Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.75
assuming max odds 2.31
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boston Red Sox (Local): 56.53%; Detroit Tigers (Visit): 43.47%. For Detroit Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.30. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.31, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.410%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV +0.410%E +0.177%K +0.313%G +0.001% | 2.1% | 2026-04-19 20:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -6.72%E -4.07%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -0.894%E -0.392%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-19 20:33 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -2.20%E -1.27%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -1.33%E -0.585%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-04-19 20:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -2.20%E -1.27%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -1.33%E -0.585%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-04-19 20:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.46%E -2.64%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.20%E -0.977%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-19 20:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.20%E -0.977%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-19 20:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.42%E -5.20%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.20%E -0.977%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 20:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.42%E -5.20%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.20%E -0.977%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 20:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.20%E -1.27%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.63%E -1.18%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-19 20:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.20%E -1.27%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.63%E -1.18%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-19 20:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.20%E -1.27%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.63%E -1.18%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-19 20:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -6.16%E -3.71%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -3.50%E -1.58%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 20:34 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -3.94%E -1.78%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-19 20:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -2.20%E -1.27%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-19 20:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -2.20%E -1.27%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-19 20:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-19 20:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-19 20:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-19 20:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-19 20:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.46%E -2.64%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-19 20:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 20:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 20:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 20:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 20:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 20:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.72%E -4.07%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-19 20:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.42%E -5.20%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-19 20:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.55%E -5.97%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-19 20:27 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -4.81%E -2.19%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-19 20:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -2.76%E -1.61%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -5.24%E -2.40%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-19 20:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.24%E -2.40%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-19 20:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.24%E -2.40%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-19 20:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.24%E -2.40%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-19 20:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.46%E -2.64%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.24%E -2.40%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-19 20:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.68%E -2.62%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-19 20:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.68%E -2.62%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-19 20:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.68%E -2.62%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-19 20:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.68%E -2.62%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-19 20:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.68%E -2.62%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-19 20:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.68%E -2.62%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-19 20:33 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -6.11%E -2.83%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-19 20:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.07%E -0.610%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-19 20:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 20:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 20:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 20:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 20:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 20:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 20:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 20:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 20:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 20:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 20:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.03%E -2.99%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-19 20:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 20:31 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 20:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 20:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.76%E -1.61%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.85%E -3.70%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 20:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.76%E -1.61%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.85%E -3.70%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 20:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.76%E -1.61%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.85%E -3.70%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 20:35 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-04-19 20:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-04-19 20:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22% | 1.2% | 2026-04-19 20:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22% | 1.2% | 2026-04-19 20:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22% | 1.2% | 2026-04-19 20:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22% | 1.2% | 2026-04-19 20:35 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.97% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 43.03% | 1.5% | 2026-04-19 20:34 |
| Novig◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73% | 1.5% | 2026-04-19 20:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29% | 1.9% | 2026-04-19 20:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00% | 2.0% | 2026-04-19 20:35 |