Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Boston Red Sox v Tampa Bay Rays

Início: 2026-07-18 21:11 UTC

Final: Boston Red Sox 7–6 Tampa Bay Rays

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Previsão 52.13%1.92odd justa
EV +0.084%
Vantagem +0.044%
Kelly +0.091%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.92

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.47%52.01%52.22%53.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.701.851.851.9258.82%54.11%54.05%52.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Tampa Bay Rays (Visitante)

Previsão 47.87%2.09odd justa
EV -0.903%
Vantagem -0.436%
Kelly -0.844%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.07

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.19%47.99%47.78%50.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.871.971.962.0753.48%50.81%51.02%48.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Boston Red Sox (Local): 52.13%; Tampa Bay Rays (Visitante): 47.87%. Para Boston Red Sox (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.918. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.920, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.084%.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Dabble (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV +0.084%E +0.044%K +0.091%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -9.04%E -4.76%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 20:10
Pinnacle🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -0.437%E -0.229%K -0.481%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -3.78%E -1.88%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-18 21:08
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -0.437%E -0.229%K -0.481%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -6.17%E -3.15%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-18 21:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -0.437%E -0.229%K -0.481%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -6.17%E -3.15%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-18 21:10
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -0.437%E -0.229%K -0.481%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -7.13%E -3.67%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-18 14:10
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -0.437%E -0.229%K -0.481%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -10.48%E -5.60%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 19:45
SportsBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -1.48%E -0.783%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -8.56%E -4.48%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 14:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -2.00%E -1.06%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -7.13%E -3.67%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 21:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -2.00%E -1.06%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -7.13%E -3.67%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 21:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.00%E -1.06%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.61%E -3.94%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:00
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.00%E -1.06%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.61%E -3.94%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:00
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.00%E -1.06%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.61%E -3.94%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:00
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.00%E -1.06%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.61%E -3.94%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:00
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.00%E -1.06%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.61%E -3.94%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.00%E -1.06%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.61%E -3.94%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:00
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.52%E -1.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.86%E -0.907%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-18 19:35
Everygame🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.52%E -1.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.86%E -0.907%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-18 20:54
BetAnything🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.52%E -1.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.30%E -1.63%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-18 19:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.52%E -1.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.65%E -3.41%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 20:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -2.52%E -1.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -7.61%E -3.94%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 21:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -2.52%E -1.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -7.61%E -3.94%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 21:10
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -2.52%E -1.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -7.61%E -3.94%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 21:10
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.52%E -1.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.48%E -5.60%K -12.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-18 17:45
GTbets🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.57%E -1.93%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -0.903%E -0.436%K -0.844%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-18 20:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -3.57%E -1.93%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -1.38%E -0.671%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-18 20:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -3.57%E -1.93%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -1.38%E -0.671%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-18 20:55
Bet Right🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.57%E -1.93%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.69%E -2.89%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 20:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.57%E -1.93%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.17%E -3.15%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 20:05
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.57%E -1.93%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.17%E -3.15%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 19:35
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -3.57%E -1.93%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -8.56%E -4.48%K -9.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 18:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -3.57%E -1.93%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -8.56%E -4.48%K -9.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 18:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -3.57%E -1.93%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -8.56%E -4.48%K -9.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 18:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.30%E -1.63%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 21:10
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 20:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 19:15
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 18:50
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 18:50
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 18:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.21%E -2.63%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 18:50
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.21%E -2.63%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 18:50
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -8.08%E -4.21%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-18 21:10
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -9.52%E -5.04%K -10.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-18 21:10
DraftKings🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.13%E -2.82%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -7.13%E -3.67%K -7.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-18 21:10
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.86%E -0.907%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 21:09
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.30%E -1.63%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 21:09
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 21:10
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.65%E -3.41%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 21:10
Betsson🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.69%E -3.74%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.30%E -1.63%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 21:10
NordicBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.69%E -3.74%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.30%E -1.63%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 21:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -8.26%E -4.69%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -1.86%E -0.907%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 21:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.78%E -5.02%K -11.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.65%E -3.41%K -7.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-18 21:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.55%EV -11.38%E -6.70%K -16.26%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.45%EV -6.17%E -3.15%K -6.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-18 21:07
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-18 18:50
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-18 20:55
ProphetX1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35%1.4%2026-07-18 21:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35%1.4%2026-07-18 21:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35%1.4%2026-07-18 21:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35%1.4%2026-07-18 21:05
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 51.78%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22%1.7%2026-07-18 20:40
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-07-18 19:40
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 49.60%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.40%6.7%2026-07-18 21:10