Language:English
Boston Red Sox v Kansas City Royals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Boston Red Sox (Local)
Prediction 66.01%1.51fair odd
EV -0.318%
Edge -0.210%
Kelly -0.623%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.16%65.95%66.13%68.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.441.441.5173.53%69.50%69.44%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kansas City Royals (Visit)
Prediction 33.99%2.94fair odd
EV +1.96%
Edge +0.652%
Kelly +0.978%
Growth +0.019%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.87%34.05%33.87%35.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.832.843.0038.46%35.37%35.21%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boston Red Sox (Local): 66.01%; Kansas City Royals (Visit): 33.99%. For Kansas City Royals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.94. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.96%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -6.26%E -4.41%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +1.96%E +0.652%K +0.978%G +0.019% | 3.8% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -6.26%E -4.41%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +1.96%E +0.652%K +0.978%G +0.019% | 3.8% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -6.92%E -4.91%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV +1.96%E +0.652%K +0.978%G +0.019% | 4.3% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -6.92%E -4.91%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV +1.96%E +0.652%K +0.978%G +0.019% | 4.3% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.92%E -4.91%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.256%E +0.087%K +0.131%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.92%E -4.91%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.256%E +0.087%K +0.131%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.92%E -4.91%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.256%E +0.087%K +0.131%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.92%E -4.91%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.256%E +0.087%K +0.131%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.92%E -4.91%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.256%E +0.087%K +0.131%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.92%E -4.91%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.256%E +0.087%K +0.131%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.58%E -5.41%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +0.256%E +0.087%K +0.131%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.90%E -6.45%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV +0.256%E +0.087%K +0.131%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.90%E -6.45%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV +0.256%E +0.087%K +0.131%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.60%E -3.92%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -0.763%E -0.261%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%EV -2.96%E -2.01%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%EV -1.44%E -0.498%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%EV -2.96%E -2.01%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%EV -1.44%E -0.498%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.94%E -3.43%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -1.44%E -0.498%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.60%E -3.92%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -1.44%E -0.498%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.13%EV -2.30%E -1.55%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.87%EV -1.78%E -0.617%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-09-12 20:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -6.26%E -4.41%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -1.78%E -0.617%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 19:01 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -4.28%E -2.95%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -2.12%E -0.737%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -10.22%E -7.51%K -28.39%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -2.12%E -0.737%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.13%EV -2.96%E -2.01%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.87%EV -2.46%E -0.858%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -2.96%E -2.01%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -3.14%E -1.10%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-12 20:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.94%E -3.43%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.14%E -1.10%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.94%E -3.43%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.14%E -1.10%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.60%E -3.92%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.14%E -1.10%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.60%E -3.92%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.14%E -1.10%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.58%E -5.41%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.14%E -1.10%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.58%E -5.41%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.14%E -1.10%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.58%E -5.41%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.14%E -1.10%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.89%EV -2.96%E -2.01%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.11%EV -3.48%E -1.23%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.98%EV -7.58%E -5.41%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.02%EV -3.48%E -1.23%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-12 20:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%EV -0.318%E -0.210%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%EV -4.50%E -1.60%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-09-12 19:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -1.64%E -1.10%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -4.84%E -1.73%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-12 18:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.28%E -2.95%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.84%E -1.73%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-12 20:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.28%E -2.95%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.84%E -1.73%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-12 20:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.28%E -2.95%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.84%E -1.73%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-12 20:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.28%E -2.95%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.84%E -1.73%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.94%E -3.43%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.84%E -1.73%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.94%E -3.43%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.84%E -1.73%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-12 20:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.94%E -3.43%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.84%E -1.73%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-12 20:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.26%E -4.41%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.84%E -1.73%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-12 16:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.26%E -4.41%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.84%E -1.73%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.58%E -5.41%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.84%E -1.73%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 17:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.49%EV -2.96%E -2.01%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.51%EV -5.18%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.94%E -3.43%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -5.52%E -1.99%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-12 20:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.94%E -3.43%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -5.52%E -1.99%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-12 20:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.30%E -1.55%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.54%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.30%E -1.55%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.54%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-12 20:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.30%E -1.55%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.54%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-12 19:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.28%E -2.95%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.54%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 16:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.94%E -3.43%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.54%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.94%E -3.43%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.54%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -3.62%E -2.48%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -7.56%E -2.78%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 19:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.30%E -1.55%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.24%E -3.05%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.30%E -1.55%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.24%E -3.05%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.30%E -1.55%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.24%E -3.05%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-12 19:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.62%E -2.48%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -8.24%E -3.05%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-12 19:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.28%E -2.95%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.24%E -3.05%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 20:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.30%E -1.55%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.94%E -3.75%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 20:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.28%E -2.95%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.94%E -3.75%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-12 19:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -4.28%E -2.95%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -10.96%E -4.18%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 19:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -4.28%E -2.95%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -10.96%E -4.18%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 19:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -5.60%E -3.92%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -11.64%E -4.48%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-12 19:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.59% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 33.41% | 0.1% | 2026-09-12 20:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33% | 0.7% | 2026-09-12 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33% | 0.7% | 2026-09-12 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33% | 0.7% | 2026-09-12 20:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48% | 0.9% | 2026-09-12 20:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.89% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 33.11% | 1.0% | 2026-09-12 20:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-09-12 14:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.67% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.33% | 1.4% | 2026-09-12 20:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.82% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.18% | 2.5% | 2026-09-12 19:55 |