Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Baltimore Orioles v Los Angeles Angels

2026-08-06 16:36 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Prévision 59.75%1.67cote équitable
EV -1.41%
Avantage -0.857%
Kelly -2.17%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.67%59.81%59.65%60.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.531.591.581.6565.36%62.96%63.29%60.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Los Angeles Angels (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.25%2.48cote équitable
EV +0.626%
Avantage +0.251%
Kelly +0.418%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.17%40.19%40.35%41.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.392.402.5044.44%41.91%41.67%40.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Baltimore Orioles (Local) : 59.75% ; Los Angeles Angels (Visiteur) : 40.25%. Pour Los Angeles Angels (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.48. 4 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 2.50, pour une espérance positive de +0.626%.

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -3.21%E -1.98%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV +0.626%E +0.251%K +0.418%G +0.003%1.7%2026-08-05 22:50
GTbets🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV +0.626%E +0.251%K +0.418%G +0.003%2.1%2026-08-06 00:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV +0.224%E +0.090%K +0.150%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-06 00:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV +0.224%E +0.090%K +0.150%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-06 00:29
Caesars🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 60.10%EV -2.01%E -1.23%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.90%EV -0.581%E -0.235%K -0.395%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-06 00:24
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -0.984%E -0.400%K -0.674%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-06 00:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.19%E -0.902%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 23:15
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.19%E -0.902%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 23:15
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.19%E -0.902%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 23:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.19%E -0.902%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 23:15
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.19%E -0.902%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 23:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.19%E -0.902%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 23:15
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.19%E -0.902%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 23:14
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.19%E -0.902%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 23:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.19%E -0.902%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 23:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.19%E -0.902%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 23:15
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -1.41%E -0.857%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -3.00%E -1.24%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-06 01:05
BetAnything🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.21%E -1.98%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-06 01:30
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.21%E -1.98%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-06 01:30
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-05 20:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-06 01:15
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-06 01:15
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.00%E -3.14%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 00:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.00%E -3.14%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 19:50
BetMGM🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.00%E -3.14%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 01:15
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.60%E -3.54%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 21:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 21:30
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 21:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 21:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 21:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -3.80%E -1.59%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-06 00:59
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.05%EV -5.00%E -3.14%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -3.80%E -1.59%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 00:30
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.20%E -1.77%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 23:30
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.20%E -1.77%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 19:50
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.20%E -1.77%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 21:35
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.20%E -1.77%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 23:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.21%E -1.98%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.41%E -2.30%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 01:15
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.21%E -1.98%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.41%E -2.30%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 01:15
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.41%E -2.30%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 00:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.41%E -2.30%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:30
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.41%E -2.30%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:10
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.00%E -3.14%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.41%E -2.30%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 00:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.60%E -3.54%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.41%E -2.30%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 00:20
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.41%E -2.30%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 23:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.79%E -4.35%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.41%E -2.30%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 23:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.79%E -4.35%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.41%E -2.30%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 23:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -5.81%E -2.48%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 00:55
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.22%E -2.67%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 00:44
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.22%E -2.67%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 00:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.59%EV -5.60%E -3.54%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.41%EV -6.22%E -2.67%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 00:29
Dabble (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.21%E -1.98%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.42%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 01:25
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.42%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-06 00:29
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.42%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-06 00:29
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.42%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-06 00:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.79%E -4.35%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.42%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 00:30
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.58%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.42%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-05 23:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -6.79%E -4.35%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -9.44%E -4.19%K -7.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-06 00:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-08-05 20:15
Novig1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-08-06 00:25
ProphetX1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%1.3%2026-08-06 01:30
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-08-06 00:35
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 59.15%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.85%3.7%2026-08-06 00:55
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.05%8.7%2026-08-06 01:35