默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Baltimore Orioles v Tampa Bay Rays

开赛时间: 2026-08-21 23:16 UTC

最终结果: Baltimore Orioles 5–3 Tampa Bay Rays

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

64 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Baltimore Orioles (主队)

预测 52.12%1.92公平赔率
EV +0.598%
优势 +0.310%
Kelly +0.643%
增长率 +0.004%

假设最高赔率为 1.93

博彩公司预测分布
49.60%52.07%52.22%54.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.701.851.831.9358.82%54.11%54.64%51.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

Tampa Bay Rays (客队)

预测 47.88%2.09公平赔率
EV -0.895%
优势 -0.432%
Kelly -0.837%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.07

博彩公司预测分布
45.95%47.93%47.78%50.40%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.831.971.982.0754.64%50.78%50.38%48.31%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Baltimore Orioles (主队):52.12%;Tampa Bay Rays (客队):47.88%。 对于“Baltimore Orioles (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.92。 当时有10家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为1.93,对应+0.598%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV +0.598%E +0.310%K +0.643%G +0.004%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -8.56%E -4.48%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-21 23:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV +0.598%E +0.310%K +0.643%G +0.004%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -8.56%E -4.48%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-21 23:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV +0.598%E +0.310%K +0.643%G +0.004%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -8.56%E -4.48%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-21 23:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV +0.598%E +0.310%K +0.643%G +0.004%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -8.56%E -4.48%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-21 23:15
Casumo🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV +0.077%E +0.040%K +0.083%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -9.51%E -5.03%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 23:15
Unibet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV +0.077%E +0.040%K +0.083%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -9.51%E -5.03%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 23:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV +0.077%E +0.040%K +0.083%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -9.51%E -5.03%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 23:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV +0.077%E +0.040%K +0.083%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -9.51%E -5.03%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 23:15
betPARX🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV +0.077%E +0.040%K +0.083%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -9.51%E -5.03%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 23:15
Bally Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV +0.077%E +0.040%K +0.083%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -9.51%E -5.03%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 23:15
TABtouch🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -0.445%E -0.233%K -0.489%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -9.99%E -5.31%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-21 23:15
1xBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -1.49%E -0.787%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -2.81%E -1.38%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-21 22:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.73%EV -1.49%E -0.787%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.27%EV -10.47%E -5.60%K -12.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-21 23:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.73%EV -1.49%E -0.787%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.27%EV -10.47%E -5.60%K -12.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-21 23:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.01%E -1.07%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.81%E -1.38%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-21 21:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.01%E -1.07%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.81%E -1.38%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-21 21:14
GTbets🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.01%E -1.07%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.81%E -1.38%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-21 21:14
Pinnacle🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -2.53%E -1.35%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -1.37%E -0.667%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-21 23:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.53%E -1.35%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.85%E -0.904%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-21 20:35
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.53%E -1.35%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.85%E -0.904%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-21 20:32
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.53%E -1.35%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.85%E -0.904%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-21 23:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -2.53%E -1.35%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -5.20%E -2.63%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-21 23:15
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -2.53%E -1.35%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -8.56%E -4.48%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-21 22:54
FanDuel🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -3.05%E -1.64%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -1.37%E -0.667%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-21 20:35
BetAnything🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.57%E -1.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.33%E -1.14%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-21 20:45
DraftKings🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.32%EV -3.57%E -1.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.68%EV -2.81%E -1.38%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-21 23:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -3.57%E -1.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -3.77%E -1.87%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-21 23:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.57%E -1.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-21 20:34
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.57%E -1.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-21 21:40
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -3.57%E -1.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -12.39%E -6.77%K -14.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-21 23:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -4.09%E -2.22%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -7.12%E -3.67%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-21 23:15
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -0.895%E -0.432%K -0.837%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-21 20:34
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -3.77%E -1.87%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 23:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-21 20:34
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-21 21:40
Bet Right🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-21 22:34
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-21 23:04
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-21 20:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.20%E -2.63%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 23:04
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.20%E -2.63%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 23:04
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.20%E -2.63%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 21:44
Betsson🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.20%E -2.63%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 21:44
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-21 23:14
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-21 23:15
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.56%E -4.48%K -9.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 23:15
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.14%E -2.82%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-21 21:39
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.14%E -2.82%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-21 21:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.14%E -2.82%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.73%E -2.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-21 22:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.14%E -2.82%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.73%E -2.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-21 23:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -5.14%E -2.82%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -8.08%E -4.21%K -8.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 23:15
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.66%E -3.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-21 20:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.66%E -3.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.68%E -2.88%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 23:04
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-21 16:35
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-21 20:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-21 20:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-21 20:40
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-21 20:49
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-21 23:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-21 23:15
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.03%E -4.75%K -10.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-21 23:04
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.03%E -4.75%K -10.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-21 23:03
Dabble (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -7.22%E -4.06%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -1.85%E -0.904%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 22:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -7.22%E -4.06%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -7.60%E -3.94%K -8.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-21 23:03
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -11.39%E -6.70%K -16.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-21 23:15
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-08-21 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-08-21 23:15
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-08-21 21:35
Polymarket◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-08-21 20:35
Novig◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-08-21 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-08-21 23:15
ProphetX◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.3%2026-08-21 23:15
Matchbook◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.3%2026-08-21 23:15
Smarkets◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%2.0%2026-08-21 23:05
BetOpenly◎1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%4.9%2026-08-21 22:59