Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Baltimore Orioles v San Francisco Giants

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 23:16 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Prévision 47.84%2.09cote équitable
EV -0.483%
Avantage -0.232%
Kelly -0.447%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.34%47.94%47.78%49.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.912.012.002.0852.36%49.84%50.00%48.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

San Francisco Giants (Visiteur)

Prévision 52.16%1.92cote équitable
EV +1.70%
Avantage +0.873%
Kelly +1.79%
Croissance +0.031%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.26%52.06%52.22%53.66%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.771.831.831.9556.50%54.76%54.79%51.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Baltimore Orioles (Local) : 47.84% ; San Francisco Giants (Visiteur) : 52.16%. Pour San Francisco Giants (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.92. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 1.95, soit une espérance positive de +1.70%.

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -5.75%E -2.92%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV +1.70%E +0.873%K +1.79%G +0.031%2.0%2026-04-11 21:00
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV -3.35%E -1.66%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV -0.384%E -0.201%K -0.422%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-11 23:05
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -0.384%E -0.201%K -0.422%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-11 23:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -8.62%E -4.51%K -9.47%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -1.43%E -0.755%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 20:54
GTbets🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.92%E -0.936%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.47%E -1.32%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-11 23:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.40%E -1.17%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.47%E -1.32%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-11 23:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.40%E -1.17%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.47%E -1.32%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-11 23:15
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -2.47%E -1.32%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-11 17:20
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -2.47%E -1.32%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-11 21:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -4.79%E -2.41%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -2.99%E -1.61%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 23:00
Bovada🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -6.22%E -3.18%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -2.99%E -1.61%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 22:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.51%E -1.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 21:19
DraftKings🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.27%E -2.66%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.51%E -1.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 21:14
Coolbet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.22%E -3.18%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.51%E -1.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 16:39
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.51%E -1.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 21:30
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.51%E -1.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 19:54
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.51%E -1.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 19:54
Dabble (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.51%E -1.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 21:50
Bet Right🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.27%E -2.66%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.03%E -2.19%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 21:49
FanDuel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.35%E -1.66%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 03:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 18:35
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 23:14
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 21:15
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 16:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 23:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 21:50
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 21:49
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 21:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.27%E -2.66%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.08%E -2.79%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 21:50
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.08%E -2.79%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 21:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -6.22%E -3.18%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.08%E -2.79%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%EV -0.483%E -0.232%K -0.447%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.47%EV -5.60%E -3.09%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 22:50
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.60%E -3.09%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 11:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -1.44%E -0.699%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -6.12%E -3.40%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 22:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -1.44%E -0.699%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -6.12%E -3.40%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 22:34
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.12%E -3.40%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 21:49
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.12%E -3.40%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 21:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.12%E -3.40%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 21:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.12%E -3.40%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 23:15
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.12%E -3.40%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 23:14
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.12%E -3.40%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 02:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.27%E -2.66%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.12%E -3.40%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 23:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -5.75%E -2.92%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.12%E -3.40%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 23:09
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.12%E -3.40%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 20:50
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -1.92%E -0.936%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.64%E -3.71%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 22:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -1.92%E -0.936%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.64%E -3.71%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 22:50
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -1.92%E -0.936%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.64%E -3.71%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 22:50
Grosvenor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -1.92%E -0.936%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.64%E -3.71%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 22:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -1.92%E -0.936%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.64%E -3.71%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 22:50
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -1.92%E -0.936%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.64%E -3.71%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 22:49
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -1.92%E -0.936%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.64%E -3.71%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 22:50
Bally Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -1.92%E -0.936%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.64%E -3.71%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 22:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.40%E -1.17%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -7.16%E -4.02%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 22:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.40%E -1.17%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -7.16%E -4.02%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 22:30
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.40%E -1.17%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -7.16%E -4.02%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 22:34
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.40%E -1.17%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -7.16%E -4.02%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 22:30
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.92%E -0.936%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.69%E -4.34%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 23:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.05I 48.78%NM 48.75%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.25%0.1%2026-04-11 23:10
ProphetX2.07I 48.31%NM 48.12%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.88%0.4%2026-04-11 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-04-11 23:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-04-11 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-04-11 23:15
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-04-11 23:15
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.78%1.7%2026-04-11 23:15
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%1.9%2026-04-11 23:10
Novig2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%2.4%2026-04-11 23:15
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.5%2026-04-11 23:15