Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Boston Red Sox v Chicago Cubs

2026-09-27 19:06 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Predicción 46.95%2.13momio equitativo
EV -3.28%
Ventaja -1.59%
Kelly -3.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.06

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.34%47.02%46.96%50.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.902.022.022.0652.63%49.55%49.50%48.54%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Chicago Cubs (Visitante)

Predicción 53.05%1.88momio equitativo
EV +0.796%
Ventaja +0.419%
Kelly +0.884%
Crecimiento +0.007%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%52.98%53.04%53.66%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.721.801.801.9058.14%55.57%55.56%52.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Boston Red Sox (Local): 46.95%; Chicago Cubs (Visitante): 53.05%. Para Chicago Cubs (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.88. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 1.90, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.796%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Dabble (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -10.80%E -5.68%K -12.00%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +0.796%E +0.419%K +0.884%G +0.007%5.3%2026-09-27 13:25
1xBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -3.28%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -0.796%E -0.425%K -0.914%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-27 12:48
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -0.796%E -0.425%K -0.914%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-27 12:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.86%E -1.00%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 13:09
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.92%E -1.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-27 12:10
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.92%E -1.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-27 12:20
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.92%E -1.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-27 12:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.92%E -1.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-27 12:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -7.04%E -3.56%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -2.92%E -1.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 12:20
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -7.04%E -3.56%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -2.92%E -1.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 12:19
FanDuel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.22%E -2.07%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.45%E -1.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-27 13:10
Caesars🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.28%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.98%E -2.20%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-27 10:40
Bovada🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -4.69%E -2.31%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -3.98%E -2.20%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 13:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.98%E -2.20%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-27 12:45
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.51%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 06:50
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.51%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 06:50
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.51%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 07:14
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.51%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 12:30
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.51%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 06:54
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.51%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 07:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.51%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 07:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.51%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 07:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.51%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 07:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.51%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 10:10
Bet Right🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.22%E -2.07%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.51%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-27 06:50
DraftKings🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.22%E -2.07%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.51%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-27 12:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.16%E -2.56%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.51%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 06:50
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.16%E -2.56%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.51%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 07:14
SportsBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.16%E -2.56%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.51%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 13:10
Coolbet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.16%E -2.56%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.51%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 06:50
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.16%E -2.56%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.51%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 08:14
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.51%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-27 06:45
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.51%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-27 06:45
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.51%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-27 12:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.51%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-27 06:50
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.51%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-27 06:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.51%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-27 06:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.51%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-27 06:50
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.22%E -2.07%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.04%E -2.82%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-27 07:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.22%E -2.07%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.04%E -2.82%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-27 07:00
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.22%E -2.07%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.04%E -2.82%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-27 07:00
betPARX🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.22%E -2.07%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.04%E -2.82%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-27 07:00
Casumo🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.22%E -2.07%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.04%E -2.82%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-27 07:05
Bally Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.22%E -2.07%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.04%E -2.82%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-27 07:03
ATG (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.22%E -2.07%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.04%E -2.82%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-27 07:05
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.16%E -2.56%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.04%E -2.82%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 12:30
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.16%E -2.56%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.04%E -2.82%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 07:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -5.63%E -2.80%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -5.57%E -3.13%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-27 12:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.57%E -3.13%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-27 12:35
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 12:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-27 10:09
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-27 07:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-27 07:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.63%E -3.77%K -8.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-27 12:35
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.16%E -4.09%K -9.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-27 06:53
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.16%E -4.09%K -9.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-27 06:54
Grosvenor🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.88%EV -7.98%E -4.07%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.12%EV -8.22%E -4.75%K -11.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-27 07:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.12%EV -9.39%E -4.86%K -10.09%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.88%EV -8.75%E -5.09%K -12.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-27 12:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-09-27 13:30
ProphetX◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%1.8%2026-09-27 13:30
Polymarket◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%1.9%2026-09-27 13:10
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%1.9%2026-09-27 13:30
Matchbook◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57%2.6%2026-09-27 13:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%2.9%2026-09-27 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%2.9%2026-09-27 13:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.47%3.3%2026-09-27 13:10
Smarkets◎2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%4.7%2026-09-27 13:10