La escuela de los momiosBoston Red Sox v Baltimore Orioles
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Boston Red Sox (Local)
Predicción 53.70%1.86momio equitativo
EV -1.73%
Ventaja -0.946%
Kelly -2.09%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.63%53.83%53.71%55.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.771.771.8358.82%56.61%56.50%54.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Baltimore Orioles (Visitante)
Predicción 46.30%2.16momio equitativo
EV +0.474%
Ventaja +0.218%
Kelly +0.405%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.17
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.74%46.17%46.29%47.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.072.062.1750.00%48.21%48.54%46.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -5.49%E -3.12%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV +0.474%E +0.218%K +0.405%G +0.002% | 2.9% | 2026-07-22 23:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -5.49%E -3.12%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV +0.474%E +0.218%K +0.405%G +0.002% | 2.9% | 2026-07-22 23:09 |
| GTbets | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.452%E -0.210%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-22 22:54 |
| Pinnacle | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.452%E -0.210%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-22 22:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -6.56%E -3.77%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -0.915%E -0.428%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-22 23:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -6.56%E -3.77%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -0.915%E -0.428%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-22 23:10 |
| BetUS | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.81%E -1.55%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.38%E -0.647%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-22 23:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -1.38%E -0.647%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-22 22:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -1.38%E -0.647%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-22 22:54 |
| Casumo | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.10%E -4.10%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.84%E -0.869%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-22 22:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.10%E -4.10%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.84%E -0.869%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-22 22:59 |
| Unibet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.10%E -4.10%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.84%E -0.869%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-22 22:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.10%E -4.10%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.84%E -0.869%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-22 22:59 |
| betPARX | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.10%E -4.10%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.84%E -0.869%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-22 22:59 |
| Bally Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.10%E -4.10%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.84%E -0.869%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-22 22:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.64%E -4.44%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.84%E -0.869%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-22 22:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.64%E -4.44%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.84%E -0.869%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-22 22:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.64%E -4.44%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.84%E -0.869%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-22 22:59 |
| BetAnything | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -2.30%E -1.09%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-22 22:54 |
| 1xBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.73%E -0.946%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-22 20:19 |
| ReBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-22 22:55 |
| Caesars | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.95%E -2.80%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-22 20:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.95%E -2.80%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-22 22:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.71%E -5.12%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-22 22:50 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.88%E -2.17%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.69%E -1.78%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-22 22:53 |
| FanDuel | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.88%E -2.17%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.69%E -1.78%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-22 22:49 |
| DraftKings | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.95%E -2.80%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.69%E -1.78%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-22 22:49 |
| Bovada | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.95%E -2.80%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.69%E -1.78%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-22 23:09 |
| Grosvenor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -8.71%E -5.12%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -3.69%E -1.78%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-22 22:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -4.16%E -2.01%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-22 23:09 |
| Bet Right | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.95%E -2.80%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.62%E -2.24%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-22 21:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-22 20:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-22 20:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-22 20:14 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-22 22:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-22 22:49 |
| SportsBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.42%E -2.48%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-22 22:49 |
| Coolbet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.42%E -2.48%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-22 20:54 |
| Fliff | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.95%E -2.80%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-22 22:54 |
| PlayUp | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.95%E -2.80%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-22 21:54 |
| BetMGM | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.95%E -2.80%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-22 22:55 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.95%E -2.80%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-22 23:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.49%E -3.12%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-22 20:15 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.03%E -3.44%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-22 20:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.03%E -3.44%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-22 22:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.03%E -3.44%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-22 20:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.03%E -3.44%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-22 20:19 |
| Betway | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.56%E -3.77%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-22 23:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.42%E -2.48%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.55%E -2.72%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-22 20:20 |
| Betsson | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.42%E -2.48%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.01%E -2.96%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 20:19 |
| NordicBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.42%E -2.48%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.01%E -2.96%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 20:19 |
| Neds | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.47%E -3.20%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 22:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.47%E -3.20%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 22:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.03%E -3.44%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -6.47%E -3.20%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-22 22:50 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.40%E -3.70%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-22 22:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.42%E -2.48%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.40%E -3.70%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-22 23:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.49%E -3.12%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.40%E -3.70%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-22 23:09 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.03%E -3.44%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.40%E -3.70%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-22 23:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.03%E -3.44%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.40%E -3.70%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-22 22:45 |
| betano_uk | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.03%E -3.44%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.40%E -3.70%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-22 23:03 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.64%E -4.44%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -7.40%E -3.70%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-22 22:53 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.85I 54.05%NM 54.09% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.91% | -0.1% | 2026-07-22 23:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 0.4% | 2026-07-22 23:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 0.4% | 2026-07-22 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 0.8% | 2026-07-22 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50% | 0.8% | 2026-07-22 23:09 |
| Polymarket | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-22 22:39 |
| Novig | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98% | 1.2% | 2026-07-22 23:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46% | 1.5% | 2026-07-22 23:10 |
| Kalshi | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08% | 1.9% | 2026-07-22 22:59 |
| Smarkets | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82% | 2.0% | 2026-07-22 23:04 |