مدرسة الاحتمالات

Baltimore Orioles v Washington Nationals

البداية: 2026-06-28 17:36 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Baltimore Orioles 4–6 Washington Nationals

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

64 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Baltimore Orioles (المضيف)

التنبؤ 64.11%1.56السعر العادل
EV -1.28%
الأفضلية -0.830%
Kelly -2.37%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.54

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
62.03%64.01%64.16%65.06%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.441.491.491.5469.44%67.07%67.11%64.94%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Washington Nationals (الضيف)

التنبؤ 35.89%2.79السعر العادل
EV -0.213%
الأفضلية -0.077%
Kelly -0.120%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.78

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
34.94%35.99%35.84%37.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.452.662.652.7840.82%37.57%37.74%35.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (64 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -1.28%E -0.830%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -3.09%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-28 16:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -1.92%E -1.25%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-28 13:20
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.92%E -1.25%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -8.47%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 17:20
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 64.57%EV -2.56%E -1.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 35.43%EV -0.572%E -0.207%K -0.323%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-28 17:30
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.56%E -1.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 02:30
LowVig.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -3.20%E -2.12%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV -0.213%E -0.077%K -0.120%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-28 15:59
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -3.20%E -2.12%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV -0.213%E -0.077%K -0.120%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-28 15:59
GTbets1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -3.20%E -2.12%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV -0.213%E -0.077%K -0.120%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-28 15:59
BetUS1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.20%E -2.12%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -3.09%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-28 16:29
BetAnything1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.20%E -2.12%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -3.09%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-28 15:49
theScore Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.20%E -2.12%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.88%E -1.84%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-27 22:00
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -3.20%E -2.12%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -5.24%E -1.98%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-28 13:20
NordicBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.20%E -2.12%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -7.75%E -3.02%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 21:50
Betsson1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.20%E -2.12%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -7.75%E -3.02%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 21:50
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.84%E -2.56%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.29%E -0.469%K -0.737%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-28 16:19
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.84%E -2.56%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.29%E -0.469%K -0.737%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-28 16:49
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.84%E -2.56%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.29%E -0.469%K -0.737%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-28 16:10
MyBookie.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -3.84%E -2.56%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -4.16%E -1.56%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-28 16:29
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.84%E -2.56%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.88%E -1.84%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-27 18:00
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.84%E -2.56%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.88%E -1.84%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-28 16:19
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.84%E -2.56%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.88%E -1.84%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-28 16:00
ReBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.84%E -2.56%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.88%E -1.84%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-28 16:20
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.84%E -2.56%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.88%E -1.84%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-28 05:39
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.84%E -2.56%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.96%E -2.27%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 13:19
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.84%E -2.56%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 16:19
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.84%E -2.56%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 18:19
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.84%E -2.56%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 12:19
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -3.84%E -2.56%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -12.06%E -4.92%K -8.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 17:30
Fanatics1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.48%E -3.01%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.09%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-28 16:10
Caesars1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.48%E -3.01%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.09%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-28 15:09
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.48%E -3.01%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.09%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-28 16:49
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.48%E -3.01%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.09%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-28 16:49
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -4.48%E -3.01%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -3.80%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-28 15:38
Bovada1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -4.48%E -3.01%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -3.80%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-28 17:20
Winamax (DE)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.48%E -3.01%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-28 16:20
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.09%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 15:59
Unibet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.09%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 16:49
Casumo1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.09%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 16:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.09%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 16:49
LeoVegas1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.09%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 16:49
ATG (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.09%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 16:49
betPARX1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.09%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 16:49
Bally Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.09%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 16:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.09%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 16:00
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.09%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 15:59
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.09%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 15:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.09%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 16:00
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -4.16%E -1.56%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 17:29
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.88%E -1.84%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 17:29
Marathon Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.88%E -1.84%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 17:30
TABtouch1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.88%E -1.84%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 16:49
BetRivers1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.88%E -1.84%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 16:49
LiveScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.88%E -1.84%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 16:49
Virgin Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.88%E -1.84%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 16:50
Unibet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-28 17:30
Dabble (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-28 17:19
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -8.47%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-28 16:20
888sport1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.76%E -3.92%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.88%E -1.84%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-28 15:59
Mr Green (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.76%E -3.92%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.88%E -1.84%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-28 15:59
888sport (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.76%E -3.92%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.88%E -1.84%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-28 16:00
Betclic (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 63.59%EV -6.41%E -4.39%K -13.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -8.47%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-28 17:09
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.05%E -4.86%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.09%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-28 16:19
Grosvenor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -7.69%E -5.34%K -17.47%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -5.60%E -2.13%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 16:49
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.69%E -5.34%K -17.47%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.96%E -2.27%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-28 15:09
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly1.54I 64.94%NM 65.00%2.86I 34.97%NM 35.00%-0.1%2026-06-28 17:30
ProphetX1.54I 64.94%NM 64.84%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16%0.1%2026-06-28 17:30
Novig1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%0.3%2026-06-28 17:30
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%0.4%2026-06-28 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%0.6%2026-06-28 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%0.6%2026-06-28 16:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%0.6%2026-06-28 17:00
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-06-28 15:09
Polymarket1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-06-28 15:10
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 64.95%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.05%2.6%2026-06-28 17:30