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預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)
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Baltimore Orioles v Philadelphia Phillies

2026-08-01 23:06 UTC — MLB

獨贏

31 家博彩公司 (11 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率：四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Baltimore Orioles (主隊)

預測 43.79%2.28公平賠率
EV -0.589%
優勢 -0.260%
Kelly -0.464%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.27

博彩公司預測分布
43.11%43.76%43.81%44.44%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.052.182.202.2748.78%45.86%45.45%44.05%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Philadelphia Phillies (客隊)

預測 56.21%1.78公平賠率
EV -2.20%
優勢 -1.26%
Kelly -2.97%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.74

博彩公司預測分布
55.56%56.24%56.19%56.89%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.621.691.701.7461.73%59.06%58.82%57.47%最小值平均值中位數最大值

對於獨贏，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)估計各選項的機率為：Baltimore Orioles (主隊)：43.79%；Philadelphia Phillies (客隊)：56.21%。 對於「Baltimore Orioles (主隊)」，該估計相當於2.28的公平十進位賠率。 沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的賠率：目前最佳賠率為2.27，期望值為-0.589%，未產生正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (31 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊利潤率更新時間
1xBet2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -0.589%E -0.260%K -0.464%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -3.32%E -1.93%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-31 17:04
FanDuel2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -1.03%E -0.454%K -0.815%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -2.20%E -1.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.7%2026-07-31 16:54
GTbets2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.47%E -0.651%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.20%E -1.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-31 17:54
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.47%E -0.651%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.20%E -1.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-31 18:19
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.78%E -1.25%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.20%E -1.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-31 17:45
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.78%E -1.25%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.20%E -1.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-31 17:44
Bovada2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -3.22%E -1.46%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -5.01%E -2.96%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-31 20:14
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.65%E -1.66%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.89%E -2.27%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-31 16:59
MyBookie.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.65%E -1.66%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.45%E -2.62%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 17:03
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.65%E -1.66%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.45%E -2.62%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 18:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.65%E -1.66%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.45%E -2.62%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 18:04
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.65%E -1.66%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.57%E -3.32%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 17:05
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.65%E -1.66%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 17:04
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.65%E -1.66%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 17:05
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.65%E -1.66%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 17:05
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.65%E -1.66%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 17:04
Caesars2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.53%E -2.08%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.89%E -2.27%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-31 18:53
Unibet (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.53%E -2.08%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.45%E -2.62%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 16:59
DraftKings2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.53%E -2.08%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.45%E -2.62%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 19:40
BetMGM2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.53%E -2.08%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.01%E -2.96%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 18:04
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.84%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.32%E -1.93%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 18:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.84%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.32%E -1.93%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 18:04
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.84%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.45%E -2.62%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 17:45
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.84%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.57%E -3.32%K -8.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 16:54
Betclic (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.84%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.57%E -3.32%K -8.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 16:59
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.84%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.57%E -3.32%K -8.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 16:59
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.84%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 16:55
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.84%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 16:58
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.03%E -3.83%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.26%E -4.40%K -11.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-31 16:58
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -10.22%E -4.99%K -9.74%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -8.95%E -5.52%K -14.43%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-31 17:00
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -10.22%E -4.99%K -9.74%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -8.95%E -5.52%K -14.43%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-31 17:00
利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-07-31 18:45
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-07-31 16:55
Novig2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%6.6%2026-07-31 20:14
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 44.02%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%10.3%2026-07-31 17:00