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Baltimore Orioles v Philadelphia Phillies

2026-08-01 23:06 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Prediction 43.81%2.28fair odd
EV -0.542%
Edge -0.239%
Kelly -0.427%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.11%43.78%43.81%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.182.192.2748.78%45.89%45.66%44.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)

Prediction 56.19%1.78fair odd
EV -2.24%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -3.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.56%56.22%56.19%56.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.691.701.7461.73%59.04%58.82%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Baltimore Orioles (Local): 43.81%; Philadelphia Phillies (Visit): 56.19%. For Baltimore Orioles (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.28. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.27, with an expected value of -0.542%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -0.542%E -0.239%K -0.427%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -3.36%E -1.95%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-31 17:04
FanDuel2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -0.981%E -0.434%K -0.778%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -2.24%E -1.29%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.7%2026-07-31 16:54
GTbets2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.42%E -0.631%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.24%E -1.29%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-31 17:54
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.42%E -0.631%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.24%E -1.29%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-31 18:19
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.73%E -1.23%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.24%E -1.29%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-31 17:45
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.73%E -1.23%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.24%E -1.29%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-31 17:44
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.61%E -1.64%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.92%E -2.29%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-31 16:59
MyBookie.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.61%E -1.64%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.48%E -2.64%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 17:03
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.61%E -1.64%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.48%E -2.64%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 18:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.61%E -1.64%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.48%E -2.64%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 18:04
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.61%E -1.64%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.61%E -3.34%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 17:05
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.61%E -1.64%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.17%E -3.69%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 17:04
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.61%E -1.64%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.17%E -3.69%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 17:05
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.61%E -1.64%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.17%E -3.69%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 17:05
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.61%E -1.64%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.17%E -3.69%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 17:04
Caesars2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.49%E -2.06%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.92%E -2.29%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-31 18:53
Unibet (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.49%E -2.06%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.48%E -2.64%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 16:59
BetMGM2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.49%E -2.06%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.05%E -2.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 18:04
DraftKings2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -4.92%E -2.27%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.92%E -2.29%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 17:50
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.80%E -2.70%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.36%E -1.95%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 18:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.80%E -2.70%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.36%E -1.95%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 18:04
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.80%E -2.70%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.48%E -2.64%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 17:45
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.80%E -2.70%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.61%E -3.34%K -8.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 16:54
Betclic (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.80%E -2.70%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.61%E -3.34%K -8.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 16:59
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.80%E -2.70%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.61%E -3.34%K -8.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 16:59
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.80%E -2.70%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.17%E -3.69%K -9.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 16:55
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.80%E -2.70%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.17%E -3.69%K -9.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 16:58
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.99%E -3.81%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.29%E -4.42%K -11.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-31 16:58
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -10.18%E -4.97%K -9.70%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -8.98%E -5.54%K -14.48%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-31 17:00
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -10.18%E -4.97%K -9.70%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -8.98%E -5.54%K -14.48%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-31 17:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-07-31 18:45
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-07-31 16:55
Novig2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%4.9%2026-07-31 19:25
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 44.02%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%10.3%2026-07-31 17:00