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Baltimore Orioles v San Francisco Giants
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Baltimore Orioles (Local)
Prediction 47.84%2.09fair odd
EV -0.483%
Edge -0.232%
Kelly -0.447%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.34%47.94%47.78%49.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.012.002.0852.36%49.84%50.00%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
San Francisco Giants (Visit)
Prediction 52.16%1.92fair odd
EV +1.70%
Edge +0.873%
Kelly +1.79%
Growth +0.031%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.26%52.06%52.22%53.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.831.831.9556.50%54.76%54.79%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Baltimore Orioles (Local): 47.84%; San Francisco Giants (Visit): 52.16%. For San Francisco Giants (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.92. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.70%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -5.75%E -2.92%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV +1.70%E +0.873%K +1.79%G +0.031% | 2.0% | 2026-04-11 21:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV -3.35%E -1.66%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV -0.384%E -0.201%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-04-11 23:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -0.384%E -0.201%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-11 23:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -8.62%E -4.51%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -1.43%E -0.755%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.92%E -0.936%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.47%E -1.32%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.40%E -1.17%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.47%E -1.32%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.40%E -1.17%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.47%E -1.32%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-11 23:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -2.47%E -1.32%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-11 17:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -2.47%E -1.32%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-11 21:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -4.79%E -2.41%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -2.99%E -1.61%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 23:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -6.22%E -3.18%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -2.99%E -1.61%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 22:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.51%E -1.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 21:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.27%E -2.66%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.51%E -1.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 21:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.22%E -3.18%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.51%E -1.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 16:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.51%E -1.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 21:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.51%E -1.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 19:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.51%E -1.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 19:54 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.51%E -1.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 21:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.27%E -2.66%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.03%E -2.19%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 21:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.35%E -1.66%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 03:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 18:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 23:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 21:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 16:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 23:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 21:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 21:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 21:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.27%E -2.66%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.08%E -2.79%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 21:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.08%E -2.79%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 21:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -6.22%E -3.18%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.08%E -2.79%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%EV -0.483%E -0.232%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.47%EV -5.60%E -3.09%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-11 22:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.60%E -3.09%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -1.44%E -0.699%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -6.12%E -3.40%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 22:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -1.44%E -0.699%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -6.12%E -3.40%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 22:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.12%E -3.40%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 21:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.12%E -3.40%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 21:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.12%E -3.40%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 21:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.12%E -3.40%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 23:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.12%E -3.40%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 23:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.12%E -3.40%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 02:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.27%E -2.66%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.12%E -3.40%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 23:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -5.75%E -2.92%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.12%E -3.40%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 23:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.12%E -3.40%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 20:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -1.92%E -0.936%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.64%E -3.71%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 22:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -1.92%E -0.936%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.64%E -3.71%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 22:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -1.92%E -0.936%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.64%E -3.71%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 22:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -1.92%E -0.936%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.64%E -3.71%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 22:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -1.92%E -0.936%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.64%E -3.71%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 22:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -1.92%E -0.936%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.64%E -3.71%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 22:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -1.92%E -0.936%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.64%E -3.71%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 22:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -1.92%E -0.936%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.64%E -3.71%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 22:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.40%E -1.17%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -7.16%E -4.02%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 22:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.40%E -1.17%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -7.16%E -4.02%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 22:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.40%E -1.17%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -7.16%E -4.02%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 22:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.40%E -1.17%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -7.16%E -4.02%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 22:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.92%E -0.936%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.69%E -4.34%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 23:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.05I 48.78%NM 48.75% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 51.25% | 0.1% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.07I 48.31%NM 48.12% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.88% | 0.4% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 0.4% | 2026-04-11 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 0.6% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89% | 0.9% | 2026-04-11 23:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 23:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.78% | 1.7% | 2026-04-11 23:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91% | 1.9% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66% | 2.4% | 2026-04-11 23:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17% | 2.5% | 2026-04-11 23:15 |