Language:English
Baltimore Orioles v Philadelphia Phillies
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Baltimore Orioles (Local)
Prediction 42.55%2.35fair odd
EV -0.011%
Edge -0.005%
Kelly -0.008%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.81%42.54%42.54%44.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.252.252.3546.51%44.49%44.44%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)
Prediction 57.45%1.74fair odd
EV -1.18%
Edge -0.688%
Kelly -1.64%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.99%57.46%57.46%59.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.671.671.7262.50%59.95%59.88%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Baltimore Orioles (Local): 42.55%; Philadelphia Phillies (Visit): 57.45%. For Baltimore Orioles (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.3503. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.3500, with an expected value of -0.011%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -0.011%E -0.005%K -0.008%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.91%E -1.72%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-01 22:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -0.011%E -0.005%K -0.008%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -3.48%E -2.07%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-01 22:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.011%E -0.005%K -0.008%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.93%E -4.28%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-01 22:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -0.437%E -0.187%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -4.63%E -2.79%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-01 23:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -0.862%E -0.370%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.91%E -1.72%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-01 23:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -0.862%E -0.370%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.91%E -1.72%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-01 21:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -0.862%E -0.370%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -3.48%E -2.07%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-01 22:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -0.862%E -0.370%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -3.48%E -2.07%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-01 22:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.29%E -0.555%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.48%E -2.07%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-01 22:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.14%E -0.930%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-01 19:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.14%E -0.930%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-01 22:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.14%E -0.930%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.21%E -3.15%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-01 23:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.14%E -0.930%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.50%E -4.66%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 23:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.14%E -0.930%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.08%E -5.05%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-01 18:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.99%E -1.31%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.18%E -0.688%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-01 22:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.99%E -1.31%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.18%E -0.688%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-01 22:43 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -3.41%E -1.50%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-01 23:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%EV -3.41%E -1.50%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -5.21%E -3.15%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-01 19:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -3.84%E -1.70%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -5.21%E -3.15%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-01 22:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.33%E -1.37%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-01 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.33%E -1.37%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-01 23:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.33%E -1.37%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-01 19:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.33%E -1.37%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-01 23:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.33%E -1.37%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-01 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.33%E -1.37%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-01 19:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.33%E -1.37%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-01 23:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.91%E -1.72%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-01 14:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.48%E -2.07%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-01 19:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-01 20:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-01 20:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-01 20:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-01 22:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.21%E -3.15%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 18:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.21%E -3.15%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 18:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.21%E -3.15%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 18:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.21%E -3.15%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 22:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.78%E -3.52%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 22:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.78%E -3.52%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 22:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.35%E -3.90%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 22:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.69%E -2.09%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.21%E -3.15%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 22:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.12%E -2.29%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.48%E -2.07%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-01 23:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.12%E -2.29%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-01 23:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.12%E -2.29%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-01 23:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.12%E -2.29%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-01 23:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.12%E -2.29%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-01 22:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -5.54%E -2.50%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -2.33%E -1.37%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-01 23:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.54%E -2.50%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.63%E -2.79%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 19:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.54%E -2.50%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.63%E -2.79%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 19:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.97%E -2.70%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 22:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.39%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.33%E -1.37%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-01 22:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.39%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.48%E -2.07%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-01 22:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.39%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.48%E -2.07%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-01 20:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.39%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.48%E -2.07%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-01 20:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.39%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 06:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.39%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 19:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.39%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.93%E -4.28%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-01 22:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.39%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.93%E -4.28%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-01 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -7.24%E -3.32%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.21%E -3.15%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-01 23:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -7.24%E -3.32%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -7.50%E -4.66%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-01 22:38 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.52%E -3.96%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.91%E -1.72%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 23:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.52%E -3.96%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.48%E -2.07%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-01 23:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -8.52%E -3.96%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -4.63%E -2.79%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-01 23:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.52%E -3.96%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.21%E -3.15%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 23:03 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.52%E -3.96%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.21%E -3.15%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 23:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.39I 41.84%NM 41.71% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.29% | 0.3% | 2026-08-01 22:59 |
| Novig◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-01 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 0.5% | 2026-08-01 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 0.5% | 2026-08-01 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 0.5% | 2026-08-01 23:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-08-01 14:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 1.2% | 2026-08-01 23:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13% | 1.2% | 2026-08-01 23:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13% | 1.2% | 2026-08-01 23:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86% | 2.3% | 2026-08-01 23:00 |
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