Language:English
Boston Red Sox v Baltimore Orioles
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Boston Red Sox (Local)
Prediction 53.70%1.86fair odd
EV -1.73%
Edge -0.946%
Kelly -2.09%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%53.83%53.71%55.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.771.771.8358.82%56.61%56.50%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Baltimore Orioles (Visit)
Prediction 46.30%2.16fair odd
EV +0.474%
Edge +0.218%
Kelly +0.405%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 2.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.74%46.17%46.29%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.072.062.1750.00%48.21%48.54%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boston Red Sox (Local): 53.70%; Baltimore Orioles (Visit): 46.30%. For Baltimore Orioles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.16. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.17, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.474%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -5.49%E -3.12%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV +0.474%E +0.218%K +0.405%G +0.002% | 2.9% | 2026-07-22 23:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -5.49%E -3.12%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV +0.474%E +0.218%K +0.405%G +0.002% | 2.9% | 2026-07-22 23:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.452%E -0.210%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-22 22:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.452%E -0.210%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-22 22:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -6.56%E -3.77%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -0.915%E -0.428%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-22 23:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -6.56%E -3.77%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -0.915%E -0.428%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-22 23:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.81%E -1.55%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.38%E -0.647%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-22 23:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -1.38%E -0.647%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-22 22:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -1.38%E -0.647%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-22 22:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.10%E -4.10%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.84%E -0.869%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-22 22:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.10%E -4.10%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.84%E -0.869%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-22 22:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.10%E -4.10%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.84%E -0.869%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-22 22:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.10%E -4.10%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.84%E -0.869%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-22 22:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.10%E -4.10%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.84%E -0.869%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-22 22:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.10%E -4.10%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.84%E -0.869%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-22 22:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.64%E -4.44%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.84%E -0.869%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-22 22:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.64%E -4.44%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.84%E -0.869%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-22 22:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.64%E -4.44%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.84%E -0.869%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-22 22:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -2.30%E -1.09%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-22 22:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.73%E -0.946%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-22 20:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-22 22:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.95%E -2.80%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-22 20:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.95%E -2.80%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-22 22:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.71%E -5.12%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-22 22:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.88%E -2.17%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.69%E -1.78%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-22 22:53 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.88%E -2.17%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.69%E -1.78%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-22 22:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.95%E -2.80%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.69%E -1.78%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-22 22:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.95%E -2.80%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.69%E -1.78%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-22 23:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -8.71%E -5.12%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -3.69%E -1.78%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-22 22:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -4.16%E -2.01%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-22 23:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.95%E -2.80%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.62%E -2.24%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-22 21:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-22 20:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-22 20:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-22 20:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-22 22:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-22 22:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.42%E -2.48%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-22 22:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.42%E -2.48%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-22 20:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.95%E -2.80%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-22 22:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.95%E -2.80%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-22 21:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.95%E -2.80%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-22 22:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.95%E -2.80%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-22 23:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.49%E -3.12%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-22 20:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.03%E -3.44%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-22 20:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.03%E -3.44%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-22 22:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.03%E -3.44%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-22 20:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.03%E -3.44%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-22 20:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.56%E -3.77%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-22 23:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.42%E -2.48%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.55%E -2.72%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-22 20:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.42%E -2.48%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.01%E -2.96%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 20:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.42%E -2.48%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.01%E -2.96%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 20:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.47%E -3.20%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 22:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.47%E -3.20%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 22:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.03%E -3.44%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -6.47%E -3.20%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-22 22:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.40%E -3.70%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-22 22:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.42%E -2.48%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.40%E -3.70%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-22 23:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.49%E -3.12%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.40%E -3.70%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-22 23:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.03%E -3.44%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.40%E -3.70%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-22 23:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.03%E -3.44%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.40%E -3.70%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-22 22:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.03%E -3.44%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.40%E -3.70%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-22 23:03 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.64%E -4.44%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -7.40%E -3.70%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-22 22:53 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 54.09% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.91% | -0.1% | 2026-07-22 23:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 0.4% | 2026-07-22 23:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 0.4% | 2026-07-22 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 0.8% | 2026-07-22 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50% | 0.8% | 2026-07-22 23:09 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-22 22:39 |
| Novig◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98% | 1.2% | 2026-07-22 23:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46% | 1.5% | 2026-07-22 23:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08% | 1.9% | 2026-07-22 22:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82% | 2.0% | 2026-07-22 23:04 |
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