L’École des cotes

Boston Red Sox v Detroit Tigers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-19 20:37 UTC

Score final : Boston Red Sox 2–6 Detroit Tigers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Prévision 56.53%1.77cote équitable
EV -1.07%
Avantage -0.610%
Kelly -1.42%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.13%56.65%56.35%58.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.691.701.7562.50%59.03%58.82%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Detroit Tigers (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.47%2.30cote équitable
EV +0.410%
Avantage +0.177%
Kelly +0.313%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.86%43.35%43.65%44.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.122.192.182.3147.17%45.68%45.87%43.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV +0.410%E +0.177%K +0.313%G +0.001%2.1%2026-04-19 20:34
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -6.72%E -4.07%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -0.894%E -0.392%K -0.699%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-19 20:33
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -2.20%E -1.27%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -1.33%E -0.585%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-19 20:34
GTbets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -2.20%E -1.27%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -1.33%E -0.585%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-19 20:35
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.46%E -2.64%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.20%E -0.977%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-19 20:34
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.20%E -0.977%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-19 20:35
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.42%E -5.20%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.20%E -0.977%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 20:35
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.42%E -5.20%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.20%E -0.977%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 20:35
LowVig.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.20%E -1.27%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.63%E -1.18%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-19 20:35
BetOnline.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.20%E -1.27%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.63%E -1.18%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-19 20:35
BetUS1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.20%E -1.27%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.63%E -1.18%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-19 20:34
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -6.16%E -3.71%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -3.50%E -1.58%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 20:34
MyBookie.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -3.94%E -1.78%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 20:35
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -2.20%E -1.27%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-19 20:35
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -2.20%E -1.27%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-19 20:35
Unibet (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-19 20:34
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-19 20:34
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-19 20:35
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-19 20:35
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.46%E -2.64%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-19 20:35
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 20:34
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 20:34
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 20:34
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 20:34
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 20:34
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.72%E -4.07%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 20:34
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.42%E -5.20%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 20:34
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.55%E -5.97%K -15.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 20:27
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -4.81%E -2.19%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-19 20:35
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -2.76%E -1.61%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -5.24%E -2.40%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 20:35
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.24%E -2.40%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-19 20:34
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.24%E -2.40%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-19 20:34
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.24%E -2.40%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 20:34
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.46%E -2.64%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.24%E -2.40%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 20:35
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.68%E -2.62%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-19 20:35
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.68%E -2.62%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-19 20:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.68%E -2.62%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-19 20:35
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.68%E -2.62%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-19 20:35
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.68%E -2.62%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-19 20:35
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.68%E -2.62%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 20:33
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -6.11%E -2.83%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 20:35
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.07%E -0.610%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-19 20:35
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 20:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 20:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 20:35
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 20:34
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 20:35
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 20:35
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 20:35
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 20:35
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 20:35
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 20:35
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.03%E -2.99%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 20:34
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 20:31
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 20:35
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 20:34
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.76%E -1.61%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.85%E -3.70%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 20:35
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.76%E -1.61%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.85%E -3.70%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 20:35
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.76%E -1.61%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.85%E -3.70%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 20:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-04-19 20:35
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-04-19 20:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.2%2026-04-19 20:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.2%2026-04-19 20:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.2%2026-04-19 20:35
ProphetX1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.2%2026-04-19 20:35
BetOpenly1.73I 57.80%NM 56.97%2.29I 43.67%NM 43.03%1.5%2026-04-19 20:34
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73%1.5%2026-04-19 20:35
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%1.9%2026-04-19 20:35
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%2.0%2026-04-19 20:35