Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Baltimore Orioles v Los Angeles Angels

Início: 2026-08-05 22:36 UTC

Final: Baltimore Orioles 5–2 Los Angeles Angels

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Previsão 56.16%1.78odd justa
EV +1.09%
Vantagem +0.606%
Kelly +1.36%
Crescimento +0.015%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.63%55.86%56.14%57.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.651.721.711.8060.61%58.29%58.48%55.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Los Angeles Angels (Visitante)

Previsão 43.84%2.28odd justa
EV +0.830%
Vantagem +0.361%
Kelly +0.638%
Crescimento +0.005%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.64%44.14%43.86%47.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.162.152.3050.00%46.37%46.51%43.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Baltimore Orioles (Local): 56.16%; Los Angeles Angels (Visitante): 43.84%. Para Baltimore Orioles (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.78. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.80, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.09%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV +1.09%E +0.606%K +1.36%G +0.015%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -10.13%E -4.94%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 22:35
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +1.09%E +0.606%K +1.36%G +0.015%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -12.32%E -6.16%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 22:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -0.033%E -0.019%K -0.043%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -12.32%E -6.16%K -12.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 22:35
FanDuel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -1.16%E -0.657%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -2.68%E -1.21%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-05 22:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -1.16%E -0.657%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 22:35
Bally Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -1.16%E -0.657%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 22:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -1.16%E -0.657%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 22:35
betPARX🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -1.16%E -0.657%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 22:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -1.16%E -0.657%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 22:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -1.16%E -0.657%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -12.32%E -6.16%K -12.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 22:35
DraftKings🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%EV -1.72%E -0.982%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%EV -0.924%E -0.409%K -0.733%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-05 21:05
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -1.72%E -0.982%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -1.80%E -0.804%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-05 22:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.72%E -0.982%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 20:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.28%E -1.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.36%E -0.606%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-05 21:10
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -2.28%E -1.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -1.80%E -0.804%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-05 21:10
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.95%EV -2.28%E -1.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.05%EV -3.12%E -1.41%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-05 21:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.28%E -1.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -6.18%E -2.89%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 22:25
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.28%E -1.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -6.18%E -2.89%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 22:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.28%E -1.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -6.18%E -2.89%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 22:25
BetUS🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.84%E -1.64%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -1.80%E -0.804%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-05 21:55
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.84%E -1.64%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.18%E -2.89%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 22:25
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.84%E -1.64%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.18%E -2.89%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 22:25
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.84%E -1.64%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 19:35
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.40%E -1.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 22:25
TABtouch🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.40%E -1.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.06%E -3.33%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 22:24
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.40%E -1.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 22:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -3.40%E -1.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -9.25%E -4.47%K -8.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 22:35
GTbets🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -3.96%E -2.32%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +0.830%E +0.361%K +0.638%G +0.005%2.0%2026-08-05 22:25
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -3.96%E -2.32%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +0.830%E +0.361%K +0.638%G +0.005%2.0%2026-08-05 22:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.96%E -2.32%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -0.486%E -0.214%K -0.382%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-05 22:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.96%E -2.32%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -0.486%E -0.214%K -0.382%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-05 22:25
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -3.96%E -2.32%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -1.36%E -0.606%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-05 22:00
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.96%E -2.32%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.55%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-05 21:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -3.96%E -2.32%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -3.99%E -1.82%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 22:29
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.96%E -2.32%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 22:30
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.96%E -2.32%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 22:30
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.96%E -2.32%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 21:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.96%E -2.32%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 21:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.96%E -2.32%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 21:10
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.55%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 21:25
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.55%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 21:05
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 22:30
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.87%E -2.24%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 22:29
SportsBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 22:30
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 21:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 21:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 22:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 21:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.36%E -0.606%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-05 22:00
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.55%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 21:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -4.87%E -2.24%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 21:05
NordicBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.31%E -2.46%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 21:35
Betsson🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.31%E -2.46%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 21:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 22:20
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -11.45%E -5.67%K -11.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-05 22:35
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -6.21%E -3.72%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 22:35
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.21%E -3.72%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 21:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.21%E -3.72%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 22:35
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.21%E -3.72%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 21:13
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -6.21%E -3.72%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -7.06%E -3.33%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 22:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -6.77%E -4.08%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.27%EV -8.38%E -4.01%K -7.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-05 22:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.33%E -4.44%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.55%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 21:10
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.33%E -4.44%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 22:24
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.33%E -4.44%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 22:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-08-05 22:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-08-05 22:35
Novig◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-08-05 22:30
Matchbook◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-08-05 22:25
ProphetX◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-08-05 22:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-08-05 22:30
Polymarket◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-05 21:15
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-08-05 22:35
BetOpenly◎1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%2.3%2026-08-05 22:15
Smarkets◎1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%2.4%2026-08-05 22:35