默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Baltimore Orioles v Washington Nationals

开赛时间: 2026-06-28 17:36 UTC

最终结果: Baltimore Orioles 4–6 Washington Nationals

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

64 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Baltimore Orioles (主队)

预测 64.11%1.56公平赔率
EV -1.28%
优势 -0.830%
Kelly -2.37%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.54

博彩公司预测分布
62.03%64.01%64.16%65.06%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.441.491.491.5469.44%67.07%67.11%64.94%最小值均值中位数最大值

Washington Nationals (客队)

预测 35.89%2.79公平赔率
EV -0.213%
优势 -0.077%
Kelly -0.120%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.78

博彩公司预测分布
34.94%35.99%35.84%37.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.452.662.652.7840.82%37.57%37.74%35.97%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Baltimore Orioles (主队):64.11%;Washington Nationals (客队):35.89%。 对于“Washington Nationals (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.79。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.78,期望值为-0.213%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -1.28%E -0.830%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -3.09%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-28 16:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -1.92%E -1.25%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-28 13:20
Fliff🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.92%E -1.25%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -8.47%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 17:20
Pinnacle🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.57%EV -2.56%E -1.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 35.43%EV -0.572%E -0.207%K -0.323%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-28 17:30
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.56%E -1.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 02:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -3.20%E -2.12%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV -0.213%E -0.077%K -0.120%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-28 15:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -3.20%E -2.12%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV -0.213%E -0.077%K -0.120%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-28 15:59
GTbets🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -3.20%E -2.12%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV -0.213%E -0.077%K -0.120%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-28 15:59
BetUS🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.20%E -2.12%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -3.09%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-28 16:29
BetAnything🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.20%E -2.12%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -3.09%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-28 15:49
theScore Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.20%E -2.12%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.88%E -1.84%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-27 22:00
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -3.20%E -2.12%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -5.24%E -1.98%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-28 13:20
NordicBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.20%E -2.12%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -7.75%E -3.02%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 21:50
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.20%E -2.12%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -7.75%E -3.02%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 21:50
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.84%E -2.56%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.29%E -0.469%K -0.737%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-28 16:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.84%E -2.56%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.29%E -0.469%K -0.737%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-28 16:49
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.84%E -2.56%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.29%E -0.469%K -0.737%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-28 16:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -3.84%E -2.56%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -4.16%E -1.56%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-28 16:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.84%E -2.56%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.88%E -1.84%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-27 18:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.84%E -2.56%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.88%E -1.84%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-28 16:19
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.84%E -2.56%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.88%E -1.84%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-28 16:00
ReBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.84%E -2.56%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.88%E -1.84%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-28 16:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.84%E -2.56%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.88%E -1.84%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-28 05:39
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.84%E -2.56%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.96%E -2.27%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 13:19
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.84%E -2.56%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 16:19
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.84%E -2.56%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 18:19
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.84%E -2.56%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 12:19
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -3.84%E -2.56%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -12.06%E -4.92%K -8.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 17:30
Fanatics🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.48%E -3.01%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.09%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-28 16:10
Caesars🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.48%E -3.01%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.09%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-28 15:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.48%E -3.01%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.09%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-28 16:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.48%E -3.01%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.09%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-28 16:49
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -4.48%E -3.01%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -3.80%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-28 15:38
Bovada🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -4.48%E -3.01%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -3.80%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-28 17:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.48%E -3.01%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-28 16:20
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.09%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 15:59
Unibet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.09%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 16:49
Casumo🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.09%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 16:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.09%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 16:49
LeoVegas🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.09%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 16:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.09%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 16:49
betPARX🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.09%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 16:49
Bally Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.09%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 16:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.09%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 16:00
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.09%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 15:59
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.09%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 15:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.09%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 16:00
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -4.16%E -1.56%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 17:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.88%E -1.84%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 17:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.88%E -1.84%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 17:30
TABtouch🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.88%E -1.84%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 16:49
BetRivers🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.88%E -1.84%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 16:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.88%E -1.84%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 16:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.88%E -1.84%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 16:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-28 17:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-28 17:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -8.47%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-28 16:20
888sport🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.76%E -3.92%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.88%E -1.84%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-28 15:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.76%E -3.92%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.88%E -1.84%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-28 15:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.76%E -3.92%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.88%E -1.84%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-28 16:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.59%EV -6.41%E -4.39%K -13.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -8.47%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-28 17:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.05%E -4.86%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.09%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-28 16:19
Grosvenor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -7.69%E -5.34%K -17.47%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -5.60%E -2.13%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 16:49
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.69%E -5.34%K -17.47%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.96%E -2.27%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-28 15:09
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly1.54I 64.94%NM 65.00%2.86I 34.97%NM 35.00%-0.1%2026-06-28 17:30
ProphetX1.54I 64.94%NM 64.84%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16%0.1%2026-06-28 17:30
Novig1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%0.3%2026-06-28 17:30
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%0.4%2026-06-28 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%0.6%2026-06-28 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%0.6%2026-06-28 16:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%0.6%2026-06-28 17:00
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-06-28 15:09
Polymarket1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-06-28 15:10
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 64.95%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.05%2.6%2026-06-28 17:30