Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Baltimore Orioles v Los Angeles Angels

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-06 16:36 UTC

Score final : Baltimore Orioles 1–4 Los Angeles Angels

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Prévision 63.19%1.58cote équitable
EV -1.42%
Avantage -0.908%
Kelly -2.53%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.25%63.31%63.22%65.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.401.511.511.5671.43%66.17%66.23%64.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Los Angeles Angels (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.81%2.72cote équitable
EV -0.626%
Avantage -0.232%
Kelly -0.368%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.15%36.69%36.78%38.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.452.592.602.7040.82%38.63%38.46%37.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Baltimore Orioles (Local) : 63.19% ; Los Angeles Angels (Visiteur) : 36.81%. Pour Los Angeles Angels (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.72. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.70, pour une espérance de -0.626% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%EV -1.42%E -0.908%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%EV -0.626%E -0.232%K -0.368%G +0.000%1.1%2026-08-06 16:04
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03%EV -1.42%E -0.908%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97%EV -2.10%E -0.789%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-06 15:55
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.95%EV -1.42%E -0.908%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 37.05%EV -2.47%E -0.931%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-06 16:24
DraftKings🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.44%EV -2.05%E -1.32%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.56%EV -0.994%E -0.369%K -0.588%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-06 15:34
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%EV -2.05%E -1.32%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%EV -1.73%E -0.648%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-06 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.05%E -1.32%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.83%E -4.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 16:25
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.05%E -1.32%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.83%E -4.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 16:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV -2.68%E -1.74%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV -1.73%E -0.648%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-06 16:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV -2.68%E -1.74%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV -1.73%E -0.648%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-06 16:30
GTbets🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -2.68%E -1.74%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -2.47%E -0.931%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-06 16:30
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -2.68%E -1.74%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -3.20%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-06 16:34
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -2.68%E -1.74%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -3.57%E -1.36%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-06 16:35
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.31%E -2.16%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -0.626%E -0.232%K -0.368%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-06 16:25
BetAnything🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.31%E -2.16%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.47%E -0.931%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-06 16:34
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -3.31%E -2.16%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -3.20%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-06 15:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -3.31%E -2.16%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -3.20%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-06 15:45
ReBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.31%E -2.16%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-06 16:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.31%E -2.16%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-06 16:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.31%E -2.16%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-06 15:55
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.31%E -2.16%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 16:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.31%E -2.16%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.99%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 16:25
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.31%E -2.16%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.99%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 16:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.94%E -2.59%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -2.47%E -0.931%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-06 16:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.20%EV -3.94%E -2.59%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.80%EV -3.94%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 16:24
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.94%E -2.59%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 16:34
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.94%E -2.59%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 16:25
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.58%E -3.03%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 16:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.58%E -3.03%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 15:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.58%E -3.03%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 15:10
Fanatics🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.58%E -3.03%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 16:00
NordicBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.58%E -3.03%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.41%E -2.11%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 16:34
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.58%E -3.03%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.41%E -2.11%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 16:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.58%E -3.03%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 16:25
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -2.83%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 16:34
Fliff🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 16:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 16:35
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 13:45
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 14:50
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 15:45
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 15:45
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 15:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 15:44
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 15:45
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 15:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 15:44
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 08:34
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -4.67%E -1.80%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 15:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -4.67%E -1.80%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 16:34
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 16:00
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 16:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 16:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 16:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 16:00
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.99%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 15:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.99%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 16:30
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.99%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 16:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.84%E -3.92%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 16:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.84%E -3.92%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 15:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.84%E -3.92%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 15:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -6.47%E -4.37%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -8.72%E -3.52%K -5.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-06 16:10
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.37%E -5.77%K -18.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-06 16:24
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.37%E -5.77%K -18.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-06 16:25
Grosvenor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -9.00%E -6.25%K -20.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.99%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-06 15:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -11.53%E -8.23%K -28.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -0.626%E -0.232%K -0.368%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-06 16:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-08-06 16:35
Polymarket◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-08-06 16:35
BetOpenly◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-08-06 16:10
Smarkets◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.70%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.30%1.3%2026-08-06 16:35
Matchbook◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98%1.4%2026-08-06 16:35
Kalshi◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.8%2026-08-06 16:20
ProphetX◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.36%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64%1.8%2026-08-06 16:35