Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Baltimore Orioles v Philadelphia Phillies

Inizio: 2026-08-01 23:06 UTC

Finale: Baltimore Orioles 0–5 Philadelphia Phillies

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

64 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Baltimore Orioles (Casa)

Previsione 42.55%2.35quota equa
EV -0.011%
Vantaggio -0.005%
Kelly -0.008%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.81%42.54%42.54%44.01%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.252.252.3546.51%44.49%44.44%42.55%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Philadelphia Phillies (Trasferta)

Previsione 57.45%1.74quota equa
EV -1.18%
Vantaggio -0.688%
Kelly -1.64%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.72

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.99%57.46%57.46%59.19%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.601.671.671.7262.50%59.95%59.88%58.14%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Baltimore Orioles (Casa): 42.55%; Philadelphia Phillies (Trasferta): 57.45%. Per Baltimore Orioles (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.3503. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.3500, con un valore atteso del -0.011%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -0.011%E -0.005%K -0.008%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.91%E -1.72%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-01 22:59
GTbets🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -0.011%E -0.005%K -0.008%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -3.48%E -2.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-01 22:50
Caesars🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.011%E -0.005%K -0.008%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.93%E -4.28%K -11.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 22:59
BetAnything🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -0.437%E -0.187%K -0.326%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -4.63%E -2.79%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-01 23:04
Pinnacle🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -0.862%E -0.370%K -0.648%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.91%E -1.72%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-01 23:05
Everygame🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -0.862%E -0.370%K -0.648%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.91%E -1.72%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-01 21:39
LowVig.ag🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -0.862%E -0.370%K -0.648%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -3.48%E -2.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-01 22:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -0.862%E -0.370%K -0.648%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -3.48%E -2.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-01 22:50
BetUS🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.29%E -0.555%K -0.975%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.48%E -2.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-01 22:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.14%E -0.930%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-01 19:00
ReBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.14%E -0.930%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-01 22:35
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.14%E -0.930%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.21%E -3.15%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 23:00
Fliff🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.14%E -0.930%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.50%E -4.66%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 23:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.14%E -0.930%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.08%E -5.05%K -13.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 18:19
FanDuel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.99%E -1.31%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.18%E -0.688%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-01 22:55
1xBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.99%E -1.31%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.18%E -0.688%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-01 22:43
MyBookie.ag🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -3.41%E -1.50%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-01 23:05
DraftKings🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%EV -3.41%E -1.50%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -5.21%E -3.15%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 19:39
Bet Right🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -3.84%E -1.70%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -5.21%E -3.15%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-01 22:20
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.33%E -1.37%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-01 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.33%E -1.37%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-01 23:05
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.33%E -1.37%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-01 19:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.33%E -1.37%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-01 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.33%E -1.37%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-01 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.33%E -1.37%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-01 19:49
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.33%E -1.37%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-01 23:05
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.91%E -1.72%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-01 14:59
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.48%E -2.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 19:39
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 20:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 20:45
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 20:45
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 22:49
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.21%E -3.15%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 18:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.21%E -3.15%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 18:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.21%E -3.15%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 18:15
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.21%E -3.15%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 22:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.78%E -3.52%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 22:20
Dabble (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.78%E -3.52%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 22:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.35%E -3.90%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 22:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.69%E -2.09%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.21%E -3.15%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 22:59
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.12%E -2.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.48%E -2.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.12%E -2.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 23:05
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.12%E -2.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 23:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.12%E -2.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 23:05
Bally Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.12%E -2.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 22:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -5.54%E -2.50%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -2.33%E -1.37%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-01 23:04
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.54%E -2.50%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.63%E -2.79%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 19:39
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.54%E -2.50%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.63%E -2.79%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 19:39
SportsBet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.97%E -2.70%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 22:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.39%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.33%E -1.37%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 22:50
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.39%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.48%E -2.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 22:49
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.39%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.48%E -2.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 20:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.39%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.48%E -2.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 20:44
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.39%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 06:29
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.39%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 19:50
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.39%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.93%E -4.28%K -11.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 22:49
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.39%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.93%E -4.28%K -11.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -7.24%E -3.32%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.21%E -3.15%K -8.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-01 23:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -7.24%E -3.32%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -7.50%E -4.66%K -12.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 22:38
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.52%E -3.96%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.91%E -1.72%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 23:04
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.52%E -3.96%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.48%E -2.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -8.52%E -3.96%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -4.63%E -2.79%K -7.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 23:05
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.52%E -3.96%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.21%E -3.15%K -8.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 23:03
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.52%E -3.96%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.21%E -3.15%K -8.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 23:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly◎2.39I 41.84%NM 41.71%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.29%0.3%2026-08-01 22:59
Novig◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-08-01 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-08-01 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-08-01 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-08-01 23:00
Polymarket◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-08-01 14:15
Kalshi◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-08-01 23:00
Matchbook◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%1.2%2026-08-01 23:05
ProphetX◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%1.2%2026-08-01 23:05
Smarkets◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%2.3%2026-08-01 23:00