StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Boston Red Sox v Chicago Cubs

2026-09-27 19:06 UTC — MLB

Direkter Vergleich

58 Wettanbieter (18 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Boston Red Sox (Heim)

Prognose 46.95%2.13faire Quote
EV -3.28%
Vorteil -1.59%
Kelly -3.10%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.06

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
46.34%47.02%46.96%50.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.902.022.022.0652.63%49.55%49.50%48.54%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Cubs (Auswärts)

Prognose 53.05%1.88faire Quote
EV +0.796%
Vorteil +0.419%
Kelly +0.884%
Wachstum +0.007%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.90

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
50.00%52.98%53.04%53.66%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.721.801.801.9058.14%55.57%55.56%52.63%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Boston Red Sox (Heim): 46.95%; Chicago Cubs (Auswärts): 53.05%. Für Chicago Cubs (Auswärts) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 1.88. 1 Wettanbieter bietet eine Quote über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 1.90 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +0.796%.

Wettanbieterquoten (58 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Dabble (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -10.80%E -5.68%K -12.00%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +0.796%E +0.419%K +0.884%G +0.007%5.3%2026-09-27 13:25
1xBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -3.28%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -0.796%E -0.425%K -0.914%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-27 12:48
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -0.796%E -0.425%K -0.914%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-27 12:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.86%E -1.00%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 13:09
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.92%E -1.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-27 12:10
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.92%E -1.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-27 12:20
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.92%E -1.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-27 12:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.92%E -1.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-27 12:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -7.04%E -3.56%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -2.92%E -1.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 12:20
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -7.04%E -3.56%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -2.92%E -1.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 12:19
FanDuel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.22%E -2.07%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.45%E -1.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-27 13:10
Caesars🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.28%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.98%E -2.20%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-27 10:40
Bovada🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -4.69%E -2.31%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -3.98%E -2.20%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 13:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.98%E -2.20%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-27 12:45
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.51%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 06:50
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.51%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 06:50
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.51%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 07:14
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.51%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 12:30
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.51%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 06:54
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.51%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 07:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.51%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 07:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.51%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 07:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.51%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 07:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.51%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 10:10
Bet Right🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.22%E -2.07%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.51%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-27 06:50
DraftKings🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.22%E -2.07%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.51%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-27 12:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.16%E -2.56%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.51%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 06:50
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.16%E -2.56%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.51%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 07:14
SportsBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.16%E -2.56%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.51%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 13:10
Coolbet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.16%E -2.56%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.51%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 06:50
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.16%E -2.56%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.51%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 08:14
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.51%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-27 06:45
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.51%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-27 06:45
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.51%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-27 12:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.51%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-27 06:50
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.51%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-27 06:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.51%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-27 06:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.51%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-27 06:50
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.22%E -2.07%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.04%E -2.82%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-27 07:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.22%E -2.07%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.04%E -2.82%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-27 07:00
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.22%E -2.07%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.04%E -2.82%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-27 07:00
betPARX🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.22%E -2.07%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.04%E -2.82%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-27 07:00
Casumo🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.22%E -2.07%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.04%E -2.82%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-27 07:05
Bally Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.22%E -2.07%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.04%E -2.82%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-27 07:03
ATG (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.22%E -2.07%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.04%E -2.82%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-27 07:05
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.16%E -2.56%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.04%E -2.82%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 12:30
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.16%E -2.56%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.04%E -2.82%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 07:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -5.63%E -2.80%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -5.57%E -3.13%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-27 12:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.57%E -3.13%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-27 12:35
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 12:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-27 10:09
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-27 07:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-27 07:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.63%E -3.77%K -8.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-27 12:35
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.16%E -4.09%K -9.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-27 06:53
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.16%E -4.09%K -9.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-27 06:54
Grosvenor🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.88%EV -7.98%E -4.07%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.12%EV -8.22%E -4.75%K -11.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-27 07:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.12%EV -9.39%E -4.86%K -10.09%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.88%EV -8.75%E -5.09%K -12.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-27 12:35
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (9)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Novig◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-09-27 13:30
ProphetX◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%1.8%2026-09-27 13:30
Polymarket◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%1.9%2026-09-27 13:10
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%1.9%2026-09-27 13:30
Matchbook◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57%2.6%2026-09-27 13:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%2.9%2026-09-27 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%2.9%2026-09-27 13:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.47%3.3%2026-09-27 13:10
Smarkets◎2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%4.7%2026-09-27 13:10