Baltimore Orioles v Kansas City Royals

2026-07-12 17:36 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

57%

43%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Prediction 57.10%1.75fair odd

EV +1.07%

Edge +0.602%

Kelly +1.38%

Growth +0.015%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

55.19%56.87%57.11%57.69%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.611.681.671.7762%60%60%56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Kansas City Royals (Visit)

Prediction 42.90%2.33fair odd

EV -3.05%

Edge -1.35%

Kelly -2.42%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

42.31%43.13%42.89%44.81%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.152.212.202.2647%45%45%44%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
GTbets	1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV +1.07%E +0.602%K +1.38%G +0.015%	2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%	2.0%	2026-07-11 18:09
BetOnline.ag	1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV +1.07%E +0.602%K +1.38%G +0.015%	2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -6.48%E -2.97%K -5.49%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-07-11 18:05
LowVig.ag	1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV +1.07%E +0.602%K +1.38%G +0.015%	2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -6.48%E -2.97%K -5.49%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-07-11 18:09
1xBet	1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -1.22%E -0.704%K -1.67%G +0.000%	2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -3.05%E -1.35%K -2.42%G +0.000%	2.1%	2026-07-11 18:33
Fanatics	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.36%E -1.38%K -3.32%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-11 18:09
PointsBet (AU)	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.50%E -2.07%K -5.07%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-07-11 18:20
theScore Bet	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.50%E -2.07%K -5.07%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-07-11 18:59
Fliff	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.50%E -2.07%K -5.07%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-07-11 18:09
FanDuel	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -4.07%E -2.42%K -5.99%G +0.000%	2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -3.05%E -1.35%K -2.42%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-07-11 18:04
MyBookie.ag	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.07%E -2.42%K -5.99%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-07-11 18:19
PlayUp	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.07%E -2.42%K -5.99%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-11 18:19
NordicBet	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.07%E -2.42%K -5.99%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.48%E -2.97%K -5.49%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-11 18:14
Betsson	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.07%E -2.42%K -5.99%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.48%E -2.97%K -5.49%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-11 18:14
Betway	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-11 18:09
Unibet (UK)	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%	2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.76%E -2.14%K -3.90%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-07-11 18:09
Betr (AU)	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-11 18:14
William Hill	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-11 18:29
Bet Right	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.21%E -3.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%	2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -3.90%E -1.74%K -3.15%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-07-11 18:14
Winamax (DE)	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.21%E -3.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-07-11 18:29
888sport	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-11 18:14
888sport (SE)	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-11 18:15
Mr Green (SE)	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-11 18:15
Paddy Power	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-11 18:09
SportsBet	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-11 18:09
ReBet	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-11 18:14
Bet Victor	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-11 18:12
Betclic (FR)	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-11 18:15
Winamax (FR)	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.50%E -4.63%K -12.09%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-07-11 18:29
Unibet (FR)	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -8.07%E -5.01%K -13.23%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-07-11 18:14

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Polymarket	1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%	2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%	1.1%	2026-07-11 18:05
Kalshi	1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%	2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%	1.2%	2026-07-11 18:15
Novig	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%	4.7%	2026-07-11 19:20
Smarkets	1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%	2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%	10.1%	2026-07-11 18:15
Matchbook	1.48I 67.57%NM 56.08%	1.89I 52.91%NM 43.92%	20.5%	2026-07-11 19:19