The School of Odds

Boston Red Sox v Baltimore Orioles

2026-07-21 23:11 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Prediction 55.87%1.79fair odd
EV -1.68%
Edge -0.952%
Kelly -2.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.55%55.87%55.70%57.14%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.651.711.711.7661%58%58%57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Baltimore Orioles (Visit)

Prediction 44.13%2.27fair odd
EV -0.257%
Edge -0.114%
Kelly -0.204%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.86%44.13%44.30%45.45%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.052.152.152.2649%47%47%44%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -1.68%E -0.952%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -2.46%E -1.11%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-21 12:45
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -2.23%E -1.28%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -1.14%E -0.509%K -0.919%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-21 12:30
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.23%E -1.28%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-21 08:35
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.23%E -1.28%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 09:45
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.23%E -1.28%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 09:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.23%E -1.28%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 09:45
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.23%E -1.28%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 09:45
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.23%E -1.28%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 09:44
Bally Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.23%E -1.28%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 09:45
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.23%E -1.28%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 09:45
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.23%E -1.28%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 09:45
Casumo1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.23%E -1.28%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 09:45
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.23%E -1.28%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 09:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.23%E -1.28%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 05:25
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -2.79%E -1.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -0.257%E -0.114%K -0.204%G +0.000%1.7%2026-07-21 13:55
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.79%E -1.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -1.58%E -0.709%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-21 13:50
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.79%E -1.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -1.58%E -0.709%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-21 13:50
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.79%E -1.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -1.58%E -0.709%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-21 13:50
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.79%E -1.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -2.91%E -1.32%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-21 14:00
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.79%E -1.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.67%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-21 04:55
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.79%E -1.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-21 03:20
MyBookie.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.79%E -1.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-21 14:00
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.35%E -1.94%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 03:50
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.91%E -2.27%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.91%E -2.27%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 13:45
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.91%E -2.27%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 04:55
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.91%E -2.27%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 08:35
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.91%E -2.27%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 08:35
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.91%E -2.27%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 11:05
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.47%E -2.61%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.91%E -1.32%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-21 04:53
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.47%E -2.61%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.79%E -1.74%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-21 04:55
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.47%E -2.61%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 11:30
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.47%E -2.61%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 12:40
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.47%E -2.61%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 11:10
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.47%E -2.61%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 05:45
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.47%E -2.61%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 04:55
Unibet (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.47%E -2.61%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 04:55
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.47%E -2.61%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 05:50
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.47%E -2.61%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 04:55
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.47%E -2.61%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 04:55
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.47%E -2.61%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 05:54
SportsBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.47%E -2.61%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.55%E -2.59%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 11:15
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.47%E -2.61%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.55%E -2.59%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 12:44
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.03%E -2.96%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.91%E -1.32%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.03%E -2.96%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.91%E -1.32%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 13:45
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.03%E -2.96%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.79%E -1.74%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 12:20
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.03%E -2.96%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 05:50
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.03%E -2.96%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 04:50
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.03%E -2.96%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 06:19
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -5.03%E -2.96%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV -5.99%E -2.81%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-21 04:55
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.59%E -3.31%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.698%E -0.310%K -0.559%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-21 08:00
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.59%E -3.31%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.79%E -1.74%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 13:45
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.15%E -3.66%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.91%E -1.32%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 13:45
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.15%E -3.66%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 11:10
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.15%E -3.66%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 09:45
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.15%E -3.66%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 09:45
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.15%E -3.66%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 09:45
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.70%E -4.01%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 04:55
betano_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.70%E -4.01%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 04:53
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.70%E -4.01%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 04:55
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.70%E -4.01%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 04:55
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -7.26%E -4.37%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 09:45
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -7.26%E -4.37%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.74%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-21 04:50
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.82%E -4.74%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.91%E -1.32%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-21 06:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.78I 56.18%NM 56.27%2.29I 43.67%NM 43.73%-0.2%2026-07-21 14:00
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81%0.6%2026-07-21 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-07-21 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-07-21 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-07-21 13:45
ProphetX1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-07-21 14:00
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-07-21 14:00
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-07-21 11:50
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-07-21 08:25
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%2.4%2026-07-21 13:45