La scuola delle quote

Baltimore Orioles v Washington Nationals

Inizio: 2026-06-28 17:36 UTC

Finale: Baltimore Orioles 4–6 Washington Nationals

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Baltimore Orioles (Casa)

Previsione 64.11%1.56quota equa
EV -1.28%
Vantaggio -0.830%
Kelly -2.37%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.54

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
62.03%64.01%64.16%65.06%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.441.491.491.5469.44%67.07%67.11%64.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Washington Nationals (Trasferta)

Previsione 35.89%2.79quota equa
EV -0.213%
Vantaggio -0.077%
Kelly -0.120%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.78

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.94%35.99%35.84%37.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.452.662.652.7840.82%37.57%37.74%35.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -1.28%E -0.830%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -3.09%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-28 16:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -1.92%E -1.25%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-28 13:20
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.92%E -1.25%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -8.47%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 17:20
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 64.57%EV -2.56%E -1.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 35.43%EV -0.572%E -0.207%K -0.323%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-28 17:30
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.56%E -1.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 02:30
LowVig.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -3.20%E -2.12%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV -0.213%E -0.077%K -0.120%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-28 15:59
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -3.20%E -2.12%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV -0.213%E -0.077%K -0.120%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-28 15:59
GTbets1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -3.20%E -2.12%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV -0.213%E -0.077%K -0.120%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-28 15:59
BetUS1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.20%E -2.12%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -3.09%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-28 16:29
BetAnything1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.20%E -2.12%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -3.09%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-28 15:49
theScore Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.20%E -2.12%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.88%E -1.84%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-27 22:00
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -3.20%E -2.12%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -5.24%E -1.98%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-28 13:20
NordicBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.20%E -2.12%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -7.75%E -3.02%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 21:50
Betsson1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.20%E -2.12%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -7.75%E -3.02%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 21:50
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.84%E -2.56%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.29%E -0.469%K -0.737%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-28 16:19
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.84%E -2.56%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.29%E -0.469%K -0.737%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-28 16:49
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.84%E -2.56%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.29%E -0.469%K -0.737%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-28 16:10
MyBookie.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -3.84%E -2.56%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -4.16%E -1.56%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-28 16:29
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.84%E -2.56%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.88%E -1.84%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-27 18:00
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.84%E -2.56%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.88%E -1.84%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-28 16:19
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.84%E -2.56%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.88%E -1.84%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-28 16:00
ReBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.84%E -2.56%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.88%E -1.84%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-28 16:20
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.84%E -2.56%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.88%E -1.84%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-28 05:39
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.84%E -2.56%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.96%E -2.27%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 13:19
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.84%E -2.56%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 16:19
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.84%E -2.56%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 18:19
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.84%E -2.56%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 12:19
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -3.84%E -2.56%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -12.06%E -4.92%K -8.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 17:30
Fanatics1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.48%E -3.01%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.09%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-28 16:10
Caesars1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.48%E -3.01%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.09%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-28 15:09
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.48%E -3.01%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.09%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-28 16:49
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.48%E -3.01%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.09%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-28 16:49
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -4.48%E -3.01%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -3.80%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-28 15:38
Bovada1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -4.48%E -3.01%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -3.80%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-28 17:20
Winamax (DE)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.48%E -3.01%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-28 16:20
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.09%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 15:59
Unibet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.09%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 16:49
Casumo1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.09%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 16:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.09%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 16:49
LeoVegas1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.09%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 16:49
ATG (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.09%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 16:49
betPARX1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.09%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 16:49
Bally Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.09%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 16:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.09%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 16:00
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.09%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 15:59
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.09%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 15:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.09%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 16:00
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -4.16%E -1.56%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 17:29
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.88%E -1.84%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 17:29
Marathon Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.88%E -1.84%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 17:30
TABtouch1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.88%E -1.84%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 16:49
BetRivers1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.88%E -1.84%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 16:49
LiveScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.88%E -1.84%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 16:49
Virgin Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.88%E -1.84%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 16:50
Unibet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-28 17:30
Dabble (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-28 17:19
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -8.47%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-28 16:20
888sport1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.76%E -3.92%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.88%E -1.84%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-28 15:59
Mr Green (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.76%E -3.92%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.88%E -1.84%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-28 15:59
888sport (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.76%E -3.92%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.88%E -1.84%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-28 16:00
Betclic (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 63.59%EV -6.41%E -4.39%K -13.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -8.47%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-28 17:09
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.05%E -4.86%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.09%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-28 16:19
Grosvenor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -7.69%E -5.34%K -17.47%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -5.60%E -2.13%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 16:49
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.69%E -5.34%K -17.47%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.96%E -2.27%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-28 15:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly1.54I 64.94%NM 65.00%2.86I 34.97%NM 35.00%-0.1%2026-06-28 17:30
ProphetX1.54I 64.94%NM 64.84%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16%0.1%2026-06-28 17:30
Novig1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%0.3%2026-06-28 17:30
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%0.4%2026-06-28 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%0.6%2026-06-28 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%0.6%2026-06-28 16:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%0.6%2026-06-28 17:00
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-06-28 15:09
Polymarket1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-06-28 15:10
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 64.95%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.05%2.6%2026-06-28 17:30