La escuela de los momiosBoston Red Sox v Baltimore Orioles
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Boston Red Sox (Local)
Predicción 51.29%1.95momio equitativo
EV -1.00%
Ventaja -0.519%
Kelly -1.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.93
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%51.42%51.05%53.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.751.861.861.9357.14%53.63%53.76%51.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Baltimore Orioles (Visitante)
Predicción 48.71%2.05momio equitativo
EV -0.154%
Ventaja -0.075%
Kelly -0.146%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.05%48.58%48.95%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.901.961.962.0552.63%50.99%51.02%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.00%E -0.519%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.56%E -1.80%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-21 20:40 |
| GTbets | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.00%E -0.519%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.56%E -1.80%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-21 20:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.00%E -0.519%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.56%E -1.80%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-21 20:40 |
| Everygame | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.00%E -0.519%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.56%E -1.80%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-21 21:30 |
| BetUS | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.00%E -0.519%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.56%E -1.80%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-21 21:34 |
| Pinnacle | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.15%EV -1.51%E -0.789%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.85%EV -2.10%E -1.05%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-07-21 21:35 |
| 1xBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -1.51%E -0.789%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -2.59%E -1.29%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-21 21:35 |
| BetAnything | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.77%EV -1.51%E -0.789%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.23%EV -3.56%E -1.80%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-21 21:30 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.03%E -1.06%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-21 21:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.03%E -1.06%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-21 21:35 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.03%E -1.06%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-21 21:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.03%E -1.06%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-21 17:55 |
| TAB | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.54%E -1.34%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -5.02%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-21 21:38 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.54%E -1.34%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-21 17:20 |
| Neds | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.54%E -1.34%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-21 21:38 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.54%E -1.34%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-21 21:38 |
| FanDuel | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.05%E -1.62%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -4.54%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-21 21:30 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -3.05%E -1.62%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -5.02%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-21 17:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.05%E -1.62%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -6.00%E -3.11%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-21 21:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -3.57%E -1.90%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -2.59%E -1.29%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-21 21:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -3.57%E -1.90%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -2.59%E -1.29%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-21 21:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.57%E -1.90%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.51%E -2.84%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-21 19:25 |
| Betsson | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.57%E -1.90%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.49%E -3.38%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-21 21:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.57%E -1.90%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.49%E -3.38%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-21 21:38 |
| Fanatics | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.08%E -2.18%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.02%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-21 18:39 |
| Fliff | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.08%E -2.18%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.02%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-21 21:34 |
| Coolbet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.08%E -2.18%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.02%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-21 19:25 |
| Caesars | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.08%E -2.18%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.02%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-21 21:30 |
| Bovada | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.08%E -2.18%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.02%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-21 21:30 |
| theScore Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.08%E -2.18%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.02%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-21 21:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.08%E -2.18%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.02%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-21 20:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.08%E -2.18%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.51%E -2.84%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-21 19:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.59%E -2.47%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.51%E -2.84%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-21 21:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.59%E -2.47%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.51%E -2.84%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-21 21:35 |
| betano_uk | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -5.11%E -2.76%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -0.154%E -0.075%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-21 20:14 |
| Bet Victor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -5.11%E -2.76%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -0.154%E -0.075%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-21 20:15 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.11%E -2.76%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.56%E -1.80%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-21 20:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.11%E -2.76%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.05%E -2.06%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-21 21:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.11%E -2.76%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.05%E -2.06%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-21 21:00 |
| Unibet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.11%E -2.76%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.54%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-21 21:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.11%E -2.76%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.54%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-21 21:00 |
| betPARX | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.11%E -2.76%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.54%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-21 21:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.11%E -2.76%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.54%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-21 20:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.11%E -2.76%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.54%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-21 21:00 |
| Casumo | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.11%E -2.76%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.54%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-21 21:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.11%E -2.76%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.02%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-21 21:39 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.11%E -2.76%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-21 19:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.11%E -2.76%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-21 19:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.11%E -2.76%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-21 19:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.62%E -3.05%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.54%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-21 21:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.62%E -3.05%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.54%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-21 21:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -6.13%E -3.35%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -1.61%E -0.799%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-21 21:10 |
| Betway | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.13%E -3.35%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.59%E -1.29%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-21 17:00 |
| ReBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.13%E -3.35%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.59%E -1.29%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-21 17:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.13%E -3.35%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.59%E -1.29%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-21 19:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.13%E -3.35%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.02%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-21 21:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.13%E -3.35%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-21 21:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.64%E -3.65%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.59%E -1.29%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-21 20:15 |
| Grosvenor | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -7.16%E -3.95%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -6.00%E -3.11%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-21 21:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.67%E -4.26%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.59%E -1.29%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-21 17:00 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.67%E -4.26%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.59%E -1.29%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-21 17:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.67%E -4.26%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.59%E -1.29%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-21 17:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -7.67%E -4.26%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -3.56%E -1.80%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-21 16:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -7.67%E -4.26%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -3.56%E -1.80%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-21 16:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -0.154%E -0.075%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-21 17:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 0.6% | 2026-07-21 21:39 |
| ProphetX | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 0.6% | 2026-07-21 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61% | 0.8% | 2026-07-21 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61% | 0.8% | 2026-07-21 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61% | 0.8% | 2026-07-21 21:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61% | 0.8% | 2026-07-21 21:40 |
| Kalshi | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-07-21 18:10 |
| Polymarket | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-07-21 17:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59% | 2.9% | 2026-07-21 21:35 |
| BetOpenly | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46% | 5.5% | 2026-07-21 21:00 |