默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Boston Red Sox v Kansas City Royals

开赛时间: 2026-09-12 20:11 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

65 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Boston Red Sox (主队)

预测 66.01%1.51公平赔率
EV -0.318%
优势 -0.210%
Kelly -0.623%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.51

博彩公司预测分布
64.16%65.95%66.13%68.13%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.361.441.441.5173.53%69.50%69.44%66.23%最小值均值中位数最大值

Kansas City Royals (客队)

预测 33.99%2.94公平赔率
EV +1.96%
优势 +0.652%
Kelly +0.978%
增长率 +0.019%

假设最高赔率为 3.00

博彩公司预测分布
31.87%34.05%33.87%35.84%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.602.832.843.0038.46%35.37%35.21%33.33%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Boston Red Sox (主队):66.01%;Kansas City Royals (客队):33.99%。 对于“Kansas City Royals (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.94。 当时有13家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.00,对应+1.96%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (65 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
BetRivers🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -6.26%E -4.41%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +1.96%E +0.652%K +0.978%G +0.019%3.8%2026-09-12 18:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -6.26%E -4.41%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +1.96%E +0.652%K +0.978%G +0.019%3.8%2026-09-12 18:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -6.92%E -4.91%K -16.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV +1.96%E +0.652%K +0.978%G +0.019%4.3%2026-09-12 18:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -6.92%E -4.91%K -16.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV +1.96%E +0.652%K +0.978%G +0.019%4.3%2026-09-12 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.92%E -4.91%K -16.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.256%E +0.087%K +0.131%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 18:55
Unibet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.92%E -4.91%K -16.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.256%E +0.087%K +0.131%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 18:55
Casumo🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.92%E -4.91%K -16.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.256%E +0.087%K +0.131%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 18:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.92%E -4.91%K -16.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.256%E +0.087%K +0.131%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 18:55
betPARX🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.92%E -4.91%K -16.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.256%E +0.087%K +0.131%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 18:55
Bally Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.92%E -4.91%K -16.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.256%E +0.087%K +0.131%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 18:55
TABtouch🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.58%E -5.41%K -18.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +0.256%E +0.087%K +0.131%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 18:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.90%E -6.45%K -23.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV +0.256%E +0.087%K +0.131%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 18:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.90%E -6.45%K -23.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV +0.256%E +0.087%K +0.131%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 18:55
Caesars🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.60%E -3.92%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -0.763%E -0.261%K -0.398%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 14:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%EV -2.96%E -2.01%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%EV -1.44%E -0.498%K -0.759%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-12 14:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%EV -2.96%E -2.01%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%EV -1.44%E -0.498%K -0.759%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-12 14:20
theScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.94%E -3.43%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -1.44%E -0.498%K -0.759%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-12 14:20
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.60%E -3.92%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -1.44%E -0.498%K -0.759%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 19:00
Pinnacle🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 66.13%EV -2.30%E -1.55%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.87%EV -1.78%E -0.617%K -0.943%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-12 20:09
SportsBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -6.26%E -4.41%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -1.78%E -0.617%K -0.943%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 19:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -4.28%E -2.95%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -2.12%E -0.737%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-12 19:00
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -10.22%E -7.51%K -28.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -2.12%E -0.737%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-12 18:55
GTbets🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.13%EV -2.96%E -2.01%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.87%EV -2.46%E -0.858%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-12 14:20
BetAnything🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -2.96%E -2.01%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -3.14%E -1.10%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-12 20:05
Bet Right🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.94%E -3.43%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.14%E -1.10%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 19:00
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.94%E -3.43%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.14%E -1.10%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 19:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.60%E -3.92%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.14%E -1.10%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 19:00
Coolbet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.60%E -3.92%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.14%E -1.10%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 19:00
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.58%E -5.41%K -18.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.14%E -1.10%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 19:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.58%E -5.41%K -18.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.14%E -1.10%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 19:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.58%E -5.41%K -18.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.14%E -1.10%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 19:00
BetUS🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.89%EV -2.96%E -2.01%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.11%EV -3.48%E -1.23%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-12 14:20
DraftKings🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.98%EV -7.58%E -5.41%K -18.95%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.02%EV -3.48%E -1.23%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 20:10
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%EV -0.318%E -0.210%K -0.623%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%EV -4.50%E -1.60%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-12 19:55
Everygame🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -1.64%E -1.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -4.84%E -1.73%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-12 18:04
Fanatics🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.28%E -2.95%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.84%E -1.73%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 20:00
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.28%E -2.95%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.84%E -1.73%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 20:05
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.28%E -2.95%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.84%E -1.73%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 20:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.28%E -2.95%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.84%E -1.73%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 14:20
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.94%E -3.43%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.84%E -1.73%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.94%E -3.43%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.84%E -1.73%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 20:10
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.94%E -3.43%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.84%E -1.73%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 20:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.26%E -4.41%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.84%E -1.73%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 16:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.26%E -4.41%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.84%E -1.73%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.58%E -5.41%K -18.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.84%E -1.73%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 17:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.49%EV -2.96%E -2.01%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.51%EV -5.18%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-12 14:20
NordicBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.94%E -3.43%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -5.52%E -1.99%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 20:09
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.94%E -3.43%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -5.52%E -1.99%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 20:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.30%E -1.55%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.54%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.30%E -1.55%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.54%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-12 20:09
ReBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.30%E -1.55%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.54%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-12 19:40
LeoVegas🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.28%E -2.95%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.54%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 16:50
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.94%E -3.43%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.54%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 14:20
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.94%E -3.43%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.54%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 14:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -3.62%E -2.48%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -7.56%E -2.78%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 19:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.30%E -1.55%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.24%E -3.05%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 19:00
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.30%E -1.55%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.24%E -3.05%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 19:00
TAB🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.30%E -1.55%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.24%E -3.05%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 19:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.62%E -2.48%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -8.24%E -3.05%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-12 19:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.28%E -2.95%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.24%E -3.05%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 20:00
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.30%E -1.55%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.94%E -3.75%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 20:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.28%E -2.95%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.94%E -3.75%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 19:35
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -4.28%E -2.95%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -10.96%E -4.18%K -6.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 19:59
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -4.28%E -2.95%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -10.96%E -4.18%K -6.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 19:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -5.60%E -3.92%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -11.64%E -4.48%K -7.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-12 19:45
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly1.50I 66.67%NM 66.59%2.99I 33.44%NM 33.41%0.1%2026-09-12 20:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%0.7%2026-09-12 20:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%0.7%2026-09-12 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%0.7%2026-09-12 20:00
ProphetX1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%0.9%2026-09-12 20:00
Novig1.48I 67.57%NM 66.89%2.99I 33.44%NM 33.11%1.0%2026-09-12 20:10
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-09-12 14:25
Matchbook1.48I 67.57%NM 66.67%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.33%1.4%2026-09-12 20:10
Smarkets1.46I 68.49%NM 66.82%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.18%2.5%2026-09-12 19:55