Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Boston Red Sox v Chicago Cubs

2026-09-25 22:06 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (20 en el análisis )

48%

52%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Predicción 48.44%2.06momio equitativo

EV -2.14%

Ventaja -1.06%

Kelly -2.10%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.02

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

47.37%48.47%48.42%50.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

1.861.961.972.0253.76%50.91%50.76%49.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Chicago Cubs (Visitante)

Predicción 51.56%1.94momio equitativo

EV -0.498%

Ventaja -0.258%

Kelly -0.536%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.93

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

50.00%51.53%51.58%52.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

1.751.851.851.9357.14%54.14%54.05%51.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Boston Red Sox (Local): 48.44%; Chicago Cubs (Visitante): 51.56%. Para Chicago Cubs (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.94. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 1.93, con un valor esperado de -0.498%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local ▼	Visitante	Margen	Actualizado
BetAnything🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -2.14%E -1.06%K -2.10%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -3.59%E -1.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-09-25 04:35
Caesars🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -2.14%E -1.06%K -2.10%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -5.65%E -3.09%K -6.81%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-25 03:45
Coral🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.11%E -1.56%K -3.11%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.62%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-25 07:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.11%E -1.56%K -3.11%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.62%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-25 07:40
theScore Bet🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.11%E -1.56%K -3.11%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.65%E -3.09%K -6.81%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-25 03:49
William Hill🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.11%E -1.56%K -3.11%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.20%E -4.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-09-25 07:40
888sport🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.11%E -1.56%K -3.11%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.20%E -4.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-09-25 07:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.11%E -1.56%K -3.11%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.20%E -4.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-09-25 07:45
888sport (SE)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.11%E -1.56%K -3.11%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.20%E -4.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-09-25 07:45
1xBet🎯	1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -3.59%E -1.81%K -3.63%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -0.498%E -0.258%K -0.536%G +0.000%	2.1%	2026-09-25 07:23
LowVig.ag🎯	1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -3.59%E -1.81%K -3.63%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.01%E -0.528%K -1.10%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-09-25 03:55
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -3.59%E -1.81%K -3.63%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.01%E -0.528%K -1.10%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-09-25 03:55
GTbets🎯	1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -3.59%E -1.81%K -3.63%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.01%E -0.528%K -1.10%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-09-25 03:55
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -3.59%E -1.81%K -3.63%G +0.000%	1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -4.11%E -2.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-09-25 07:39
FanDuel🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -4.08%E -2.06%K -4.16%G +0.000%	1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.11%E -2.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-25 03:35
BetMGM🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.08%E -2.06%K -4.16%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.62%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-25 07:40
DraftKings🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.08%E -2.06%K -4.16%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.62%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-25 07:40
LeoVegas🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.08%E -2.06%K -4.16%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.62%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-25 07:40
Bet Right🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.08%E -2.06%K -4.16%G +0.000%	1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -5.14%E -2.79%K -6.12%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-09-25 07:44
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.56%E -2.32%K -4.71%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.62%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-25 07:40
Bovada🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.56%E -2.32%K -4.71%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.62%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-25 03:40
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.56%E -2.32%K -4.71%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.62%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-25 09:02
Bally Bet🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.56%E -2.32%K -4.71%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.62%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-25 09:10
BetRivers🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.56%E -2.32%K -4.71%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.62%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-25 09:10
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.56%E -2.32%K -4.71%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.62%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-25 09:02
Unibet🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.56%E -2.32%K -4.71%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.62%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-25 09:02
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.56%E -2.32%K -4.71%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.62%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-25 09:03
Casumo🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.56%E -2.32%K -4.71%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.62%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-25 09:02
betPARX🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.56%E -2.32%K -4.71%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.62%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-25 09:02
ATG (SE)🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.56%E -2.32%K -4.71%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.62%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-25 09:02
Svenska Spel🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.56%E -2.32%K -4.71%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.62%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-25 09:02
Betr (AU)🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.56%E -2.32%K -4.71%G +0.000%	1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.14%E -2.79%K -6.12%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-25 07:44
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -4.56%E -2.32%K -4.71%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -7.20%E -4.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-09-25 05:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.05%E -2.58%K -5.26%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.62%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-25 07:40
Neds🎯	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.05%E -2.58%K -5.26%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.62%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-25 07:40
Coolbet🎯	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.05%E -2.58%K -5.26%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.62%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-25 04:05
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.05%E -2.58%K -5.26%G +0.000%	1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.14%E -2.79%K -6.12%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-25 07:40
TABtouch🎯	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.05%E -2.58%K -5.26%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.65%E -3.09%K -6.81%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-09-25 09:02
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.04%E -1.08%K -2.27%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-09-25 04:15
betfred_uk🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.59%E -1.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-25 05:10
Fanatics🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.59%E -1.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-25 04:44
Betway🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.59%E -1.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-25 05:09
PlayUp🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.59%E -1.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-25 05:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.59%E -1.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-25 08:40
NordicBet🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.62%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-25 05:10
Betsson🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.62%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-25 05:10
betano_uk🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.65%E -3.09%K -6.81%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-25 07:38
Bet Victor🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.65%E -3.09%K -6.81%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-25 07:40
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.65%E -3.09%K -6.81%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-25 07:40
ReBet🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.65%E -3.09%K -6.81%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-25 03:40
Fliff🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.65%E -3.09%K -6.81%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-25 03:55
BoyleSports🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.65%E -3.09%K -6.81%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-25 04:09
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000%	1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -6.68%E -3.69%K -8.25%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-09-25 09:03
Virgin Bet🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000%	1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -6.68%E -3.69%K -8.25%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-09-25 09:02
SportsBet🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -6.02%E -3.10%K -6.40%G +0.000%	1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.11%E -2.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-25 03:35
Marathon Bet🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.50%E -3.37%K -6.99%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.59%E -1.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-25 07:23
Grosvenor🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.24%EV -7.47%E -3.91%K -8.21%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 51.76%EV -8.23%E -4.62%K -10.55%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-09-25 09:02
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.96%E -4.19%K -8.84%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.04%E -1.08%K -2.27%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-25 03:50
Paddy Power🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.96%E -4.19%K -8.84%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.04%E -1.08%K -2.27%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-25 03:35
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 48.37%EV -7.96%E -4.19%K -8.84%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -8.23%E -4.62%K -10.55%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-09-25 07:40
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.86I 53.76%NM 48.48%EV -9.89%E -5.32%K -11.50%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 51.52%EV -9.78%E -5.59%K -13.04%G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-09-25 07:40

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
BetOpenly◎	2.07I 48.31%NM 48.64%	1.96I 51.02%NM 51.36%	-0.7%	2026-09-25 07:59
Polymarket◎	2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%	1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%	1.0%	2026-09-25 09:15
Kalshi◎	2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%	1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%	1.1%	2026-09-25 03:50
Novig◎	2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%	1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%	1.5%	2026-09-25 08:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%	1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%	3.7%	2026-09-25 09:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%	1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%	3.7%	2026-09-25 09:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%	1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%	3.7%	2026-09-25 09:50
Matchbook◎	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%	1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%	3.7%	2026-09-25 09:45
ProphetX◎	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%	1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%	4.2%	2026-09-25 06:45
Smarkets◎	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%	4.2%	2026-09-25 09:45