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Boston Red Sox v Kansas City Royals
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Boston Red Sox (Local)
Predicción 66.01%1.51momio equitativo
EV -0.318%
Ventaja -0.210%
Kelly -0.623%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.51
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.16%65.95%66.13%68.13%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.361.441.441.5173.53%69.50%69.44%66.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Kansas City Royals (Visitante)
Predicción 33.99%2.94momio equitativo
EV +1.96%
Ventaja +0.652%
Kelly +0.978%
Crecimiento +0.019%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.87%34.05%33.87%35.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.602.832.843.0038.46%35.37%35.21%33.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Boston Red Sox (Local): 66.01%; Kansas City Royals (Visitante): 33.99%. Para Kansas City Royals (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.94. 13 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.96%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -6.26%E -4.41%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +1.96%E +0.652%K +0.978%G +0.019% | 3.8% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -6.26%E -4.41%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +1.96%E +0.652%K +0.978%G +0.019% | 3.8% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -6.92%E -4.91%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV +1.96%E +0.652%K +0.978%G +0.019% | 4.3% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -6.92%E -4.91%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV +1.96%E +0.652%K +0.978%G +0.019% | 4.3% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.92%E -4.91%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.256%E +0.087%K +0.131%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.92%E -4.91%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.256%E +0.087%K +0.131%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.92%E -4.91%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.256%E +0.087%K +0.131%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.92%E -4.91%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.256%E +0.087%K +0.131%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.92%E -4.91%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.256%E +0.087%K +0.131%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.92%E -4.91%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.256%E +0.087%K +0.131%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.58%E -5.41%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +0.256%E +0.087%K +0.131%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.90%E -6.45%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV +0.256%E +0.087%K +0.131%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.90%E -6.45%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV +0.256%E +0.087%K +0.131%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.60%E -3.92%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -0.763%E -0.261%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%EV -2.96%E -2.01%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%EV -1.44%E -0.498%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%EV -2.96%E -2.01%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%EV -1.44%E -0.498%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.94%E -3.43%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -1.44%E -0.498%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.60%E -3.92%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -1.44%E -0.498%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.13%EV -2.30%E -1.55%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.87%EV -1.78%E -0.617%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-09-12 20:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -6.26%E -4.41%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -1.78%E -0.617%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 19:01 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -4.28%E -2.95%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -2.12%E -0.737%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -10.22%E -7.51%K -28.39%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -2.12%E -0.737%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-12 18:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.13%EV -2.96%E -2.01%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.87%EV -2.46%E -0.858%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -2.96%E -2.01%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -3.14%E -1.10%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-12 20:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.94%E -3.43%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.14%E -1.10%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.94%E -3.43%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.14%E -1.10%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.60%E -3.92%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.14%E -1.10%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.60%E -3.92%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.14%E -1.10%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.58%E -5.41%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.14%E -1.10%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.58%E -5.41%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.14%E -1.10%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.58%E -5.41%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.14%E -1.10%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.89%EV -2.96%E -2.01%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.11%EV -3.48%E -1.23%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.98%EV -7.58%E -5.41%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.02%EV -3.48%E -1.23%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-12 20:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%EV -0.318%E -0.210%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%EV -4.50%E -1.60%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-09-12 19:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -1.64%E -1.10%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -4.84%E -1.73%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-12 18:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.28%E -2.95%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.84%E -1.73%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-12 20:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.28%E -2.95%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.84%E -1.73%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-12 20:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.28%E -2.95%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.84%E -1.73%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-12 20:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.28%E -2.95%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.84%E -1.73%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.94%E -3.43%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.84%E -1.73%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.94%E -3.43%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.84%E -1.73%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-12 20:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.94%E -3.43%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.84%E -1.73%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-12 20:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.26%E -4.41%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.84%E -1.73%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-12 16:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.26%E -4.41%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.84%E -1.73%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.58%E -5.41%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.84%E -1.73%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 17:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.49%EV -2.96%E -2.01%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.51%EV -5.18%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.94%E -3.43%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -5.52%E -1.99%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-12 20:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.94%E -3.43%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -5.52%E -1.99%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-12 20:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.30%E -1.55%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.54%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.30%E -1.55%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.54%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-12 20:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.30%E -1.55%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.54%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-12 19:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.28%E -2.95%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.54%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 16:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.94%E -3.43%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.54%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.94%E -3.43%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.54%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -3.62%E -2.48%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -7.56%E -2.78%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 19:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.30%E -1.55%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.24%E -3.05%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.30%E -1.55%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.24%E -3.05%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.30%E -1.55%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.24%E -3.05%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-12 19:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.62%E -2.48%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -8.24%E -3.05%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-12 19:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.28%E -2.95%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.24%E -3.05%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 20:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.30%E -1.55%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.94%E -3.75%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 20:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.28%E -2.95%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.94%E -3.75%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-12 19:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -4.28%E -2.95%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -10.96%E -4.18%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 19:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -4.28%E -2.95%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -10.96%E -4.18%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 19:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -5.60%E -3.92%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -11.64%E -4.48%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-12 19:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.59% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 33.41% | 0.1% | 2026-09-12 20:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33% | 0.7% | 2026-09-12 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33% | 0.7% | 2026-09-12 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33% | 0.7% | 2026-09-12 20:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48% | 0.9% | 2026-09-12 20:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.89% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 33.11% | 1.0% | 2026-09-12 20:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-09-12 14:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.67% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.33% | 1.4% | 2026-09-12 20:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.82% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.18% | 2.5% | 2026-09-12 19:55 |