Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Baltimore Orioles v Los Angeles Angels

Kickoff: 2026-08-05 22:36 UTC

Final: Baltimore Orioles 5–2 Los Angeles Angels

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Prediction 56.16%1.78fair odd
EV +1.09%
Edge +0.606%
Kelly +1.36%
Growth +0.015%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%55.86%56.14%57.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.721.711.8060.61%58.29%58.48%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Angels (Visit)

Prediction 43.84%2.28fair odd
EV +0.830%
Edge +0.361%
Kelly +0.638%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.64%44.14%43.86%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.162.152.3050.00%46.37%46.51%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Baltimore Orioles (Local): 56.16%; Los Angeles Angels (Visit): 43.84%. For Baltimore Orioles (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.78. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.09%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV +1.09%E +0.606%K +1.36%G +0.015%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -10.13%E -4.94%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 22:35
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +1.09%E +0.606%K +1.36%G +0.015%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -12.32%E -6.16%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 22:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -0.033%E -0.019%K -0.043%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -12.32%E -6.16%K -12.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 22:35
FanDuel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -1.16%E -0.657%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -2.68%E -1.21%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-05 22:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -1.16%E -0.657%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 22:35
Bally Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -1.16%E -0.657%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 22:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -1.16%E -0.657%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 22:35
betPARX🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -1.16%E -0.657%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 22:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -1.16%E -0.657%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 22:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -1.16%E -0.657%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -12.32%E -6.16%K -12.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 22:35
DraftKings🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%EV -1.72%E -0.982%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%EV -0.924%E -0.409%K -0.733%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-05 21:05
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -1.72%E -0.982%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -1.80%E -0.804%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-05 22:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.72%E -0.982%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 20:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.28%E -1.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.36%E -0.606%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-05 21:10
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -2.28%E -1.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -1.80%E -0.804%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-05 21:10
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.95%EV -2.28%E -1.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.05%EV -3.12%E -1.41%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-05 21:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.28%E -1.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -6.18%E -2.89%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 22:25
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.28%E -1.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -6.18%E -2.89%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 22:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.28%E -1.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -6.18%E -2.89%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 22:25
BetUS🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.84%E -1.64%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -1.80%E -0.804%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-05 21:55
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.84%E -1.64%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.18%E -2.89%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 22:25
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.84%E -1.64%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.18%E -2.89%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 22:25
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.84%E -1.64%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 19:35
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.40%E -1.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 22:25
TABtouch🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.40%E -1.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.06%E -3.33%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 22:24
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.40%E -1.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 22:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -3.40%E -1.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -9.25%E -4.47%K -8.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 22:35
GTbets🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -3.96%E -2.32%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +0.830%E +0.361%K +0.638%G +0.005%2.0%2026-08-05 22:25
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -3.96%E -2.32%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +0.830%E +0.361%K +0.638%G +0.005%2.0%2026-08-05 22:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.96%E -2.32%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -0.486%E -0.214%K -0.382%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-05 22:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.96%E -2.32%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -0.486%E -0.214%K -0.382%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-05 22:25
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -3.96%E -2.32%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -1.36%E -0.606%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-05 22:00
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.96%E -2.32%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.55%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-05 21:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -3.96%E -2.32%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -3.99%E -1.82%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 22:29
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.96%E -2.32%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 22:30
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.96%E -2.32%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 22:30
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.96%E -2.32%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 21:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.96%E -2.32%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 21:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.96%E -2.32%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 21:10
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.55%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 21:25
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.55%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 21:05
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 22:30
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.87%E -2.24%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 22:29
SportsBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 22:30
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 21:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 21:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 22:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 21:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.36%E -0.606%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-05 22:00
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.55%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 21:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -4.87%E -2.24%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 21:05
NordicBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.31%E -2.46%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 21:35
Betsson🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.31%E -2.46%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 21:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 22:20
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -11.45%E -5.67%K -11.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-05 22:35
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -6.21%E -3.72%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 22:35
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.21%E -3.72%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 21:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.21%E -3.72%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 22:35
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.21%E -3.72%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 21:13
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -6.21%E -3.72%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -7.06%E -3.33%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 22:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -6.77%E -4.08%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.27%EV -8.38%E -4.01%K -7.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-05 22:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.33%E -4.44%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.55%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 21:10
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.33%E -4.44%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 22:24
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.33%E -4.44%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 22:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-08-05 22:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-08-05 22:35
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-08-05 22:30
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-08-05 22:25
ProphetX1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-08-05 22:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-08-05 22:30
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-05 21:15
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-08-05 22:35
BetOpenly1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%2.3%2026-08-05 22:15
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%2.4%2026-08-05 22:35