Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Baltimore Orioles v Los Angeles Angels

2026-08-06 16:36 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Predicción 59.75%1.67momio equitativo
EV -1.41%
Ventaja -0.857%
Kelly -2.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.67%59.81%59.65%60.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.531.591.581.6565.36%62.96%63.29%60.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Los Angeles Angels (Visitante)

Predicción 40.25%2.48momio equitativo
EV +0.626%
Ventaja +0.251%
Kelly +0.418%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.17%40.19%40.35%41.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.392.402.5044.44%41.91%41.67%40.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Baltimore Orioles (Local): 59.75%; Los Angeles Angels (Visitante): 40.25%. Para Los Angeles Angels (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.48. 4 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.50, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.626%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -3.21%E -1.98%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV +0.626%E +0.251%K +0.418%G +0.003%1.7%2026-08-05 22:50
GTbets🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV +0.626%E +0.251%K +0.418%G +0.003%2.1%2026-08-06 00:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV +0.224%E +0.090%K +0.150%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-06 00:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV +0.224%E +0.090%K +0.150%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-06 00:29
Caesars🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 60.10%EV -2.01%E -1.23%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.90%EV -0.581%E -0.235%K -0.395%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-06 00:24
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -0.984%E -0.400%K -0.674%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-06 00:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.19%E -0.902%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 23:15
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.19%E -0.902%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 23:15
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.19%E -0.902%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 23:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.19%E -0.902%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 23:15
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.19%E -0.902%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 23:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.19%E -0.902%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 23:15
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.19%E -0.902%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 23:14
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.19%E -0.902%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 23:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.19%E -0.902%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 23:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.19%E -0.902%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 23:15
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -1.41%E -0.857%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -3.00%E -1.24%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-06 01:05
BetAnything🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.21%E -1.98%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-06 01:30
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.21%E -1.98%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-06 01:30
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-05 20:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-06 01:15
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-06 01:15
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.00%E -3.14%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 00:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.00%E -3.14%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 19:50
BetMGM🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.00%E -3.14%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 01:15
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.60%E -3.54%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 21:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 21:30
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 21:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 21:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 21:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -3.80%E -1.59%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-06 00:59
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.05%EV -5.00%E -3.14%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -3.80%E -1.59%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 00:30
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.20%E -1.77%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 23:30
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.20%E -1.77%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 19:50
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.20%E -1.77%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 21:35
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.20%E -1.77%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 23:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.21%E -1.98%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.41%E -2.30%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 01:15
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.21%E -1.98%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.41%E -2.30%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 01:15
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.41%E -2.30%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 00:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.41%E -2.30%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:30
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.41%E -2.30%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:10
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.00%E -3.14%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.41%E -2.30%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 00:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.60%E -3.54%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.41%E -2.30%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 00:20
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.41%E -2.30%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 23:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.79%E -4.35%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.41%E -2.30%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 23:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.79%E -4.35%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.41%E -2.30%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 23:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -5.81%E -2.48%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 00:55
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.22%E -2.67%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 00:44
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.22%E -2.67%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 00:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.59%EV -5.60%E -3.54%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.41%EV -6.22%E -2.67%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 00:29
Dabble (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.21%E -1.98%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.42%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 01:25
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.42%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-06 00:29
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.42%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-06 00:29
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.42%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-06 00:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.79%E -4.35%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.42%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 00:30
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.58%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.42%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-05 23:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -6.79%E -4.35%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -9.44%E -4.19%K -7.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-06 00:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-08-05 20:15
Novig1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-08-06 00:25
ProphetX1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%1.3%2026-08-06 01:30
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-08-06 00:35
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 59.15%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.85%3.7%2026-08-06 00:55
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.05%8.7%2026-08-06 01:35