مدرسة الاحتمالات

Boston Red Sox v Baltimore Orioles

البداية: 2026-07-22 23:10 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Boston Red Sox 1–5 Baltimore Orioles

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Boston Red Sox (المضيف)

التنبؤ 53.70%1.86السعر العادل
EV -1.73%
الأفضلية -0.946%
Kelly -2.09%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.83

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
52.63%53.83%53.71%55.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.701.771.771.8358.82%56.61%56.50%54.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Baltimore Orioles (الضيف)

التنبؤ 46.30%2.16السعر العادل
EV +0.474%
الأفضلية +0.218%
Kelly +0.405%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.17

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.74%46.17%46.29%47.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.072.062.1750.00%48.21%48.54%46.08%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -5.49%E -3.12%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV +0.474%E +0.218%K +0.405%G +0.002%2.9%2026-07-22 23:09
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -5.49%E -3.12%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV +0.474%E +0.218%K +0.405%G +0.002%2.9%2026-07-22 23:09
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.452%E -0.210%K -0.393%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-22 22:54
Pinnacle1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.452%E -0.210%K -0.393%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-22 22:59
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -6.56%E -3.77%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -0.915%E -0.428%K -0.803%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-22 23:10
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -6.56%E -3.77%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -0.915%E -0.428%K -0.803%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-22 23:10
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.81%E -1.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.38%E -0.647%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-22 23:04
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -1.38%E -0.647%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-22 22:54
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -1.38%E -0.647%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-22 22:54
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.10%E -4.10%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.84%E -0.869%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 22:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.10%E -4.10%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.84%E -0.869%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 22:59
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.10%E -4.10%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.84%E -0.869%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 22:59
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.10%E -4.10%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.84%E -0.869%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 22:59
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.10%E -4.10%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.84%E -0.869%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 22:59
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.10%E -4.10%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.84%E -0.869%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 22:59
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.64%E -4.44%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.84%E -0.869%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 22:59
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.64%E -4.44%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.84%E -0.869%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 22:59
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.64%E -4.44%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.84%E -0.869%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 22:59
BetAnything1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -2.30%E -1.09%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-22 22:54
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.73%E -0.946%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-22 20:19
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-22 22:55
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.95%E -2.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-22 20:14
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.95%E -2.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-22 22:55
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.71%E -5.12%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-22 22:50
MyBookie.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.88%E -2.17%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.69%E -1.78%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-22 22:53
FanDuel1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.88%E -2.17%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.69%E -1.78%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-22 22:49
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.95%E -2.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.69%E -1.78%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 22:49
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.95%E -2.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.69%E -1.78%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 23:09
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -8.71%E -5.12%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -3.69%E -1.78%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 22:59
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -4.16%E -2.01%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-22 23:09
Bet Right1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.95%E -2.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.62%E -2.24%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 21:59
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 20:15
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 20:59
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 20:14
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 22:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 22:49
SportsBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.42%E -2.48%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 22:49
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.42%E -2.48%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 20:54
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.95%E -2.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 22:54
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.95%E -2.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 21:54
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.95%E -2.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 22:55
Dabble (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.95%E -2.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 23:05
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.49%E -3.12%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 20:15
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.03%E -3.44%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 20:19
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.03%E -3.44%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 22:59
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.03%E -3.44%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 20:19
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.03%E -3.44%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 20:19
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.56%E -3.77%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-22 23:10
Marathon Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.42%E -2.48%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.55%E -2.72%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 20:20
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.42%E -2.48%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.01%E -2.96%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 20:19
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.42%E -2.48%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.01%E -2.96%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 20:19
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.47%E -3.20%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 22:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.47%E -3.20%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 22:49
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.03%E -3.44%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -6.47%E -3.20%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-22 22:50
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.40%E -3.70%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 22:14
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.42%E -2.48%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.40%E -3.70%K -7.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-22 23:09
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.49%E -3.12%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.40%E -3.70%K -7.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-22 23:09
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.03%E -3.44%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.40%E -3.70%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-22 23:05
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.03%E -3.44%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.40%E -3.70%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-22 22:45
betano_uk1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.03%E -3.44%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.40%E -3.70%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-22 23:03
Betclic (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.64%E -4.44%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -7.40%E -3.70%K -7.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-22 22:53
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly1.85I 54.05%NM 54.09%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.91%-0.1%2026-07-22 23:05
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-07-22 23:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-07-22 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-07-22 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-07-22 23:09
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-22 22:39
Novig1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98%1.2%2026-07-22 23:10
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%1.5%2026-07-22 23:10
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-07-22 22:59
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%2.0%2026-07-22 23:04