The School of Odds
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Baltimore Orioles v Tampa Bay Rays

2026-08-21 23:16 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Prediction 54.45%1.84fair odd
EV -1.99%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -2.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.66%54.52%54.44%56.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.751.751.8059.88%57.10%57.14%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tampa Bay Rays (Visit)

Prediction 45.55%2.20fair odd
EV +0.208%
Edge +0.095%
Kelly +0.174%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.72%45.48%45.56%46.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.102.102.2050.00%47.69%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Baltimore Orioles (Local): 54.45%; Tampa Bay Rays (Visit): 45.55%. For Tampa Bay Rays (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.195. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.200, producing a positive expected value of +0.208%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.62%E -2.05%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV +0.208%E +0.095%K +0.174%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-20 22:34
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.08%E -1.73%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.703%E -0.322%K -0.596%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-20 19:20
GTbets🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.53%E -1.42%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -1.61%E -0.747%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-20 21:00
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -5.26%E -3.02%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -1.61%E -0.747%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-21 00:35
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.99%E -1.10%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.07%E -0.962%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-20 21:00
BetUS🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.53%E -1.42%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -2.07%E -0.962%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-21 00:45
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.71%E -2.69%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.07%E -0.962%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-20 21:24
Bovada🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.34%E -3.69%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.07%E -0.962%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 00:34
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -9.07%E -5.43%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.07%E -0.962%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-20 18:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -2.53%E -1.42%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -2.52%E -1.18%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-20 21:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -2.53%E -1.42%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -2.52%E -1.18%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-20 21:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.17%E -2.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.44%E -1.62%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-20 21:04
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.80%E -3.35%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.44%E -1.62%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 21:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.80%E -3.35%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -3.89%E -1.84%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 19:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.62%E -2.05%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-20 18:20
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.62%E -2.05%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-20 21:00
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.62%E -2.05%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-20 23:24
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.62%E -2.05%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-21 00:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.71%E -2.69%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 20:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.71%E -2.69%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 20:45
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.71%E -2.69%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 21:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.71%E -2.69%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 20:59
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.71%E -2.69%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-21 00:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.26%E -3.02%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-20 20:59
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.26%E -3.02%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-20 21:04
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.80%E -3.35%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-20 21:03
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.80%E -3.35%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-20 18:19
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.80%E -3.35%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-20 19:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.80%E -3.35%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-20 18:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.80%E -3.35%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-20 19:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.80%E -3.35%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-20 19:59
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.34%E -3.69%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-20 18:29
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.89%E -4.03%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-20 23:19
DraftKings🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.17%E -2.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.80%E -2.30%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-20 21:04
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.08%E -1.73%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.26%E -2.53%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-21 00:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.08%E -1.73%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.26%E -2.53%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-21 00:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.08%E -1.73%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.26%E -2.53%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-21 00:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.08%E -1.73%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.26%E -2.53%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-21 00:19
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.62%E -2.05%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.26%E -2.53%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-21 00:20
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.62%E -2.05%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.26%E -2.53%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-21 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.62%E -2.05%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.26%E -2.53%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-21 00:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.62%E -2.05%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.26%E -2.53%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-21 00:19
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.62%E -2.05%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.26%E -2.53%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-21 00:19
Bally Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.62%E -2.05%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.26%E -2.53%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-21 00:18
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.71%E -2.69%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.26%E -2.53%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 21:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.80%E -3.35%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.26%E -2.53%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 21:03
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.17%E -2.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.17%E -2.99%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 00:20
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.62%E -2.05%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.62%E -3.23%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.62%E -2.05%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.62%E -3.23%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 20:59
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.62%E -2.05%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.62%E -3.23%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 21:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -5.26%E -3.02%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -7.08%E -3.47%K -6.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-21 00:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -5.26%E -3.02%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -7.08%E -3.47%K -6.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-21 00:20
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.43%E -4.37%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.90%E -4.45%K -8.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-21 00:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -8.52%E -5.07%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -8.90%E -4.45%K -8.90%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-20 23:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -8.52%E -5.07%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -8.90%E -4.45%K -8.90%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-21 00:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-08-21 00:25
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-08-20 20:45
Polymarket◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-08-20 21:00
ProphetX◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%1.7%2026-08-21 01:05
Smarkets◎1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%9.9%2026-08-20 21:00

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