Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Boston Red Sox v Chicago Cubs

2026-09-25 22:06 UTC — MLB

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Previsão 48.44%2.06odd justa
EV -2.14%
Vantagem -1.06%
Kelly -2.10%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.37%48.47%48.42%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.861.961.972.0253.76%50.91%50.76%49.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Chicago Cubs (Visitante)

Previsão 51.56%1.94odd justa
EV -0.498%
Vantagem -0.258%
Kelly -0.536%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.93

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%51.53%51.58%52.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.751.851.851.9357.14%54.14%54.05%51.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Boston Red Sox (Local): 48.44%; Chicago Cubs (Visitante): 51.56%. Para Chicago Cubs (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 1.94. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferece odds acima desse nível: as melhores odds disponíveis são 1.93, com valor esperado de -0.498%; não produzem valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BetAnything🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -2.14%E -1.06%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -3.59%E -1.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-25 04:35
Caesars🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -2.14%E -1.06%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -5.65%E -3.09%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-25 03:45
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.11%E -1.56%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.62%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-25 07:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.11%E -1.56%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.62%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-25 07:40
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.11%E -1.56%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.65%E -3.09%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-25 03:49
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.11%E -1.56%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.20%E -4.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-25 07:40
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.11%E -1.56%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.20%E -4.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-25 07:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.11%E -1.56%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.20%E -4.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-25 07:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.11%E -1.56%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.20%E -4.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-25 07:45
1xBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -3.59%E -1.81%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -0.498%E -0.258%K -0.536%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-25 07:23
LowVig.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -3.59%E -1.81%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.01%E -0.528%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-25 03:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -3.59%E -1.81%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.01%E -0.528%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-25 03:55
GTbets🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -3.59%E -1.81%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.01%E -0.528%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-25 03:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -3.59%E -1.81%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -4.11%E -2.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-25 07:39
FanDuel🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -4.08%E -2.06%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.11%E -2.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-25 03:35
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.08%E -2.06%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.62%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-25 07:40
DraftKings🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.08%E -2.06%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.62%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-25 07:40
LeoVegas🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.08%E -2.06%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.62%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-25 07:40
Bet Right🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.08%E -2.06%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -5.14%E -2.79%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-25 07:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.56%E -2.32%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.62%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-25 07:40
Bovada🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.56%E -2.32%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.62%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-25 03:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.56%E -2.32%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.62%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-25 09:02
Bally Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.56%E -2.32%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.62%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-25 09:10
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.56%E -2.32%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.62%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-25 09:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.56%E -2.32%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.62%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-25 09:02
Unibet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.56%E -2.32%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.62%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-25 09:02
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.56%E -2.32%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.62%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-25 09:03
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.56%E -2.32%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.62%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-25 09:02
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.56%E -2.32%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.62%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-25 09:02
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.56%E -2.32%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.62%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-25 09:02
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.56%E -2.32%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.62%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-25 09:02
Betr (AU)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.56%E -2.32%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.14%E -2.79%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-25 07:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -4.56%E -2.32%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -7.20%E -4.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-25 05:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.05%E -2.58%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.62%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-25 07:40
Neds🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.05%E -2.58%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.62%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-25 07:40
Coolbet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.05%E -2.58%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.62%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-25 04:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.05%E -2.58%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.14%E -2.79%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-25 07:40
TABtouch🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.05%E -2.58%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.65%E -3.09%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-25 09:02
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.04%E -1.08%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-25 04:15
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.59%E -1.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-25 05:10
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.59%E -1.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-25 04:44
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.59%E -1.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-25 05:09
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.59%E -1.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-25 05:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.59%E -1.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-25 08:40
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.62%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-25 05:10
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.62%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-25 05:10
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.65%E -3.09%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-25 07:38
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.65%E -3.09%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-25 07:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.65%E -3.09%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-25 07:40
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.65%E -3.09%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-25 03:40
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.65%E -3.09%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-25 03:55
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.65%E -3.09%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-25 04:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -6.68%E -3.69%K -8.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-25 09:03
Virgin Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -6.68%E -3.69%K -8.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-25 09:02
SportsBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -6.02%E -3.10%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.11%E -2.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-25 03:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.50%E -3.37%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.59%E -1.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-25 07:23
Grosvenor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.24%EV -7.47%E -3.91%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.76%EV -8.23%E -4.62%K -10.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-25 09:02
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.96%E -4.19%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.04%E -1.08%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-25 03:50
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.96%E -4.19%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.04%E -1.08%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-25 03:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.37%EV -7.96%E -4.19%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -8.23%E -4.62%K -10.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-25 07:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.48%EV -9.89%E -5.32%K -11.50%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.52%EV -9.78%E -5.59%K -13.04%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-25 07:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎2.07I 48.31%NM 48.64%1.96I 51.02%NM 51.36%-0.7%2026-09-25 07:59
Polymarket◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-09-25 09:15
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-09-25 03:50
Novig◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%1.5%2026-09-25 08:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%3.7%2026-09-25 09:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%3.7%2026-09-25 09:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%3.7%2026-09-25 09:50
Matchbook◎1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%3.7%2026-09-25 09:45
ProphetX◎1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%4.2%2026-09-25 06:45
Smarkets◎1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%4.2%2026-09-25 09:45