La escuela de los momios

Boston Red Sox v Detroit Tigers

Inicio: 2026-04-19 20:37 UTC

Final: Boston Red Sox 2–6 Detroit Tigers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Predicción 56.53%1.77momio equitativo
EV -1.07%
Ventaja -0.610%
Kelly -1.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.13%56.65%56.35%58.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.691.701.7562.50%59.03%58.82%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Detroit Tigers (Visitante)

Predicción 43.47%2.30momio equitativo
EV +0.410%
Ventaja +0.177%
Kelly +0.313%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.31

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.86%43.35%43.65%44.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.122.192.182.3147.17%45.68%45.87%43.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV +0.410%E +0.177%K +0.313%G +0.001%2.1%2026-04-19 20:34
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -6.72%E -4.07%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -0.894%E -0.392%K -0.699%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-19 20:33
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -2.20%E -1.27%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -1.33%E -0.585%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-19 20:34
GTbets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -2.20%E -1.27%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -1.33%E -0.585%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-19 20:35
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.46%E -2.64%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.20%E -0.977%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-19 20:34
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.20%E -0.977%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-19 20:35
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.42%E -5.20%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.20%E -0.977%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 20:35
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.42%E -5.20%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.20%E -0.977%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 20:35
LowVig.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.20%E -1.27%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.63%E -1.18%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-19 20:35
BetOnline.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.20%E -1.27%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.63%E -1.18%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-19 20:35
BetUS1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.20%E -1.27%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.63%E -1.18%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-19 20:34
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -6.16%E -3.71%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -3.50%E -1.58%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 20:34
MyBookie.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -3.94%E -1.78%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 20:35
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -2.20%E -1.27%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-19 20:35
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -2.20%E -1.27%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-19 20:35
Unibet (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-19 20:34
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-19 20:34
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-19 20:35
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-19 20:35
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.46%E -2.64%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-19 20:35
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 20:34
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 20:34
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 20:34
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 20:34
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 20:34
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.72%E -4.07%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 20:34
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.42%E -5.20%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 20:34
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.55%E -5.97%K -15.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 20:27
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -4.81%E -2.19%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-19 20:35
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -2.76%E -1.61%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -5.24%E -2.40%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 20:35
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.24%E -2.40%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-19 20:34
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.24%E -2.40%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-19 20:34
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.24%E -2.40%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 20:34
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.46%E -2.64%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.24%E -2.40%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 20:35
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.68%E -2.62%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-19 20:35
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.68%E -2.62%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-19 20:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.68%E -2.62%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-19 20:35
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.68%E -2.62%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-19 20:35
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.68%E -2.62%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-19 20:35
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.68%E -2.62%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 20:33
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -6.11%E -2.83%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 20:35
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.07%E -0.610%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-19 20:35
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 20:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 20:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 20:35
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 20:34
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 20:35
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 20:35
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 20:35
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 20:35
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 20:35
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 20:35
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.03%E -2.99%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 20:34
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 20:31
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 20:35
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 20:34
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.76%E -1.61%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.85%E -3.70%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 20:35
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.76%E -1.61%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.85%E -3.70%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 20:35
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.76%E -1.61%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.85%E -3.70%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 20:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-04-19 20:35
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-04-19 20:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.2%2026-04-19 20:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.2%2026-04-19 20:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.2%2026-04-19 20:35
ProphetX1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.2%2026-04-19 20:35
BetOpenly1.73I 57.80%NM 56.97%2.29I 43.67%NM 43.03%1.5%2026-04-19 20:34
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73%1.5%2026-04-19 20:35
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%1.9%2026-04-19 20:35
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%2.0%2026-04-19 20:35