The School of Odds
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Boston Red Sox v Chicago Cubs

2026-09-27 19:06 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Prediction 46.91%2.13fair odd
EV -3.36%
Edge -1.63%
Kelly -3.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.34%47.00%46.91%48.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.022.022.0651.81%49.47%49.50%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Cubs (Visit)

Prediction 53.09%1.88fair odd
EV -0.724%
Edge -0.387%
Kelly -0.833%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.97%53.00%53.09%53.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.801.801.8758.14%55.66%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Boston Red Sox (Local): 46.91%; Chicago Cubs (Visit): 53.09%. For Chicago Cubs (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.88. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.87, with an expected value of -0.724%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -3.36%E -1.63%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -0.724%E -0.387%K -0.833%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-27 12:48
FanDuel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.36%E -1.63%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.91%E -2.16%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-27 06:45
Caesars🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.36%E -1.63%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.91%E -2.16%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-27 10:40
Bovada🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.36%E -1.63%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.97%E -2.78%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-27 10:38
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -3.83%E -1.87%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -0.724%E -0.387%K -0.833%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-27 12:49
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.83%E -1.87%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 06:50
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.83%E -1.87%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 06:50
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.83%E -1.87%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 07:14
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.83%E -1.87%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 12:30
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.83%E -1.87%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 06:54
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.83%E -1.87%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 07:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.83%E -1.87%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 07:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.83%E -1.87%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 07:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.83%E -1.87%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 07:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.83%E -1.87%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 10:10
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.83%E -1.87%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.03%E -3.41%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 12:45
Bet Right🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.30%E -2.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-27 06:50
DraftKings🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.30%E -2.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-27 12:30
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.30%E -2.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.97%E -2.78%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-27 07:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.30%E -2.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.97%E -2.78%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-27 07:00
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.30%E -2.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.97%E -2.78%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-27 07:00
betPARX🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.30%E -2.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.97%E -2.78%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-27 07:00
Casumo🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.30%E -2.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.97%E -2.78%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-27 07:05
Bally Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.30%E -2.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.97%E -2.78%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-27 07:03
ATG (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.30%E -2.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.97%E -2.78%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-27 07:05
SportsBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.30%E -2.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-27 07:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.24%E -2.59%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 06:50
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.24%E -2.59%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 07:14
Coolbet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.24%E -2.59%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 06:50
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.24%E -2.59%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 08:14
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.24%E -2.59%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.97%E -2.78%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 12:30
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.24%E -2.59%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.97%E -2.78%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 07:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -5.71%E -2.84%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-27 12:34
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.85%E -1.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-27 12:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.85%E -1.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-27 06:55
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.85%E -1.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-27 12:20
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.85%E -1.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-27 12:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.85%E -1.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-27 12:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.91%E -2.16%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-27 12:45
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-27 06:45
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-27 06:45
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-27 12:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-27 06:50
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-27 06:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-27 06:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-27 06:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-27 12:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.03%E -3.41%K -7.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-27 10:09
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.03%E -3.41%K -7.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-27 07:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.03%E -3.41%K -7.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-27 07:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.56%E -3.73%K -8.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-27 12:35
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.10%E -4.05%K -9.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-27 06:53
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.10%E -4.05%K -9.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-27 06:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -7.12%E -3.59%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -2.85%E -1.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 12:20
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -7.12%E -3.59%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -2.85%E -1.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 12:19
Grosvenor🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.88%EV -8.05%E -4.11%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.12%EV -8.16%E -4.71%K -11.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-27 07:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.12%EV -9.46%E -4.90%K -10.17%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.88%EV -8.69%E -5.05%K -12.07%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-27 12:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-09-27 13:00
ProphetX◎2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04%1.7%2026-09-27 13:00
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%1.9%2026-09-27 08:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%2.0%2026-09-27 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%2.0%2026-09-27 13:00
Matchbook◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%2.1%2026-09-27 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%2.4%2026-09-27 12:40
Polymarket◎2.13I 46.95%NM 45.66%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.34%2.8%2026-09-27 12:45
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%3.8%2026-09-27 13:00