Language:English
Boston Red Sox v Chicago Cubs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Boston Red Sox (Local)
Prediction 47.98%2.08fair odd
EV -1.17%
Edge -0.567%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.65%47.88%47.88%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.861.992.002.0653.76%50.20%50.00%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chicago Cubs (Visit)
Prediction 52.02%1.92fair odd
EV -0.115%
Edge -0.060%
Kelly -0.125%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.12%52.12%54.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.811.821.9259.52%55.39%54.95%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boston Red Sox (Local): 47.98%; Chicago Cubs (Visit): 52.02%. For Chicago Cubs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.922. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.920, with an expected value of -0.115%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -1.17%E -0.567%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -9.48%E -5.45%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-25 21:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -1.17%E -0.567%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -9.48%E -5.45%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-25 21:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -1.17%E -0.567%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -9.48%E -5.45%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-25 21:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -1.17%E -0.567%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -9.48%E -5.45%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-25 21:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.65%E -0.804%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.72%E -1.45%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-25 21:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -1.65%E -0.804%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.96%E -5.12%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-25 21:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -1.65%E -0.804%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.96%E -5.12%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-25 21:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -1.65%E -0.804%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.96%E -5.12%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-25 21:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -2.13%E -1.04%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -1.68%E -0.887%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-09-25 21:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.13%E -1.04%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.72%E -1.45%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-25 21:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.13%E -1.04%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.72%E -1.45%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-25 21:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -2.13%E -1.04%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -10.00%E -5.78%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-25 21:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -2.13%E -1.04%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -10.52%E -6.12%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-25 21:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.61%E -1.28%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.20%E -1.17%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-25 21:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.09%E -1.53%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.72%E -1.45%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-25 20:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -3.09%E -1.53%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -10.52%E -6.12%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-25 21:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -3.09%E -1.53%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -10.52%E -6.12%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-25 21:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -3.09%E -1.53%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -10.52%E -6.12%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-25 21:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -3.09%E -1.53%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -11.56%E -6.80%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-25 21:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -4.05%E -2.02%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -0.115%E -0.060%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-25 18:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.05%E -2.02%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.76%E -2.03%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-25 20:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.05%E -2.02%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.76%E -2.03%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-25 21:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.05%E -2.02%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.80%E -2.62%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-25 20:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.05%E -2.02%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.80%E -2.62%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-25 21:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.05%E -2.02%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.80%E -2.62%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-25 21:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.05%E -2.02%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.80%E -2.62%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-25 03:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.05%E -2.02%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.80%E -2.62%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-25 21:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.05%E -2.02%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.80%E -2.62%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-25 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.05%E -2.02%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.80%E -2.62%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-25 21:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.05%E -2.02%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.80%E -2.62%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-25 20:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.05%E -2.02%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.32%E -2.92%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-25 21:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.05%E -2.02%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.32%E -2.92%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-25 20:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.05%E -2.02%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.36%E -3.53%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-25 19:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.05%E -2.02%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.36%E -3.53%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-25 20:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.05%E -2.02%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.36%E -3.53%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-25 18:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.05%E -2.02%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.36%E -3.53%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-25 20:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.05%E -2.02%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.36%E -3.53%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-25 20:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.05%E -2.02%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.92%E -4.47%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-25 21:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -4.05%E -2.02%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -12.60%E -7.50%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-25 21:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -4.53%E -2.27%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -4.28%E -2.32%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-25 21:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.53%E -2.27%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.32%E -2.92%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-25 21:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.01%E -2.53%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.76%E -2.03%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-25 21:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.01%E -2.53%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.80%E -2.62%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-25 21:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.01%E -2.53%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.80%E -2.62%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-25 21:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.01%E -2.53%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.80%E -2.62%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-25 21:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.01%E -2.53%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.80%E -2.62%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-25 21:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.01%E -2.53%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.80%E -2.62%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-25 21:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.49%E -2.78%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.28%E -2.32%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-25 21:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.49%E -2.78%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.84%E -3.23%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-25 21:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -5.97%E -3.04%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -6.36%E -3.53%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-25 21:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.45%E -3.31%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.80%E -2.62%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-25 21:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.45%E -3.31%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.80%E -2.62%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-25 21:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.45%E -3.31%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.36%E -3.53%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-25 21:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.45%E -3.31%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.96%E -5.12%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-25 21:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -6.93%E -3.57%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -3.24%E -1.74%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-25 18:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -6.93%E -3.57%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -4.28%E -2.32%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-25 21:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -6.93%E -3.57%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -6.36%E -3.53%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-25 21:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.38%EV -8.36%E -4.38%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.62%EV -6.88%E -3.84%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-25 21:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.84%E -4.65%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.16%E -0.608%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-25 21:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.84%E -4.65%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.36%E -3.53%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-25 21:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.84%E -4.65%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.36%E -3.53%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-25 21:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35%EV -9.80%E -5.21%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.65%EV -8.44%E -4.79%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-25 21:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.48%EV -10.76%E -5.79%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.52%EV -8.96%E -5.12%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-25 21:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 0.4% | 2026-09-25 21:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 0.7% | 2026-09-25 21:20 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-09-25 20:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-09-25 21:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-09-25 21:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28% | 1.7% | 2026-09-25 21:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42% | 2.0% | 2026-09-25 21:25 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15% | 2.4% | 2026-09-25 21:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.91% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.09% | 3.5% | 2026-09-25 21:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 46.99% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.01% | 15.0% | 2026-09-25 21:35 |