L’École des cotes

Boston Red Sox v Baltimore Orioles

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-21 23:11 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

65 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Prévision 51.29%1.95cote équitable
EV -1.00%
Avantage -0.519%
Kelly -1.08%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.93

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%51.42%51.05%53.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.751.861.861.9357.14%53.63%53.76%51.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Baltimore Orioles (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.71%2.05cote équitable
EV -0.154%
Avantage -0.075%
Kelly -0.146%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.05%48.58%48.95%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.901.961.962.0552.63%50.99%51.02%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.00%E -0.519%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.56%E -1.80%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-21 20:40
GTbets1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.00%E -0.519%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.56%E -1.80%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-21 20:40
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.00%E -0.519%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.56%E -1.80%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-21 20:40
Everygame1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.00%E -0.519%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.56%E -1.80%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-21 21:30
BetUS1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.00%E -0.519%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.56%E -1.80%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-21 21:34
Pinnacle1.92I 52.08%NM 51.15%EV -1.51%E -0.789%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.85%EV -2.10%E -1.05%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-21 21:35
1xBet1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -1.51%E -0.789%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -2.59%E -1.29%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-21 21:35
BetAnything1.92I 52.08%NM 50.77%EV -1.51%E -0.789%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.23%EV -3.56%E -1.80%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-21 21:30
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.03%E -1.06%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 21:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.03%E -1.06%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 21:35
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.03%E -1.06%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 21:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.03%E -1.06%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 17:55
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.54%E -1.34%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -5.02%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-21 21:38
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.54%E -1.34%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 17:20
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.54%E -1.34%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 21:38
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.54%E -1.34%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 21:38
FanDuel1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.05%E -1.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -4.54%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-21 21:30
MyBookie.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -3.05%E -1.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -5.02%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-21 17:35
DraftKings1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.05%E -1.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -6.00%E -3.11%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 21:10
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -3.57%E -1.90%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -2.59%E -1.29%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-21 21:00
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -3.57%E -1.90%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -2.59%E -1.29%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-21 21:00
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.57%E -1.90%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.51%E -2.84%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 19:25
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.57%E -1.90%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.49%E -3.38%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 21:40
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.57%E -1.90%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.49%E -3.38%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 21:38
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.08%E -2.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.02%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 18:39
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.08%E -2.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.02%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 21:34
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.08%E -2.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.02%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 19:25
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.08%E -2.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.02%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 21:30
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.08%E -2.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.02%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 21:30
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.08%E -2.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.02%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 21:30
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.08%E -2.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.02%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 20:09
Betr (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.08%E -2.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.51%E -2.84%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 19:25
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.59%E -2.47%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.51%E -2.84%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 21:30
Marathon Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.59%E -2.47%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.51%E -2.84%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 21:35
betano_uk1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -5.11%E -2.76%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -0.154%E -0.075%K -0.146%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-21 20:14
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -5.11%E -2.76%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -0.154%E -0.075%K -0.146%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-21 20:15
Dabble (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.11%E -2.76%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.56%E -1.80%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 20:25
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.11%E -2.76%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.05%E -2.06%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 21:00
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.11%E -2.76%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.05%E -2.06%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 21:00
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.11%E -2.76%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.54%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 21:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.11%E -2.76%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.54%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 21:00
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.11%E -2.76%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.54%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 21:00
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.11%E -2.76%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.54%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 20:59
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.11%E -2.76%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.54%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 21:00
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.11%E -2.76%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.54%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 21:00
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.11%E -2.76%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.02%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 21:39
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.11%E -2.76%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 19:25
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.11%E -2.76%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 19:25
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.11%E -2.76%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 19:25
LiveScore Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.62%E -3.05%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.54%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 21:00
Virgin Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.62%E -3.05%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.54%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 21:00
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -6.13%E -3.35%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -1.61%E -0.799%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-21 21:10
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.13%E -3.35%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.59%E -1.29%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 17:00
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.13%E -3.35%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.59%E -1.29%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 17:00
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.13%E -3.35%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.59%E -1.29%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 19:15
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.13%E -3.35%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.02%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-21 21:00
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.13%E -3.35%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 21:30
Unibet (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.64%E -3.65%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.59%E -1.29%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-21 20:15
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -7.16%E -3.95%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -6.00%E -3.11%K -6.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 21:00
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.67%E -4.26%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.59%E -1.29%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 17:00
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.67%E -4.26%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.59%E -1.29%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 17:00
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.67%E -4.26%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.59%E -1.29%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 17:00
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -7.67%E -4.26%K -9.59%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -3.56%E -1.80%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-21 16:59
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -7.67%E -4.26%K -9.59%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -3.56%E -1.80%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-21 16:59
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -0.154%E -0.075%K -0.146%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-21 17:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-07-21 21:39
ProphetX1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-07-21 21:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%0.8%2026-07-21 21:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%0.8%2026-07-21 21:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%0.8%2026-07-21 21:25
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%0.8%2026-07-21 21:40
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-21 18:10
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-21 17:15
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%2.9%2026-07-21 21:35
BetOpenly1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%5.5%2026-07-21 21:00