默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Baltimore Orioles v San Francisco Giants

开赛时间: 2026-04-11 23:16 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

58 家博彩公司 (18 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Baltimore Orioles (主队)

预测 47.84%2.09公平赔率
EV -0.483%
优势 -0.232%
Kelly -0.447%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.08

博彩公司预测分布
46.34%47.94%47.78%49.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.912.012.002.0852.36%49.84%50.00%48.08%最小值均值中位数最大值

San Francisco Giants (客队)

预测 52.16%1.92公平赔率
EV +1.70%
优势 +0.873%
Kelly +1.79%
增长率 +0.031%

假设最高赔率为 1.95

博彩公司预测分布
50.26%52.06%52.22%53.66%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.771.831.831.9556.50%54.76%54.79%51.28%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Baltimore Orioles (主队):47.84%;San Francisco Giants (客队):52.16%。 对于“San Francisco Giants (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.92。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为1.95,对应+1.70%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (58 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -5.75%E -2.92%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV +1.70%E +0.873%K +1.79%G +0.031%2.0%2026-04-11 21:00
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV -3.35%E -1.66%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV -0.384%E -0.201%K -0.422%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-11 23:05
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -0.384%E -0.201%K -0.422%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-11 23:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -8.62%E -4.51%K -9.47%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -1.43%E -0.755%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 20:54
GTbets🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.92%E -0.936%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.47%E -1.32%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-11 23:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.40%E -1.17%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.47%E -1.32%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-11 23:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.40%E -1.17%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.47%E -1.32%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-11 23:15
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -2.47%E -1.32%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-11 17:20
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -2.47%E -1.32%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-11 21:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -4.79%E -2.41%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -2.99%E -1.61%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 23:00
Bovada🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -6.22%E -3.18%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -2.99%E -1.61%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 22:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.51%E -1.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 21:19
DraftKings🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.27%E -2.66%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.51%E -1.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 21:14
Coolbet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.22%E -3.18%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.51%E -1.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 16:39
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.51%E -1.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 21:30
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.51%E -1.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 19:54
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.51%E -1.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 19:54
Dabble (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.51%E -1.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 21:50
Bet Right🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.27%E -2.66%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.03%E -2.19%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 21:49
FanDuel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.35%E -1.66%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 03:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 18:35
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 23:14
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 21:15
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 16:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 23:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 21:50
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 21:49
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 21:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.27%E -2.66%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.08%E -2.79%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 21:50
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.08%E -2.79%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 21:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -6.22%E -3.18%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.08%E -2.79%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%EV -0.483%E -0.232%K -0.447%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.47%EV -5.60%E -3.09%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 22:50
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.60%E -3.09%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 11:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -1.44%E -0.699%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -6.12%E -3.40%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 22:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -1.44%E -0.699%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -6.12%E -3.40%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 22:34
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.12%E -3.40%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 21:49
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.12%E -3.40%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 21:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.12%E -3.40%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 21:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.12%E -3.40%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 23:15
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.12%E -3.40%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 23:14
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.12%E -3.40%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 02:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.27%E -2.66%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.12%E -3.40%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 23:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -5.75%E -2.92%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.12%E -3.40%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 23:09
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.12%E -3.40%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 20:50
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -1.92%E -0.936%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.64%E -3.71%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 22:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -1.92%E -0.936%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.64%E -3.71%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 22:50
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -1.92%E -0.936%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.64%E -3.71%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 22:50
Grosvenor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -1.92%E -0.936%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.64%E -3.71%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 22:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -1.92%E -0.936%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.64%E -3.71%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 22:50
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -1.92%E -0.936%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.64%E -3.71%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 22:49
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -1.92%E -0.936%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.64%E -3.71%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 22:50
Bally Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -1.92%E -0.936%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.64%E -3.71%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 22:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.40%E -1.17%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -7.16%E -4.02%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 22:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.40%E -1.17%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -7.16%E -4.02%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 22:30
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.40%E -1.17%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -7.16%E -4.02%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 22:34
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.40%E -1.17%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -7.16%E -4.02%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 22:30
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.92%E -0.936%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.69%E -4.34%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 23:15
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly2.05I 48.78%NM 48.75%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.25%0.1%2026-04-11 23:10
ProphetX2.07I 48.31%NM 48.12%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.88%0.4%2026-04-11 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-04-11 23:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-04-11 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-04-11 23:15
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-04-11 23:15
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.78%1.7%2026-04-11 23:15
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%1.9%2026-04-11 23:10
Novig2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%2.4%2026-04-11 23:15
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.5%2026-04-11 23:15