Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Baltimore Orioles v Los Angeles Angels

Kickoff: 2026-08-06 16:36 UTC

Final: Baltimore Orioles 1–4 Los Angeles Angels

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Prediction 63.19%1.58fair odd
EV -1.42%
Edge -0.908%
Kelly -2.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.25%63.31%63.22%65.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.511.511.5671.43%66.17%66.23%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Angels (Visit)

Prediction 36.81%2.72fair odd
EV -0.626%
Edge -0.232%
Kelly -0.368%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.15%36.69%36.78%38.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.592.602.7040.82%38.63%38.46%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Baltimore Orioles (Local): 63.19%; Los Angeles Angels (Visit): 36.81%. For Los Angeles Angels (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.72. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.70, with an expected value of -0.626%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%EV -1.42%E -0.908%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%EV -0.626%E -0.232%K -0.368%G +0.000%1.1%2026-08-06 16:04
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03%EV -1.42%E -0.908%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97%EV -2.10%E -0.789%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-06 15:55
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.95%EV -1.42%E -0.908%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 37.05%EV -2.47%E -0.931%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-06 16:24
DraftKings🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.44%EV -2.05%E -1.32%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.56%EV -0.994%E -0.369%K -0.588%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-06 15:34
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%EV -2.05%E -1.32%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%EV -1.73%E -0.648%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-06 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.05%E -1.32%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.83%E -4.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 16:25
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.05%E -1.32%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.83%E -4.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 16:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV -2.68%E -1.74%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV -1.73%E -0.648%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-06 16:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV -2.68%E -1.74%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV -1.73%E -0.648%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-06 16:30
GTbets🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -2.68%E -1.74%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -2.47%E -0.931%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-06 16:30
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -2.68%E -1.74%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -3.20%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-06 16:34
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -2.68%E -1.74%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -3.57%E -1.36%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-06 16:35
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.31%E -2.16%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -0.626%E -0.232%K -0.368%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-06 16:25
BetAnything🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.31%E -2.16%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.47%E -0.931%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-06 16:34
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -3.31%E -2.16%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -3.20%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-06 15:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -3.31%E -2.16%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -3.20%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-06 15:45
ReBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.31%E -2.16%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-06 16:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.31%E -2.16%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-06 16:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.31%E -2.16%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-06 15:55
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.31%E -2.16%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 16:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.31%E -2.16%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.99%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 16:25
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.31%E -2.16%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.99%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 16:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.94%E -2.59%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -2.47%E -0.931%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-06 16:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.20%EV -3.94%E -2.59%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.80%EV -3.94%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 16:24
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.94%E -2.59%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 16:34
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.94%E -2.59%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 16:25
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.58%E -3.03%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 16:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.58%E -3.03%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 15:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.58%E -3.03%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 15:10
Fanatics🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.58%E -3.03%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 16:00
NordicBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.58%E -3.03%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.41%E -2.11%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 16:34
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.58%E -3.03%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.41%E -2.11%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 16:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.58%E -3.03%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 16:25
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -2.83%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 16:34
Fliff🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 16:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 16:35
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 13:45
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 14:50
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 15:45
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 15:45
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 15:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 15:44
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 15:45
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 15:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 15:44
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 08:34
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -4.67%E -1.80%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 15:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -4.67%E -1.80%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 16:34
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 16:00
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 16:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 16:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 16:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 16:00
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.99%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 15:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.99%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 16:30
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.99%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 16:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.84%E -3.92%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 16:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.84%E -3.92%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 15:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.84%E -3.92%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 15:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -6.47%E -4.37%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -8.72%E -3.52%K -5.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-06 16:10
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.37%E -5.77%K -18.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-06 16:24
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.37%E -5.77%K -18.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-06 16:25
Grosvenor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -9.00%E -6.25%K -20.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.99%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-06 15:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -11.53%E -8.23%K -28.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -0.626%E -0.232%K -0.368%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-06 16:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-08-06 16:35
Polymarket1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-08-06 16:35
BetOpenly1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-08-06 16:10
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.70%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.30%1.3%2026-08-06 16:35
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98%1.4%2026-08-06 16:35
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.8%2026-08-06 16:20
ProphetX1.55I 64.52%NM 63.36%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64%1.8%2026-08-06 16:35