Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Baltimore Orioles v Tampa Bay Rays

2026-08-21 23:16 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Predicción 54.55%1.83momio equitativo
EV -1.80%
Ventaja -1.00%
Kelly -2.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.66%54.59%54.56%56.28%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.671.751.751.8059.88%57.10%57.14%55.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Tampa Bay Rays (Visitante)

Predicción 45.45%2.20momio equitativo
EV -0.930%
Ventaja -0.427%
Kelly -0.788%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.18

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.72%45.41%45.44%46.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.102.102.1850.00%47.64%47.62%45.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Baltimore Orioles (Local): 54.55%; Tampa Bay Rays (Visitante): 45.45%. Para Tampa Bay Rays (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.20. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.18, con un valor esperado de -0.930%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.80%E -1.00%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.29%E -1.07%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-21 02:00
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.80%E -1.00%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.29%E -1.07%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-20 21:00
GTbets🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.35%E -1.31%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -1.84%E -0.851%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-20 21:00
BetUS🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.35%E -1.31%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -2.29%E -1.07%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-21 00:45
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.35%E -1.31%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -2.29%E -1.07%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-21 02:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -2.35%E -1.31%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -2.75%E -1.28%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-20 21:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -2.35%E -1.31%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -2.75%E -1.28%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-20 21:04
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.89%E -1.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.930%E -0.427%K -0.788%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-20 19:20
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.89%E -1.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.47%E -2.63%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-21 00:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.89%E -1.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.47%E -2.63%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-21 00:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.89%E -1.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.47%E -2.63%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-21 00:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.89%E -1.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.47%E -2.63%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-21 00:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.44%E -1.94%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.57%E -2.17%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-20 18:20
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.44%E -1.94%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.57%E -2.17%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-20 21:00
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.44%E -1.94%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.57%E -2.17%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-20 23:24
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.44%E -1.94%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.57%E -2.17%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-21 00:04
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.44%E -1.94%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.47%E -2.63%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-21 00:20
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.44%E -1.94%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.47%E -2.63%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-21 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.44%E -1.94%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.47%E -2.63%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-21 00:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.44%E -1.94%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.47%E -2.63%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-21 00:19
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.44%E -1.94%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.47%E -2.63%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-21 00:19
Bally Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.44%E -1.94%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.47%E -2.63%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-21 00:18
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.44%E -1.94%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.84%E -3.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.44%E -1.94%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.84%E -3.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 20:59
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.44%E -1.94%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.84%E -3.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 21:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.98%E -2.26%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.66%E -1.72%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-20 21:04
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.98%E -2.26%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.38%E -3.10%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 00:20
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.53%E -2.59%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.29%E -1.07%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-20 21:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.53%E -2.59%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.57%E -2.17%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 20:59
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.53%E -2.59%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.57%E -2.17%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-21 01:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.53%E -2.59%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.57%E -2.17%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 20:45
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.53%E -2.59%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.57%E -2.17%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 21:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.53%E -2.59%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.57%E -2.17%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 20:59
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.53%E -2.59%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.57%E -2.17%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-21 00:35
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.53%E -2.59%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.57%E -2.17%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-21 01:34
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -5.07%E -2.92%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -1.84%E -0.851%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-21 00:35
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -5.07%E -2.92%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -1.84%E -0.851%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-21 01:59
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.07%E -2.92%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.66%E -1.72%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-21 01:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.07%E -2.92%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.57%E -2.17%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-20 20:59
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.07%E -2.92%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.57%E -2.17%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-20 21:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -5.07%E -2.92%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -7.29%E -3.57%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-21 00:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -5.07%E -2.92%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -7.29%E -3.57%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-21 00:20
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.62%E -3.25%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.66%E -1.72%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 21:04
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.62%E -3.25%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.66%E -1.72%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 01:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.62%E -3.25%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.11%E -1.95%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 19:14
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.62%E -3.25%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.57%E -2.17%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-20 21:03
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.62%E -3.25%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.57%E -2.17%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-20 18:19
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.62%E -3.25%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.57%E -2.17%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-20 19:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.62%E -3.25%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.57%E -2.17%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-20 18:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.62%E -3.25%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.57%E -2.17%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-20 19:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.62%E -3.25%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.57%E -2.17%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-20 19:59
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.62%E -3.25%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.57%E -2.17%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-20 22:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.62%E -3.25%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.47%E -2.63%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 21:03
Bovada🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.17%E -3.58%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.29%E -1.07%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 00:34
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.17%E -3.58%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.57%E -2.17%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-20 18:29
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.71%E -3.92%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.57%E -2.17%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-20 23:19
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.26%E -4.27%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.11%E -4.55%K -9.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-21 00:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -8.35%E -4.97%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -9.11%E -4.55%K -9.11%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-20 23:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -8.35%E -4.97%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -9.11%E -4.55%K -9.11%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-21 00:00
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.89%E -5.33%K -13.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.29%E -1.07%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-20 18:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%0.7%2026-08-21 01:50
ProphetX1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75%2.19I 45.66%NM 45.25%0.9%2026-08-21 01:50
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-08-20 20:45
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-08-20 21:00
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%5.4%2026-08-21 02:05
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%9.0%2026-08-21 01:45

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