Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Baltimore Orioles v Los Angeles Angels

2026-08-05 22:36 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Prediction 56.13%1.78fair odd
EV -0.658%
Edge -0.372%
Kelly -0.855%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.31%56.05%56.14%56.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.711.701.7760.98%58.58%58.82%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Angels (Visit)

Prediction 43.87%2.28fair odd
EV -1.28%
Edge -0.570%
Kelly -1.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%43.95%43.86%45.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.172.162.2548.78%46.08%46.30%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Baltimore Orioles (Local): 56.13%; Los Angeles Angels (Visit): 43.87%. For Baltimore Orioles (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.78. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.77, with an expected value of -0.658%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -0.658%E -0.372%K -0.855%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-04 21:45
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.78%E -1.02%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.60%E -1.17%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-04 22:45
Dabble (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -1.78%E -1.02%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.74%E -4.20%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 01:44
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.34%E -1.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.28%E -0.570%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-04 19:14
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.34%E -1.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.28%E -0.570%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-04 20:09
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.34%E -1.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.60%E -1.17%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-04 19:14
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.34%E -1.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.60%E -1.17%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-04 19:14
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.34%E -1.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.60%E -1.17%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-04 22:54
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.34%E -1.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.60%E -1.17%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-04 23:40
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.34%E -1.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -5.23%E -2.42%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-04 18:25
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.46%E -2.01%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 19:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.46%E -2.01%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 19:10
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.46%E -2.01%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 21:40
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.46%E -2.01%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.86%E -3.74%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 18:24
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.03%E -2.35%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 19:15
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.03%E -2.35%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 21:14
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.03%E -2.35%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 22:55
MyBookie.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -4.03%E -2.35%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -3.91%E -1.79%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 01:25
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.03%E -2.35%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 18:29
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.03%E -2.35%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 18:30
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.03%E -2.35%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 19:10
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 19:09
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 01:24
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.35%E -2.00%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 20:10
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.35%E -2.00%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 20:14
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.35%E -2.00%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 21:15
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:10
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:30
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:09
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 00:30
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 18:24
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.35%E -2.00%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 19:10
NordicBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.23%E -2.42%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 20:10
Betsson1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.23%E -2.42%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 20:10
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 22:39
Betclic (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -6.11%E -2.85%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 20:10
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:24
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 18:24
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:07
betano_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:09
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -7.39%E -4.48%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -10.06%E -4.91%K -9.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-04 22:39
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -7.95%E -4.85%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.44%EV -10.06%E -4.91%K -9.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-04 23:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%0.0%2026-08-04 23:49
ProphetX1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-08-05 01:35
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81%0.6%2026-08-05 01:35
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-04 18:25
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-08-05 01:40
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%2.9%2026-08-05 01:40
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%9.1%2026-08-05 01:30