A Escola das Odds

Baltimore Orioles v Kansas City Royals

Início: 2026-07-12 17:36 UTC

Final: Baltimore Orioles 8–2 Kansas City Royals

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Previsão 57.83%1.73odd justa
EV -0.529%
Vantagem -0.307%
Kelly -0.734%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.72

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.84%57.81%57.69%58.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.601.661.671.7262.50%60.19%59.88%58.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Kansas City Royals (Visitante)

Previsão 42.17%2.37odd justa
EV -0.062%
Vantagem -0.026%
Kelly -0.045%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.37

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.03%42.19%42.31%44.16%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.152.252.252.3746.51%44.35%44.44%42.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -0.529%E -0.307%K -0.734%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -3.86%E -1.69%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-12 14:44
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -1.69%E -0.991%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -5.12%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-12 16:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -1.69%E -0.991%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -5.12%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-12 04:54
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -1.69%E -0.991%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -9.34%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 17:34
Everygame1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.26%E -1.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -1.75%E -0.751%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-12 14:40
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.26%E -1.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.12%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-12 11:54
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.26%E -1.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.12%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-12 12:14
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -2.84%E -1.69%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV -0.484%E -0.205%K -0.356%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-12 16:44
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.84%E -1.69%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -1.75%E -0.751%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-12 17:24
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -2.84%E -1.69%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -4.70%E -2.08%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-11 18:04
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.84%E -1.69%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.12%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-12 15:49
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -2.84%E -1.69%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.97%E -2.68%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 16:19
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -2.84%E -1.69%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.97%E -2.68%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 16:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -2.84%E -1.69%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.97%E -2.68%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 16:24
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -2.84%E -1.69%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.97%E -2.68%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 16:24
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -2.84%E -1.69%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.97%E -2.68%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 16:19
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -2.84%E -1.69%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.97%E -2.68%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 16:19
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -2.84%E -1.69%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.97%E -2.68%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 16:24
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -2.84%E -1.69%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.97%E -2.68%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 16:19
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.84%E -1.69%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.23%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 12:40
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -3.42%E -2.05%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -0.062%E -0.026%K -0.045%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-12 17:34
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.42%E -2.05%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -0.906%E -0.385%K -0.671%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-12 17:34
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.42%E -2.05%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -0.906%E -0.385%K -0.671%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-12 17:34
BetAnything1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -3.42%E -2.05%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -1.33%E -0.567%K -0.991%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-12 17:29
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.42%E -2.05%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.01%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-12 15:44
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -3.42%E -2.05%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -4.28%E -1.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-12 15:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.42%E -2.05%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.12%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 16:39
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.42%E -2.05%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.12%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 15:49
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.42%E -2.05%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.23%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 21:30
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.42%E -2.05%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.23%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 15:14
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.42%E -2.05%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.23%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 15:14
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.42%E -2.05%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.23%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 15:14
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.42%E -2.05%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.23%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 15:14
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.00%E -2.41%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.97%E -2.68%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 05:39
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.00%E -2.41%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.39%E -2.88%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 15:44
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.00%E -2.41%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.39%E -2.88%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 15:44
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.58%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.01%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 16:49
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.58%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.01%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 17:19
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.58%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.01%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 15:44
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.58%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.01%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 15:49
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.58%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.01%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.58%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.01%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 16:39
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.58%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.01%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 17:29
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.58%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.01%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 17:34
Bet Right1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.58%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.70%E -2.08%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 15:49
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.58%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.12%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 17:04
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.58%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.12%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 01:10
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.58%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.12%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 01:10
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.58%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.12%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 01:10
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.58%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.12%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 15:49
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.58%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.12%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 15:44
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.58%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.23%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-12 17:27
betano_uk1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.58%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.23%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-12 17:32
DraftKings1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -5.16%E -3.14%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-12 15:44
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.16%E -3.14%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -4.70%E -2.08%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 17:29
Unibet (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.16%E -3.14%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.12%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 17:24
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.16%E -3.14%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.12%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 15:49
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.16%E -3.14%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.12%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 15:44
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -5.16%E -3.14%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -8.50%E -3.92%K -7.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 16:24
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.31%E -3.90%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.12%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 17:33
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.31%E -3.90%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.12%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 15:44
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.31%E -3.90%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.23%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 15:09
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.31%E -3.90%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.23%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 15:44
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -6.89%E -4.28%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -8.07%E -3.70%K -6.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 17:10
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.47%E -4.67%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.01%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 15:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%0.1%2026-07-12 17:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%0.2%2026-07-12 17:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%0.2%2026-07-12 17:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%0.2%2026-07-12 17:35
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-07-12 17:34
Novig1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-07-12 16:40
ProphetX1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-07-12 17:29
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-11 23:35
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-07-12 13:49
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%1.9%2026-07-12 17:24