The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Baltimore Orioles v Tampa Bay Rays

Kickoff: 2026-08-21 23:16 UTC

Final: Baltimore Orioles 5–3 Tampa Bay Rays

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Prediction 52.12%1.92fair odd
EV +0.598%
Edge +0.310%
Kelly +0.643%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.60%52.07%52.22%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.851.831.9358.82%54.11%54.64%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tampa Bay Rays (Visit)

Prediction 47.88%2.09fair odd
EV -0.895%
Edge -0.432%
Kelly -0.837%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.95%47.93%47.78%50.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.971.982.0754.64%50.78%50.38%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Baltimore Orioles (Local): 52.12%; Tampa Bay Rays (Visit): 47.88%. For Baltimore Orioles (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.92. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.93, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.598%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV +0.598%E +0.310%K +0.643%G +0.004%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -8.56%E -4.48%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-21 23:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV +0.598%E +0.310%K +0.643%G +0.004%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -8.56%E -4.48%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-21 23:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV +0.598%E +0.310%K +0.643%G +0.004%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -8.56%E -4.48%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-21 23:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV +0.598%E +0.310%K +0.643%G +0.004%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -8.56%E -4.48%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-21 23:15
Casumo🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV +0.077%E +0.040%K +0.083%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -9.51%E -5.03%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 23:15
Unibet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV +0.077%E +0.040%K +0.083%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -9.51%E -5.03%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 23:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV +0.077%E +0.040%K +0.083%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -9.51%E -5.03%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 23:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV +0.077%E +0.040%K +0.083%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -9.51%E -5.03%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 23:15
betPARX🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV +0.077%E +0.040%K +0.083%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -9.51%E -5.03%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 23:15
Bally Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV +0.077%E +0.040%K +0.083%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -9.51%E -5.03%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 23:15
TABtouch🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -0.445%E -0.233%K -0.489%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -9.99%E -5.31%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-21 23:15
1xBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -1.49%E -0.787%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -2.81%E -1.38%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-21 22:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.73%EV -1.49%E -0.787%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.27%EV -10.47%E -5.60%K -12.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-21 23:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.73%EV -1.49%E -0.787%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.27%EV -10.47%E -5.60%K -12.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-21 23:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.01%E -1.07%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.81%E -1.38%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-21 21:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.01%E -1.07%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.81%E -1.38%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-21 21:14
GTbets🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.01%E -1.07%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.81%E -1.38%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-21 21:14
Pinnacle🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -2.53%E -1.35%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -1.37%E -0.667%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-21 23:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.53%E -1.35%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.85%E -0.904%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-21 20:35
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.53%E -1.35%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.85%E -0.904%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-21 20:32
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.53%E -1.35%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.85%E -0.904%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-21 23:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -2.53%E -1.35%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -5.20%E -2.63%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-21 23:15
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -2.53%E -1.35%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -8.56%E -4.48%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-21 22:54
FanDuel🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -3.05%E -1.64%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -1.37%E -0.667%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-21 20:35
BetAnything🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.57%E -1.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.33%E -1.14%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-21 20:45
DraftKings🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.32%EV -3.57%E -1.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.68%EV -2.81%E -1.38%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-21 23:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -3.57%E -1.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -3.77%E -1.87%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-21 23:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.57%E -1.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-21 20:34
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.57%E -1.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-21 21:40
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -3.57%E -1.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -12.39%E -6.77%K -14.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-21 23:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -4.09%E -2.22%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -7.12%E -3.67%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-21 23:15
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -0.895%E -0.432%K -0.837%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-21 20:34
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -3.77%E -1.87%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 23:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-21 20:34
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-21 21:40
Bet Right🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-21 22:34
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-21 23:04
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-21 20:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.20%E -2.63%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 23:04
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.20%E -2.63%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 23:04
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.20%E -2.63%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 21:44
Betsson🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.20%E -2.63%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 21:44
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-21 23:14
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-21 23:15
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.56%E -4.48%K -9.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 23:15
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.14%E -2.82%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-21 21:39
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.14%E -2.82%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-21 21:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.14%E -2.82%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.73%E -2.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-21 22:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.14%E -2.82%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.73%E -2.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-21 23:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -5.14%E -2.82%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -8.08%E -4.21%K -8.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 23:15
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.66%E -3.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-21 20:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.66%E -3.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.68%E -2.88%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 23:04
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-21 16:35
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-21 20:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-21 20:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-21 20:40
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-21 20:49
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-21 23:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-21 23:15
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.03%E -4.75%K -10.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-21 23:04
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.03%E -4.75%K -10.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-21 23:03
Dabble (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -7.22%E -4.06%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -1.85%E -0.904%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 22:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -7.22%E -4.06%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -7.60%E -3.94%K -8.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-21 23:03
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -11.39%E -6.70%K -16.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-21 23:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-08-21 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-08-21 23:15
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-08-21 21:35
Polymarket◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-08-21 20:35
Novig◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-08-21 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-08-21 23:15
ProphetX◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.3%2026-08-21 23:15
Matchbook◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.3%2026-08-21 23:15
Smarkets◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%2.0%2026-08-21 23:05
BetOpenly◎1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%4.9%2026-08-21 22:59