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -3.57%E -1.93%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -8.56%E -4.48%K -9.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 18:50
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.30%E -1.63%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 21:10
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 20:05
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 19:15
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 18:50
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 18:50
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 18:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.21%E -2.63%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 18:50
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.21%E -2.63%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 18:50
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -8.08%E -4.21%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-18 21:10
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -9.52%E -5.04%K -10.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-18 21:10
DraftKings1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.13%E -2.82%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -7.13%E -3.67%K -7.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-18 21:10
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.86%E -0.907%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 21:09
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.30%E -1.63%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 21:09
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 21:10
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.65%E -3.41%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 21:10
Betsson1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.69%E -3.74%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.30%E -1.63%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 21:10
NordicBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.69%E -3.74%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.30%E -1.63%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 21:10
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -8.26%E -4.69%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -1.86%E -0.907%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 21:05
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.78%E -5.02%K -11.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.65%E -3.41%K -7.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-18 21:09
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.55%EV -11.38%E -6.70%K -16.26%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.45%EV -6.17%E -3.15%K -6.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-18 21:07
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-18 18:50
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-18 20:55
ProphetX1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35%1.4%2026-07-18 21:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35%1.4%2026-07-18 21:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35%1.4%2026-07-18 21:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35%1.4%2026-07-18 21:05
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 51.78%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22%1.7%2026-07-18 20:40
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-07-18 19:40
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 49.60%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.40%6.7%2026-07-18 21:10